0 - It’s been a long time coming. Today I am announcing @FoliusVentures / 一叶创投 dedicated to investing in, evangelizing, and buidling the Web3 future w/ a global mandate (APAC focus to start).Ping me on twitter / Telegram with the same handle if you wanna jam!
1 - By way of background, I graduated from CMU way back in 2012 and spent the past 8-9 years in NYC TradFi, first at DB, then at a family office doing mostly US equities investing, then at a global non-US Tiger grandcub focused on small-cap equities….
2 - …where I covered mainly China-related and software businesses. The deep dive into crypto didn't really start until early 2018 (later than a lot of you!) and MLC was really a spur-of-the-moment moniker which I will be keeping (but unfortunately I'm not Canadian =/)
3 - In my opinion, the industry's future ultimately relies upon (a) value networks scaling without sacrificing security; (b) real businesses flourishing beyond speculation on top of the Web3 tack, and (c) the ability to co-exist amicably with regulation.
4 - To that end, whirlwind of scaling + alternative L1s, burgeoning #DeFi ecosystem & infinite composability w/ business ecosystems (Gaming & NFT currently), increasingly logical & open policies in select countries, and infusion of top-tier talents had far exceeded my expectation
5 - In other words, I think the odds of a, b, and c all went from "maybe" to "possibly/ likely", while E[a,b,c] now in my mind tilts definitively & materially positive (as opposed to more uncertain back in 2017-18). I think window for infra / foundation will close within 3 years.
6 - …whereby Web3 will be a 10-15 year megatrend spanning 2-4 cycles going from infra -> web2+ -> web3 -> part of our daily life. If this vision works, then we are just slogging through the internet equivalent of 1H 1990s, now entering 1995-2000 of use-case and applications.
7 - Success of Web3 vision to me would = "feature-complete" internet where both info & value flow cost-efficiently & frictionlessly across space, time, amount, & complexity -- i.e. Web2 bottle lost its genie but caught some lightning (@genie_xyz plz pay me for this slogan kek).
9 - Special kudos goes to @santiagoroel who drove it home -- logic is along the lines of "Do you want to keep playing the same game with the rules set in the 70s-90s, or do you want to be a part of the most profound socio-economic transformation since the industrial Revolution?"
10 - Don't get me wrong, my prior firm Briarwood was phenomenal. I learned a ton on how to invest in a rigorous bottoms-up, fundamentals-driven way. But as those in Web3 already knew, where we are heading cannot be more obvious, and is growing only more obvious by the day.
11 - In short, I can taste that future NOW, and I HAVE TO be a part of it NOW.
12 - For Folius, the initial focus on APAC reflects our belief that not only the region would become a Web3 powerhouse with high caliber founders (if not already), but also that they deserve access to long-term focused insti. capital just like the same founders do in US and EU.
13 - In particular, for the Chinese founders out there, 我个人坚信,优秀的团队在这个行业深耕时一定会倾向于与坚持长期主义的伙伴为伍。任何带着机会主义入局,急功近利,甚至心术不正的参与者,都将随着行业发展而被逐渐淘汰。日拱一卒无有尽,功不唐捐终入海,希望能与各位一起努力。
14 - If you made it this far, Folius is the Latin suffix for "one leaf" -- which goes with 2 idioms in Chinese: 一叶知秋 and 一叶障目. The former means being foresightful and is a play on my real Chinese name, and the latter serves as a keen reminder to look beyond the short-term
15 - I am deeply humbled by the trust and support, feel incredibly lucky to be able to dedicating my career to this industry, and cannot wait to spend 100% of my time working with you all.
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This one hits home. Turns out the moments one tend to remember are the paths not taken:
- Out of college my friend/ roommate ask me to join him as cofounder of a new lending solution. I passed wanting to hold on to my banking job. It’s now one of the largest in this space.
- During my second gig on WS, a good friend of mine is heading back to China to join some news tech company startup and asked if I want to join him via referral. I had a decent HF job at the time and was like nahhhh. That business was called Bytedance.
- and this one is even more recent. I remember learning about Delphi working on some “axey” thing in their WS WeWork and had sushi with another Chad in Taipei as recent as jan 20 about this Dee-Fi stuff. Was like hmmm but I’m still sceptical. You all know what happened next.
(0) Since our last report on Dec 17th, 2020, the Web3 narrative had moved far beyond single-chain #DeFi to prompt another iteration – this time on where we are re: Web3, #DeFi, token gov & fundamentals, & new primitives.
(0.5) Quick side-note, you may notice the new primitive section being a bit barren – that’s because a single person can no longer cover the space by him/herself (aka me aka ngmi :/). Folius needs help and is hiring (more on this later), but plz do reach out if you are interested!
(1) A feature-complete Web3 to us is a friction-and-cost-minimized info & value transfer network, and while BTC is closer to early-adopter status, the broader Web3 with ~5-10 mm MAU is more like the internet in the mid-1990s.
(0) There aren’t that many apps that straddle multi-chain, multi-layer (“MCML”) yet, so this is an under-explored area, but I think teams should really start thinking about aggregating such data. Let’s take $SUSHI as an example.
(1) As for today, Sushi’s TVL on Matic makes up almost 30% of its overall TVL (from a standing start in early May). It’s not hard to imagine the same would apply to pending Arbitrum / Optimism roll-out also (and to the extent BSC returns).
(2) The utilization is actually remarkably good – as of today Sushi on Matic is doing similar volumes as it does on ETH, making on-chain TVL almost 2-3x more efficient on Matic. In aggregate $SUSHI is doing more volume now vs. Feb and April. Ignoring FTM given only 2-5 mm volume.
(0) I oft wonder if the way private-round token issuance mechanism we have today is the most elegant – yes there’s a simple vesting smart contract one can write, or one can stream via @sablier, but can we have a protocol that generalizes and tokenizes ERC20 vesting?
(1) The answer is most likely yes – and such tokenized “vesting schedule of ERC20” will also be tradeable on the likes of AMM platforms (if ERC20) or NFT platforms like OpenSea (if ERC721 + ERC1155). I would imagine this approach is superior to off-chain verbal / legal promises.
(2) To an extent, OTC trading of vesting tokens is already kind of happening but that involves a lot of trust (especially when it comes to swapping ETH private keys); perhaps another solution is have a platform for if [receive token] then [steam it to another address].
There's @SablierHQ and there's @Superfluid_HQ , but is there anyone else out there creating a product for tokenizing ERC20 vesting-schedule as a service? If you are working on it definitely let me know.
There's certainly a risk of if various classes of ERC20 vesting from pre-seed to Series-A are tradeable NFTs in market at the same time, what's going to happen to circulating spot ERC20 -- so adoption by projects could be an issue.
But such tokenization also seems inevitable?
As a follow-on point, I could see additional characteristics of the investment certificate also being non-transferrable over a period of time to mitigate such issue.
Personally I'm against this proposal. The additional 60 $RULER is added to the emission schedule alongside allowing the $RULER team + advisors (myself included) to stake $RULER for xRULER -- basically to help non-team xRuler stakers still get their emission.
Personally I don't see the need for additional 20 bps emission / month that adds to team's allocation given such additional emission doesn't really accrue value to the protocol (vs. LP liquidity or lending). Happy to debate here:
I do know Sifu as our strategic advisor who owns ~$1.5 mm USD worth of $RULER (who adds a ton of value!) would love to stake his tokens into xRuler. Perhaps we can have that occur eventually when the protocol actually generates fees. Inflation is precious today.