Super constructive conversation in CML Community.

I won't share others' private stuff, but I had a response that will likely give you the flavor.

...

1/n
In the trading business they say you have to blow out three times to really make a career.

It's just a saying, but the point is, you never really turn into an investor or a trader until you ...

/2
... see a drawdown, panic about it, make mistakes with it, blame somebody else for it (like market makers or short sellers or whatever) and finally, just don't care about it.

It has to become numb for proper behavior on the upside and the downside.

...

/3
I just don't know how to say that in any clever way so I call it perspective, but that's what I mean.

Same happened to me when I was a kid. I was from a tough area and got my ass beat a lot.

I was so scared for so many ears, but something flipped.

...

/4
Some dude said show me you pockets and I had $0.50.

He said "what's that for?"

"it's bus money."

"I don't care about your bus money give it to me."

I usually buckled by then, but this one time, I just looked at him and said, if you want it, come and get it.

...

/5
This isn't a Hollywood story, so I'm afraid to say he definitely got it, but I went swinging so hard that no one touched me after.

And I wasn't scared anymore.

Trading and investing are similar.

...

/6
Somehow you can't hear it. You just have to experience it.

And then it doesn't hurt anymore.

I still get angry at bad trades and make mistakes, ofc I do.

I was hit very hard w the tech dump. How could I not be?

...

/7
But it just didn't hurt. I knew I would make it back, and eh, so for a while I wouldn't.

I learned my perspective on the trading floor as a market maker (options - NYSE ARCA and CBOE).

...

/8
And, oddly, today, I can't even remember how it used to feel to be emotional about losses.

I know I was many years ago, but I can't even feel the old feeling anymore.

It's easier in the stock market bc of some simple realities.

...

/9
Since 1942, the market has been up about 4/5 years, and the up years (19% return) are larger than the down years (-12%).

So, we have this thing, this apparatus, this market, and it goes up 80% of the time and the up years are larger than the down years too.

...

/10
I dunno. It's hard to get too worried.

And yes, I was in the business, as in licensed, in 1998.

I saw the shit.

I ate the shit.

Many times.

...

/11
But when it's all said and done, this thing makes money.

Not all the time and not for all investments, but...

... when it's all said and done, this thing makes money.

I call it perspective, but you can call it whatever you want to call it.

Have a great night, friends.
And to be clear, I am *not* licensed anymore. I let it lapse 20 years ago.

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More from @OphirGottlieb

23 Nov
1/n

$NTNX Strong quarter
2.n

$NTNX

Producing more revenue and better margins than the consensus estimates.
3/n

$NTNX

* Revenue: $378.5M vs 369M
* EPS: -$0.22 vs -0.34

Guidance:
* Q2 Revenue: $405M vs $400M est.
* Full Year Revenue: $1.62B vs $1.6B est.
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19 Nov
$JMIA was asked about the bullish thesis.

Not gonna go through the whole thing.

If interested, you can pay a few shekels for CMLPro.com to get...

... the full report and ongoing CEO interviews, but...

... in (very short)...

1/n
Platform:

* Customers: +8%

... but

* E-comm: Orders +28%

* Payments: Txns +34%

* Advertising Rev: +23%

And then...

/2
* Logistics: Provides the "pick-axe to the gold rush" now with 3PL revenue

(Other sellers use Jumia's logistics)

* 50M downloads vs top comp 1M

* Accounts: 7.3M (TAM 500M)

* Profitable per order after logistics

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...

/3
Read 7 tweets
16 Nov
$JMIA @Jumia_Group

The only thing that matters is GMV, customers, and orders per customer.

A big win in # orders, which means a scaling of the platform.

This is so crucial that it works.
$JMIA

CEO: We will "accelerate the acceleration"

My take:

* Customers: +8.1%
* Orders: +28%
* Orders Cust: +29%
* Advertising (TTM): +23%

Conclusion: A platform is born

/2
$JMIA @Jumia_Group

Every sell-side model will change to reflect this the growth in orders.

Rather than a 1:1 relationship between customers, it will jump to some multiple, likely over 2 within some time.

/3
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov
1/n

Thread

A sort of loosey goosey view of the future.

$ONDS First Class 1 Rail signed (there are seven). This is enormous.  

They move as a group. This is a natural oligopoly (that's the good kind).

This is, IMHO, absolutely the beginning of the full network. 

So...

/1
This is the start of the $225M initial build out. 

This is how:

* 140,000 miles of freight rail track.

* A base station every 22 miles.

* That's 6,300 base stations (those towers near stations) to be served with the heavier duty Ondas FullMAX gear, yielding $90M.

...

2/n
* 40,000 waysides (the little huts near train stations). These would start with Ondas' "Venus," yielding $100M.

* 65,000 crossings (the DING DING DING arms) in U.S. About half are electrified. Those would probably take Ondas' Mercury. That's 32,500 crossings for $32.5M.

3/n
Read 9 tweets
15 Nov
I'm asking a question. $ONDS

Earnings Call

services.choruscall.com/mediaframe/web…
$ONDS

Named second AR customer. 

@conocophillips delivered.
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15 Nov
$ONDS

Ondas Networks receives first Commercial 900 MHz Rail Order from Siemens Mobility for a Class I railroad

American Robotics secures order in Oil & Gas and begins to scale

ir.ondas.com/press-releases…
$ONDS

Ondas Network and Siemens Mobility launched the Airlink family of radios including completion of our first joint development program for the 900 MHz railroad band.
3/N

$ONDS

Secured its first commercial 900 MHz Rail Order from Siemens Mobility for a major Class I Railroad for delivery by year-end.
Read 4 tweets

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