Oof, I wish I hadn't slept in today. Could have made a real nice day-trade. Oh well.

Anyway, I see $PROG is doing awesome. Broke through two support levels in pre-market, and fell back to $5 before finding support.

All-in-all, pretty healthy correction.
Once we establish $5 as the new level of strong support, which it looks to becoming so, then we can expect to see another leg-up. $5.50 is a lovely target that we can easily break to put another level of call options in the money.

Lo and behold, Dec calls are filling up too.
Shorts are still going to have a hard time borrowing shares at this point. Util is 99.9% and the net returns from two days ago are apparently already being borrowed again, which just means more money to take from shorts.
The put chain is also worth mentioning here, because max pain this week is way down at $2 for calls/puts. Right now the only ones hurting are the puts.

When these puts expire worthless, it means a very painful loss for shorts to the tune of 6,386,800 shares if we push above $7.5
Even as I speak, $PROG has bounced off $5 as support, and will now likely seek to retest that $5.50-$5.60 resistance level.

The last thing I'll touch on are exercising ITM calls, which as we all know, causes buying pressure and kicks shorts in the teeth at the same time.
There are still 159,243 ITM calls on the chain, and today is Wednesday, so it's the last day to exercise calls early in time for T+2 before Friday.

Calls exercised today will force shorts to buy all naked shares early before Friday, which can cause more options to go ITM early.
For those who are already throwing out "bagholding" talk just because we retraced from $6 back to $5, just chillax.

I warned people what might happen this morning. We had an early surge in PM, and then retraced. It was expected.

$6 isn't a squeeze. I'm hungry for much more.
Trust me, when the squeeze starts, you'll be looking at a chart going straight-vertical by the time the momentum takes control.

This is only the beginning of what it can do. The first run up always includes some attempts to shake out paper hands too, so you must be ready.
Hold onto your conviction, stick to your trading strategy, and trust your thesis. If you got in this because of FOMO, welcome to the ride, but jumping into a play without arming yourself with info is a bad way to go.

You're exposing yourself to too much emotion.

So get some DD.
This thread has all the DD I've compiled over the last several months and will explain the play in the near term.

I've been in this since $1.60 and went through many ups and downs. Hopefully you can learn something.

$AMC needs some love too, and having trouble breaking above that major level of resistance at $43-$45, so I'm hoping #PROGGERS can #SqueezePROG a little before Friday to give our ape brothers a hand.

This is awesome momentum, and we're all doing a phenomenal job right now.
I know many who are in #PROG are also in #AMC, so that's why I want to tip my hat to those who are in this for the ape movement, and let them know that the #SqueezePROG mission is ultimately to add to the pressure against wall street
I'm tapped out, and I've exercised all my ITM calls expiring this week, so I've done all I can do.

That's all for now. See you guys at the closing bell. I've gotta get some work done. Good luck.

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More from @TRUExDEMON

18 Nov
I'm going to cover one last item on $PROG today. I was looking at the Unusual Whales FLOW that Hootmoney posted, and there is definitely something happening here.

The OI on $5 and $7.5 calls for $PROG went absolutely nuts in the afternoon today, and I only just noticed.
Almost all of the bearish volume came from selling call options at the end of the day, which I STRONGLY suspect is being done in order to quickly secure premium and scalp some cash before the options expire.

This is a very common action, but for it to happen in these numbers...
... holy shit. There are 111,295 calls OTM on $PROG between $5 and $7.50

That's a combined 11.13M shares on the table.

Those weren't there this morning.

A fair amount of these may be retail, but many times more are likely coming from market makers & HFs.
Read 17 tweets
17 Nov
Wrong ticker, homie. That'd $PRG... not $PROG.

You've got the wrong company.
This is a warning in common investing mistakes.

CHECK THE TICKER AND EXCHANGE!

This error happens so frequently in trading that it has actually caused squeeze events because a stock rallied, and in the FOMO scramble, other stocks with similar tickers have rocketed with them.
This is a really good way to lose money just because you didn't spell check your ticker symbol.

Make sure you know where your money is going before you hit that buy button.
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
$PROG OTC/Darkpool activity indicates that algos and institutions are the main responsible parties for this price action today.

We continue to see tons of selling pressure routing to the exchanges whilst.

Reminder to use directed market orders to send your busy to the exchange.
This is a speculative explanation, but I have noticed that because of the plethora of available shares in dark pools, it seems likely that MMs will buy large sums of shares in DPs to grab an inventory of shares on the cheap.
This allows MMs to fulfill buy orders from their inventory instead of buying on the exchange, preventing the NBBO from being affected. Meanwhile, they can route any sells directly to the exchanges on a selective basis to create the illusion of massive selling volume.
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
Really liking this Wyckoff pattern here. $PROG is still on it's way to greatness. This little retest of $4.80-$5 is just confirmation.

Even if $5 - $7.50 calls expire OTM, this was a massive victory.

I've closed/rolled/exercised all of my 11/19 call positions.
Most of my remaining contracts are set up for January for safety reasons. (Always give yourself more time than you think you need.)

But the pattern looks like it's going to play out to completion before Dec 17, so I bought a big load of calls on the dip for 12/17 too.
At this point, bulls have done so much damage to shorts this month that I have supreme confidence that the squeeze is coming soon.

And while I do not recommend FOMO-ing into any stock for any reason, $PROG is showing the strongest signs of squeezing of any other play this week.
Read 11 tweets
17 Nov
For those that like to daytrade on ETFs, $IWM is severely oversold, and @unusual_whales flow is obscenely bullish following this dip.

An alert was fired for a whale buy on the $253 calls expiring 12/10, which are surprisingly cheap at $0.35 on the ask side.

Darkpool volume📈💥
Looks like a nice reversal incoming for the Russell.

It's always a good idea to have some side plays going to earn you a little bit of money, and if you're one of the #AMCAPES, betting on the Russell indirectly helps #AMC as well as it's part of that ETF.
I had a tiny bit of buying power left after I finished exercising my $PROG calls, and wanted to jump on something a bit more... diversified?

Just a nice little swing trade on the side that I noticed looks pretty juicy, so I'm gonna follow that whale.

$253c@12/10 👍
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
On the topic of $PROG Dilution...

I find it EXTREMELY unlikely that $PROG will announce an offering, even at these prices, before they or their biopharma partner announce the terms of their partnership, as both parties know it will cause a jump in value.
Even if a dilution comes, there is only 13m shares available to offer, and Athyrium has been scooping up every single offering that wasn't direct to market.

There aren't enough shares available to do any real damage & the offering would be bought within 3 days at this volume.
Suffice to say, I'm not even remotely worried about dilution. Even if it happens, I'll just set limit buys and get more shares at a discount.

It won't be enough to destroy a squeeze if retail simply holds and buys.

At worst, or would just delay it. I'm
Read 5 tweets

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