Thread by @mafevema

This Labour report is both interesting & utterly damming. 🧵1/7
It correctly identifies the problems
-to win a majority of 1 seat (i.e. not sufficient to govern effectively) Labour needs to gain 123 seats, a swing of over 13% in England & Wales

This represents an increase in its number of MPs by 60%, SOMETHING NO MAJOR PARTY HAS EVER DONE
- 63% of those seats are in the North, Midland & Wales, mostly held by Conservatives. There is NO ROUTE BACK TO POWER EVEN AS A MINORITY GOVERNEMENT WITHOUT WINNING THOSE SEATS.

Winning them back is essential but not sufficient for a majority
-24% of the 123 seats are in the South
-13% of those seats are in Scotland (16 seats of which 15 are SNP), 14 are in Wales (2 held by PC). IF LABOUR DOESN'T WIN SEATS IN SCOTLAND & WALES, IT CANNOT WIN A MAJORITY

-58 seats can be lost to the Tories WITH JUST A SMALL SWING
-Labour's voters are relatively united on economic policies but very divergent on values between the socially liberals - core vote but only 21% of the total electorate- & the socially conservative voters required to win

Yet, despite those starks findings -which depict an impossible task at least in one election- AT NO TIME DID THE REPORT CONTEMPLATE ANY FORM OF COLLABORATION WITH OTHER OPPOSITION PARTIES.
Labour continues to say "it is not in the business of making alliances"
This is insane.

Thanks to FPTP, unless @UKLabour, @LibDems and @TheGreenParty collaborate, they are very unlikely to achieve a sufficient number of seats to reach a majority. The small parties will as always be crushed by FPTP. But the Greens may do a lot of damage to Labour in winnable seats

As Labour will damage to the LD in winable seats
@UKLabour 's leadership makes the cynical choice of condemning us to an anti-democratic authoritarian Conservative governement rather than endangering its position as the main opposition & sharing power.
It is unforgivable.

Can it be changed? How?

Link to the report of Labour Together.
electionreview.labourtogether.uk/chapters/the-s…