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Rob Ford Profile picture
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21 Nov, 6 tweets, 2 min read
It’s ok to spread lies if it’s “emotionally true”
Depressingly large number of replies pointing out its fake and have been ignored.
Instead our populist author doubles down on his falsehood. After all, what harm could come from spreading lies which stone hatred of politicians? Not like they face abuse, credible death threats etc every day is it?
Here’s the doubling down
Ok so he does RT this. Apparently he will listen to and share critique from his own tribe but not from anyone else. And he won’t own up to his error or delete his original tweet, still doing numbers. Well done all round.
Now he’s retreated another lie a follower posted in replies. Did he check it? Don’t be daft! It’s “emotionally true!”

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More from @robfordmancs

Rob Ford Profile picture
21 Nov
Stephen's take on the London vs Manchester (Blur vs Oasis?) Labour infighting is, as usual, the best take
My own inferior take is that "the Tories have failed to invest in the (Midlands and) North, we will deliver" is a useful message for a party trying to win an election where many of the recently lost marginal seats are in the (Midlands and) North.
Whereas "Yes, London has had a shed tone of transport investment since forever, but the Tube is in trouble and actually lots of it is poor" is not so useful, regardless of its inherent merits, because there are just less votes/seats to be had in places that would benefit
Read 5 tweets
Rob Ford Profile picture
20 Nov
Got to hand it to Dominic Cummings - he does have some great lines. Here's an example: "Want to understand how swing voters watch the news? Watch with the volume turned off for a while and imagine what the audience at Wrestlemania will think."
and indeed this: "Nobody is easier for a propaganidist to fool than an elite graduate confident in their own moral superiority, because if you get your mesage right they do most of the work for you."
and this: "Stop attacking ‘levelling up’. It’s a bad slogan but it’s also inoffensive. Attacking it is punching smoke, a pointless waste of time. Instead focus on clear specific failures."
Read 6 tweets
Rob Ford Profile picture
18 Nov
Working families lose 75% of their assets, millionaires keep 75% plus of their assets.

Sir Humphrey would call this a "bold" reform.

Guess the question is - will voters understand it? And if they don't: can Labour get them to understand it?
Leaving aside the fact this is awful policy, as Dilnot observes, its fascinating politics. The big winners from this new policy are traditional Tories in traditional Tory seats (people with expensive homes and other wealth in the wealthy bits of S England)....
The big losers are new Tory voters in newly Tory seats - older, often home owning voters with modest levels of wealth in poorer bits of England. This policy absolutely throws them under the bus. Massively screwing your new voters to protect your old voters is an interesting move.
Read 5 tweets
Rob Ford Profile picture
15 Nov
"The British General Election of 2019" is now available on Amazon. A quick thread of reviews... @stephenkb calls it "An exhaustive, well-researched, informative and highly readable account. A must for anyone who wants to understand British politics"".
Sky's @adamboultonSKY calls us "the experts we – and the nation – need to tell us what really happened and to explain why" and says our book "Painstakingly and perceptively...exposes the sources of what is going on in British politics today.”
ITV's @AnushkaAsthana calls our book“A fascinating take on this unprecedented period of politics - boiling down the madness of the past few years of British politics into clear, concise and insightful analysis.”
Read 19 tweets
Rob Ford Profile picture
8 Nov
The general trend in the polls is quite clear if you take the averages (thus ignoring the noise from sampling variation and ST effects) - slow but steady decline in Cons since "vaccine bounce" peak in early summer, and slow but steady rises in Lab and Green numbers
To me the most interesting polling story that no one is talking about is the rise of the Greens - they were polling at record levels even before COP26, and had a very strong local elections performance in May too. Double digit Grn shares now common.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_p…
Strong Green polling is a bit of a double edged sword for Labour - probably comes from voters who would be Lab rather than Con if forced to choose, so weakens Lab position. But in the harsh climate of a FPP GE with few Grn targets many of these votes may end up in the Lab column
Read 4 tweets
Rob Ford Profile picture
4 Nov
And another scandal driven by-election on the way soon, it seems. Super-interesting one too, given controversial circumstances in which Webbe got the seat, the massive swing against her in 2019 and the open ambitions of her predecessor Keith Vaz to recover seat he held 1987-2019
A whopping 15 point swing against Labour in Leicester E in 2019, by a country mile largest swing against the party in a highly diverse seat. Leicester E's predominantly British Indian community really did not like the late imposition of Corbyn ally Webbe en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leicester…
As for Vaz, who is chair of the local party, he has been on manoeuvers for a while - either for himself or a family member... huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/keith-va…
Read 4 tweets

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