I know a few people disagree with me on this but the Tory party narrative of:
“The Europeans aren’t letting us do Brexit right”
…has a very limited shelf life.
As it’s appeal to leave voters depends on them gradually understanding that Brexit wasn’t “done right” in 1st place.
Clearly there’s some leave voters who like “everything is Europe’s fault”…but for many leave voters Brexit was about “the UK not needing Europe”.
It wasn’t supposed to be about a UK govt continually whining that “Europe is stopping us”.
This is weakness - not independence.
At a certain point Boris Johnson will have to “declare Brexit victory” or sound like a defeated leader of an oppressed people.
This may have worked in 2018, but for leave voters if Brexit isn’t about British strength what is it about?
In other words, while the Conservatives want a culture war election next GE, it can’t defend its record on failure.
The point is clear:
UK govt believe they can win an election on the politics of Brexit..but not on the economics of it.
This is why I think labour/LibDems strategy of not overturning Brexit at next election is increasing the chances for a genuine debate in the next parliament about rejoining the single market.
Of course things can change..or even get worse but the post Brexit era is fast upon us.
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2022 will be a very different year for the UK politically.
The 1st Brexit deal anniversary will pass with very few Leavers celebrating. This mightn’t seem important but it really is.
We now move to the next stage:
The new status quo - the dull disappointing post-Brexit era.
If the opposition parties can avoid the various culture war traps then politics will return (as it’s already started doing so with the corruption issue) with the normal politics of competence & trust.
It’s vital the “European question” is framed thru this rather than leading it.
In other words:
Lab/LibDems should frame the debate around:
“Who is able to get a better deal with Europe, a better trading & political relationship?”
This might seem a silly question for remain voters but for “swing leave voters” this is the door they need to 1st go through…
So, as expected I got a lot of "diverse" feedback (& quite a few blocks) yesterday for this thread.
So here's another way oflooking at it:
If you really, really believe that its **just Labour'' stopping a progressive alliance answer me this one simple question....
Why dont the LibDems and Greens start the ball rolling with an electoral pact where Greens stand down in favour of LibDems in top 50 LibDem target seats?
With an alliance for PR, a better EU policy, constitututional reform with both parties.
& in return..
Essentially the action would see one of the most corrupted Tory MPs - Whittingdale - be given the role of gutting a political neutral & expert standards committee investigation & verdict into another corrupt Tory MP.
This is full on "Hungarian democratic governance level" now,
This is a difficult to write.
In fact, I’m sure a few will block me after reading this thread.
But it has to be said. Some claiming that a national progressive Alliance is something that can be magicked up simply don’t know what they're talking about.
Lets start with the Greens.
So here’s a question why doesn’t the Labour party form an electoral pact with the Greens?
Surely the Greens would win lots of seats.
The answer is almost certainly – No.
WHY?
The answer is simple – FPTP
But lets start in a strange place – Bassetlaw.
Very “ungreen” politically.
“RedWall” as media call it – Labour now Tory.
What does this tell us about Greens?
Well it had one of the biggest swings in electoral history – massive. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bassetlaw…
The company was led by Sir Ken Morrison for decades and was avowedly British refusing to invest abroad....all that is except for Gibraltar as part of his longstanding campaign to keep Gibraltar British. Despite the pack of economic sense it made.
As i keep telling you…there is simply no point analysing Brexit from a normal political or economic perspective.
It’s utterly pointless.
Brexit & Post Brexit Britain can only be understood as a psychological-cultural development.
This is why we need to work to get govt out.
The level of disinformation is now so high, so emotionally charged & spread by people who a few years ago would’ve been considered relatively rational…that opposition parties and rational actors must deal with this situation as if dealing with a psychologically damaged person.
As anyone who's dealt with this type of situation (as indeed, for that matter, with addiction) will tell you a "step-by-step" process is the best bet to recovery.
Anyone who thinks UK society is going to recover from this instantly in some "euraka moment" is fooling themselves.