Vice President of the Russian International Affairs Council (Putin's Moscow think tank), Lieutenant-General (Reserves) Evgeny Buzhinsky, said how "Ukrainian troops will be destroyed" No tank armies, the Aerospace Forces will do everything. 1/ mk.ru/politics/2021/…
Buzhinsky said the war against Russia "is already underway." Yes, there is no "hot" war yet, but there is an informational, economic, trade and sanctions war going on. The number of cyberattacks on Russian systems is in the thousands. 2/
Speaking about the Russian military groupings on Russia's western borders, Buzhinsky expressed confidence that a sufficient grouping of forces has been created. 3/
"I think, the destruction of the Ukrainian armed forces will be carried out by the forces of our Aerospace Forces." 4/
According to him, the Ukrainian naval forces, which are called the "mosquito" fleet due to the lack of large warships, "will be sunk by the forces of the Black Sea Fleet." 5/
"I personally do not foresee any tanks, any seizures of territory. The destruction of air defense systems, aviation at airfields - that's all" Buzhinsky said. End/
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Completely unconnected with events unfolding in eastern Europe. Of course! you say. Except it's not. Because if the unthinkable happens, then @DFCavalryCorps could be engaging with Russian VDV, marines and GRU spetsnaz on Irish soil as early as summer 2022. A scenario: 1/🧵
How so? you ask. Russia appears intent on invading Ukraine. Ukraine will fight, Russia can't afford to lose, war will spread, NATO forces are likely to be drawn in if combat crosses Ukraine's borders into NATO countries. But that's nowhere near Ireland! you say. However. 2/
A conventional war between Russia and Allied (Ukraine, US, EU, NATO) forces on the eastern flank will automatically bring into play the western Atlantic flank of Europe: Ireland's controlled air, sea and land territory is one-fifth of that flank. It will be contested space. 3/
I spent a significant part of the last 7 years guiding young officers of Ukraine's Armed Forces through exercises aimed at thinking: call it resilience, systems, outside the box, strategic, whatever, but thinking. Question your assumptions. How does your enemy think? Etc
Rarely do I encounter the level of arrogance and inability to recognise one's own biases, which affect one's judgement and decision making, that I have just experienced coming from a LSE PhD candidate who wrote an article in @ForeignPolicy.
Are we devaluing PhDs? Are we allowing people to get away with bad analysis and advice? Is it right that someone should use their academic position to foist a potentially incorrect and very dangerous view on the public (in this case through @ForeignPolicy) that could result in..
Joe Murray, coordinator of 🇮🇪 NGO @AfriPeace, is correct in stating that the global defence sector (militaries, industry and ministries) have a large carbon footprint. However, he is disingenuous in using that fact to undermine Ireland's defence sector. 🧵irishexaminer.com/opinion/commen…
First, the militaries of the US, UK, Netherlands, Slovenia, New Zealand, Ireland and others are leading efforts to decarbonise bases, operations and vehicles in order to reduce their carbon footrprints in line with public sector "net zero" targets. This will be evident at #COP27
It's early days, but their ambitions are genuine: reducing reliance on fossil fuels has significant cost savings and operational advantages as well as addressing national climate action responsibilities. Soldiers have families too. No one wants climate change.
"Russia's harsh response - after Hultqvist's message"
Swedish troops can train in Ukraine in the future, according to Minister of Defense Peter Hultqvist.
Now the Russian embassy is responding - with a reference to the battle of Poltava in 1709. expressen.se/nyheter/ryssla… 1/
"Poltava's descendants, however, do not seem to have learned proper lessons from past battles with Russia, which has already overthrown Sweden from its great power heights," the embassy wrote on Facebook. 2/
On Tuesday, Hultqvist told Swedish Radio Ekot that Sweden may participate in military exercises in Ukraine, which is in conflict with Russia.
The Baltic countries proposed the exercise, after reports came in that Russia had equipped itself at the border with Ukraine. 3/
Peddling the Moscow-Minsk line that poor old Lukashenko's border troops and KGB goons "can't control the crowds .. it's anything but orchestrated" - a narrative currently emerging across LukaPutin social media channels. 🍸🥒
Entretien téléphonique avec M. Vladimir Poutine, Président de la Fédération de Russie 🇫🇷 (Telephone interview with Mr. Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation) via @Elyseeelysee.fr/emmanuel-macro…
❗️Absolutely nothing about Macron telling Putin that #France with defend the territorial integrity of #Ukraine
Macron 'expressed to his counterpart his deep concern over developments in the Ukrainian situation. He encouraged his counterpart to play a constructive role within the framework of the Normandy format, by rapidly resuming the dialogue likely to reduce tensions.'