The major indices are still near their ATHs and many large caps + mega caps haven't cracked yet.

This suggests that the liquidation isn't over.

Bear-market rallies might take place in the high growth names but for most names, the primary trend is currently down.
Over the following weeks, the contraction is likely to get worse and the stronger US Dollar should cause commodities/inflation to roll over.

Global PMIs also likely to roll over and this will cause an economic slowdown.

Sell-off only likely to end when the Fed becomes dovish.
This sell off is not unexpected, neither is it a 'black swan' event.

The ongoing selling is a rational response to tightening monetary conditions.

The Fed's QE unleashed animal spirits and pushed prices/valuations to an extreme and the market is now discounting its end.
The market has been giving clues for weeks.

One by one, stocks have been getting shot and even several bellwether companies have not participated in this rally in the indices. Several indices didn't even confirm the recent high in $NDX

This is not normal and suggests weakness.
Many on FinTwit calling this a 'normal pullback'.

A normal pullback does not cause stocks to go down 50-70% from their ATHs and drop 10% in a day!

This is the unwind of the QE bubble - so far, the most speculative names and high growth stocks have been hit, indices to follow.

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More from @saxena_puru

15 Nov
Message to socialists -

"Fair share" of tax means a flat tax (same %) for all taxpayers who pay tax. It does NOT mean fleecing the super wealthy by confiscating their wealth.

After income tax/capital gains tax/wealth tax and inheritance tax, some nations take 65-70% of wealth.
Basic maths - (20% flat tax)

A person who makes $100K pays $20K in tax
A person who makes $1m pays $200K in tax
A person who makes $10m pays $2m in tax
A person who makes $100m pays $20m in tax

Wealthy do pay more tax, even with a flat tax regime.
Penalising the wealthy because they have more money is immoral and wrong.

Inheritance tax is the biggest form of legal theft that exists ---> that capital has already been taxed once or even more than once.

Being ambitious, working hard, saving and investing isn't a crime.
Read 4 tweets
29 Oct
1)Portfolio Oct-end -

$ADYEY $AFRM $CRWD $DLO $GLBE $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MQ $MTTR $OKTA $PATH $PLTR $QS $SE $SHOP $SNOW $TOST $TWLO $U $UBER $UPST $ZI #RTY_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +779.77% (52.29%pa)
$ACWI +79.25% (11.95%pa)
$SPX +112.10% (15.65%pa)

Contd...
2) YTD return -

Portfolio +39.18%
$ACWI +16.10%
$SPX +22.61%

Biggest positions -

1) $SE 2) $MQ 3) $AFRM 3) $MELI 4) $MTTR

Contd....
3) Commentary -

October was a decent month as my portfolio rebounded with the broad market.

During the month, I grabbed shares of $AFRM $MQ $QS and $TOST and in order to raise cash for these, sold out of a few lower conviction or more mature companies in my portfolio....
Read 12 tweets
28 Oct
The eVTOL industry will grow rapidly over next decade.

Still early days but with its strong management team + Board and incredible partners, Lilium likely to be a big winner.

Current market cap is $2.5b, offers asymmetric r/r.

Do your own DD.

Disclosure - I'm long $LILM
Lilium - Stuttgart to become regional hub for network

I'm long $LILM
Lilium - Management team
Read 6 tweets
1 Oct
1)Portfolio Sep-end -

$ABNB $ADYEY $AGC $CRWD $DLO $DOCU $GLBE $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MTTR $OKTA $PATH $PLTR $SE $SHOP $SNOW $TWLO $U $UBER $UPST $ZI #RT_F

Short $ARKK #ZB_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +741.57% (51.97%pa)
$ACWI +70.0% (10.99%pa)
$SPX +98.43% (14.41%pa)
2) YTD return -

Portfolio +32.66%
$ACWI +9.79%
$SPX +14.68%

Biggest positions -

1) $SE 2) $UBER 3) $MELI 4) $GLBE 5) $DLO

Contd....
3)Commentary -

September was a tough month and the ongoing super volatile downtrend in stocks took its toll on my portfolio.

During the month, I invested in two companies -

(i) Airbnb
(ii) Uber

and seeing the reversal in UST yields, also trimmed some of my richly valued..
Read 11 tweets
1 Sep
1) Portfolio update Aug-end -

$ADYEY $AGC $CRWD $DLO $DOCU $GLBE $LSPD $MELI $MTTR $OKTA $PATH $PLTR $QELL $SE $SHOP $SNOW $TWLO $U $UPST $ZI #NQ_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +830.25% (56.21%pa)
$ACWI +77.51% (12.16%pa)
$SPX +108.30% (15.81%pa)

Contd...
2) YTD return -

Portfolio +46.92%
$ACWI +14.97%
$SPX +20.41%

Biggest positions -

1) $DLO 2) $SE 3) $MELI 4) $GLBE 5) $PLTR

Contd....
Commentary -

August was a decent month and today marks the 5th anniversary of my post-retirement high-growth portfolio.

My portfolio's YTD return is +46.92% and over the past 5 years, the return is +830.25% (nine-bagger on the entire portfolio) representing a CAGR of 56.21%...
Read 13 tweets
6 Aug
THREAD/

$FVRR got creamed yesterday -- ⬇️24% in ONE DAY!

Why? Company lowered '21 revenue guidance from -

+59-63%YOY growth announced at end of Q1

to

+48-52%YOY growth announced yesterday

This deceleration shaved off 24% of Fiverr's market cap!
Here is a company which despite very tough comps (after last year's COVID related boost to its business), announced that its revenue will grow ~50% this year and its stock got smoked!

Agreed; its valuation was elevated but this 83% gross margin business is now...
...valued at ~21 X year-end EV/S.

Yesterday, Fiverr announced its active buyers grew by 43%YOY in Q2 '21 to 4 million and spend per buyer increased 23%YOY.

So, apart from a mild slowdown in its business (expected after last year's bump), all other metrics didn't indicate...
Read 5 tweets

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