#BANKNIFTY

Outlook for the week Nov 15 - Nov 18, 2021

Weekly: Confirmation of Bearish Engulfing as BNF started trading below 39115

Tgts for the same are: 37665 & 36383
#BANKNIFTY

Daily TF:

BNF is at support at 38350 zone & immediate resistance basis Daily TF is 39350.

Also after a6 consecutive days of red coupled with a steep 90 degree fall from Nov 9 to 11, a small bounce is expected.
#BANKNIFTY

Hourly TF:

Immediate resistance works at 38900-39k from where the fall accelerated on Nov 11, 2021 expiry
#BANKNIFTY

15min TF

39500-39600 looks more of a selling zone in 15min TF for now

38000-38150 is the next support after 38350
#BANKNIFTY

Strategy: Safe players

Reaction points: 37,700 on the lower side & 40,000 on the upside if taken out

Capital: 67.5K

RoI: 1.2% for safe players

Disclaimer: Try this only if you know how to do adjustments once the level breaks
#BANKNIFTY

Strategy: Moderate Risk players

Reaction points: 37,700 on the lower side & 39600 on the upside if taken out

Capital: 72.2K

RoI: 1.8% for moderate risk players

Disclaimer: Try this only if you know how to do adjustments once the level breaks
#BANKNIFTY

Strategy: Aggressive Risk players

Reaction points: 38000 & 39,600 on the lower & upside respectively

Capital: 76.7K

RoI: 2.6% for aggressive players

Disclaimer: This is a very risky strategy, try this only if you know how to do adjustments once the level breaks

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More from @niki_poojary

14 Nov
Few weeks ago @Ronak_Unadkat Sir conducted an exclusive session for me & @adityatodmal to explain how he trades.

He was kind enough to share all his trade strategies and was patient enough to answer our doubts.

Thought of making a 🧵for the benefit of the larger audience here.
@Ronak_Unadkat Sir's Option Selling Logic 🧵:
• Reversals in Intraday Option selling
• Strike Selection & SL
• Hedging for any Black Swan Event
• Positional Option selling
• Ratio Spreads
• How to manage the positions
• Capital mgmt

In collaboration with @AdityaTodmal
How to play reversals
• Always look at the chart as a starting point
• Spot the Swing low
• Sell Strikes 300-400 points below that swing low
• Buy a proper hedge
Read 18 tweets
7 Nov
#BANKNIFTY

Monthly TF: Sellers >40k zone

Previous week: Bearish engulfing pattern the confirmation of the same will kick in when BNF starts to trade below 39115. This week was an inside candle
#BANKNIFTY

Hourly TF: S/R levels marked
Strategy: Safe players

Reaction points: 37300 on the lower side & 41000 on the upside if taken out

Capital: 54.6K

RoI: 0.9% for safe players

Disclaimer: Try this only if you know how to do adjustments once the level breaks
Read 5 tweets
7 Nov
Larry Hite has two basic rules about winning in Trading as well as in Life:

“Rule 1: If you don’t bet, you can’t win
Rule 2: If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet”

Rule 1 is overcoming the fear & Rule 2 is about Position Sizing

Time for a thread 🧵 on Position Sizing
Position Sizing is about finding what % of your total capital will be exposed to a particular trade

Rule #1: Never put all your eggs in one basket

Rule #2: It is important to diversify to mitigate concentration risk, however too many names will only lead to Di-worsification.
As you go beyond 12-18 names in your portfolio it will be difficult to track as well

A well diversified portfolio can have around 6–8 different scrips

The question is how many shares to trade/invest of a particular scrip?
Read 12 tweets
24 Oct
The 90 degree angle inflection point in a stock is a signal to book profit

Lets understand with a recent example of a stock #IRCTC 🚃🚋

Time for a thread🧵
Monthly TF:

Back to back 6 green candles (each candle represent a month here), which means no profit booking has happened on a larger TF

The angle towards the end of the upmove became much steeper i.e. 90 degree

Such moves are highly susceptible for a bend in the trend
Similar pattern was observed in BTC/USDT pair #BITCOIN

and then BTC fell ~50% from its high made in the month of March 2021
Read 8 tweets
17 Oct
#BANKNIFTY

Outlook for the week Oct 18 - Oct 21, 2021

Clear BO on the Weekly TF

1/4
#BANKNIFTY

Supports at hourly TF

2/4
#BANKNIFTY

How did the last Thursday expiry played out

Key point to note, an upmove, followed by a tight consolidation usually results in a next leg of upmove

3/4
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
In the past few months I have curated various threads🧵

For some reason, people seem to love it

Here are all of them, chronologically:
@Mitesh_Engr Sir's Positional Option Selling 101 made in collaboration with @AdityaTodmal

Read 10 tweets

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