WTO AGRICULTURE NEGOTIATIONS

A bit behind on this one. But despite lots of meetings nothing much seems to have changed.

Info from trade sources:

Chair @GloriaAbrahamP told ambassadors on Monday she will circulate a revised draft (first: July 29)

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/07/30/agr…
She said huge gaps remain on several issues:

1. Trade-distorting domestic support—go for a numerical target or try to agree on words; a timetable for reducing the support; special treatment for developing countries.

Forget market access.

Draft: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2-domestic-sup…

2/8
2. Improving information shared among the membership (notifications)—eg, on shipments en route; notifying export restrictions in advance.

This is seen as something that could be delivered at the Ministerial Conference, but differences remain.

Draft: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/9-transparency…

3/8
3. How to exempt @WFP purchases for humanitarian aid from export restrictions.

Some countries have already applied this unilaterally.

Failure to agree on this among the membership as a whole says a lot. What it says is not good.

Present draft: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/5-export-restr…

4/8
4. Should decisions on the agriculture negotiations at the upcoming Ministerial Conference (Nov 30–Dec 3) include deadlines?

5/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/08/03/dra…
5. Government purchases at non-market prices for food security stocks in developing countries—add more countries and products?

Current draft: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/8-public-stock…

Explanation: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2020/08/24/rhe…

6/8
6. Special safeguard mechanism (developing countries)—no chance of Ministerial Conference agreement.

Should a timetable and other details be attached to a ministerial decision? Splits on that too

Current draft: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/7-ssm-july-202…

Explanation: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2020/08/30/rhe…

7/8
EU🇪🇺“We often talk about the need to reform the WTO. It is maybe not so much the WTO that needs to undertake reforms. It is members that seem unable to agree on even the simplest issues and this is very disappointing”

As @BobWolfeSPS & I say—reform in capitals before Geneva

8/8

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More from @CoppetainPU

16 Nov
Oh dear. Trade geekery needs an upgrade 😉

A whopping 86% of you GOT THIS WRONG!

The correct answer is … 154

That’s all 164 @wto members EXCEPT the 10 that have not ratified the agreement.

Why? Does it matter?

Maybe.

Cc: @craigaatkinson @maheenhassan3 @AllieRenison

1/11
The #TradeFacilitationAgreement is multilateral, the whole WTO membership (164) agreeing by consensus.

But to add it in the WTO’s rule book, WTO members had to insert it in the package of agreements—by amending Annex 1 of the WTO Agreement.

2/11 wto.org/english/docs_e…
So rules on amendments apply—WTO Agreement, Art.10, Par.3:

“Amendments … shall take effect for the Members that have accepted them upon acceptance by two thirds of the Members and thereafter for each other Member upon acceptance by it.”

3/11 wto.org/english/docs_e…
Read 12 tweets
12 Nov
18 days until the WTO Ministerial Conference starts, a slew of new/revised drafts have arrived.

1. TRANSPARENCY IN ROUTINE WTO WORK—notifications and discussion in the committees.

A proposed General Council decision but it comes under “WTO reform”

1/7 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
The proposal: improve transparency to help the system work better

New—Iceland, Paraguay now in; minor changes

Consensus seems unlikely for now. China, India, most developing countries are not on board, many complaining they are already over-burdened

2/7 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
If ministers agree to set up a working group to look at #WTOreform, then this would be part of the discussion.

The EU has proposed setting one up.

USTR @AmbassadorTai has called for discussions at the ministerial conference and after

3/7 insidetrade.com/share/172631
Read 7 tweets
5 Nov
Thump!

A plain package has landed on my doorstep.

Inside I find …

1/n
… I find … the secret text of the “Trade and environmental sustainability structured discussions (#TESSD)”

1/5 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/tessd-october-…
What does it say?

1. The statement will only be issued by some members (about two thirds of the membership are not on board, although China and the US are reported to have joined the EU, Canada, Japan and others but not Brazil, India, SAfrica, etc

2/5 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/11/05/wto…
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov
Latest in the #WTO #AgricultureNegotiations:

Chair @GloriaAbrahamP’s report circulated yesterday

“committee … special session” = negotiations

There still seems to be little chance of substantial agreement at the Nov30–Dec3 Ministerial Conference

1/7 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
So most if not all will be pushed into “work programmes” after the conference, in some cases simply to keep the talks going

• Trade distorting domestic support—still differences on the approach to reductions.

2/7 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
• Market access—nothing on tariff cuts, only transparency on applied tariffs (rates actually applied, at or below legally bound rates in the WTO)
• Export restrictions—notifications, exempting World Food Programme purchases from restrictions

3/7 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
Read 7 tweets
2 Nov
There has been some interesting reporting of Sunday’s EU-US deal on steel and aluminium.

But the fact is, a lot of it is speculation because some details have not yet been revealed and negotiations on others have only just begun

(Thanks to various experts for the links)

1/10
First, a transcript of a White House briefing, including:

• The size of the tariff quotas—still to be announced
• The start of talks on a deal focusing on carbon intensity in the metals
• Avoiding Chinese content in EU steel—“melt-and-pour”

2/10 whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Next, @bentleyballan and @toddntucker in the Washington Post

Is this bigger than news from Glasgow? Will it transform the fight against climate change?

Depends on the outcome of negotiations, including how many other countries join in. Early days.

3/10 washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
Read 11 tweets
1 Nov
THE US-EU AGREEMENT ON STEEL AND ALUMINIUM

Yesterday’s joint statement is here: trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/20… (H/T @AmyPorges)

It has 3 parts:

1. Cooperation
2. Market orientation and carbon intensity (“green steel”)
3. WTO dispute settlement

1/7
1. COOPERATION

(For “non-market excess capacity” read “China”)

Cooperation on trade remedies (duties to countervail subsidies, anti-dumping actions, safeguard tariffs), customs, monitoring, and responses to “non-market excess capacity”.

2/7 trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/20…
2. PROPOSED GLOBAL ARRANGEMENT to “restore market-oriented conditions”

• Others can join
• In 2 years
• Bring into international forums
• Limit market access for non-market-oriented/carbon-intense exporters
• Discipline, coordinate own policies

3/7 trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/20…
Read 8 tweets

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