From the hippies at
Medicina (Kaunas) 2021 Feb 26;57(3):199.

Pfizer official figures:
relative risk reduction (RRR), 95.1%; 95% CI, 90.0% to 97.6%;
absolute risk reduction (ARR), 0.7%; 95% CI, 0.59% to 0.83%;
To compare w/ influenza inoculations:
'A 1.4% ARR works out to a NNV of approximately 72 people, meaning that 72 individuals need to be vaccinated to reduce one case of influenza.'
'By comparison, Figure 2 of the present article shows that the NNV for the Pfzier-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines are 142 (95% CI 122 to 170) and 88 (95% CI 76 to 104), respectively.
Best case: 95% RRR and .7% ARR = avg of 142 vaccine courses to prevent 1 *symptomatic* case of C19
'Currently, differences between relative effect measures and absolute effect measures in studies are “poorly understood by health professionals, and even more poorly understood by patients.” [29]'

So maybe your MD is just mesmerized by the 95% and not gaslighting you.
'In addition,
“…critical appraisal knowledge and skills are limited among physicians,” and “use of relative effect measures was associated with greater perceptions of medication effectiveness and intent to prescribe, compared with the use of absolute effect measures.”
'Reporting relative measures may be sufficient to summarize evidence of a study for comparisons with other studies, but absolute measures are also necessary for applying study findings to specific clinical or public health circumstances [22].'
'Omitting absolute risk reduction findings in public health & clinical reports of vaccine efficacy is an example of outcome reporting bias, which ignores unfavorable outcomes &misleads the public’s impression and scientific understanding of a treatment’s efficacy and benefits'
'Furthermore, the ethical and legal obligation of informed consent requires that patients are educated about the risks and benefits of a healthcare procedure or intervention'
So in absolute risk-reduction terms (ARR), 142 million complete courses (2 dose + boosters) of Pfizer will, if vax comes as advertised, will reduce symptomatic cases by 1 million. Nothing to sneeze at but 141 million people are still very much at risk, even w/ shiny 95% RRR.
And the ARR for you personally is not a 95% reduction of risk, given the average likelihood of contracting the virus, but a .07% absolute reduction of risk.

For this we should scapegoat millions of our fellow (still, perhaps) democratic citizens.

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More from @EmpireinWinter

26 Nov
A 2nd view on leakiness:
'G. Vanden Bossche joined 'the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s Global Health Discovery team in Seattle (USA) as Senior Program Officer; he then worked with the Global Alliance for Vaccines & Immunization (GAVI) in Geneva as Senior Ebola Program Manager'
He's not Jesus, not infallible, and not anti-vax--as a vaccinologist, he argues for different vaccines...

'Mass infection prevention and mass vaccination with leaky Covid-19 vaccines in the midst of the pandemic can only breed highly infectious variants.'
'Prior to the start of this universal vaccination program (and until today!), no single publication existed that came even close to suggesting that mass vaccination campaigns using non-transmission-blocking vaccines could be successful...'
Read 8 tweets
26 Nov
You know, given the firehose of data, different information sets may, in these vexatious times, be too readily chalked up to misinformation.
From unwashed anti-vaxxers at NatGeo:…
The less virulence over time is one optimistic scenario, but these recent experiments showed--one study, animal testing, Marek's disease--that viruses can evolve to become *much* more virulent.
Or, directly from the peer-reviewed study published in PLOS, in 2015, from an era before data not wholly favorable to universal vax promotion was anti-vax.…
Read 5 tweets
26 Nov
A thoughtful reading more open to the downside on Omicron implication (technical, detailed) @Lidsville

'Biden administration systematically failed to support or actively denigrated all non-pharmaceutical interventions.'…
'we are collectively about to pay for the eagerness of the officialdom to declare the pandemic over at every possible turn & put all their chips on a non-sterilizing vaccine...very useful at preventing worst outcomes...but does little to prevent transmission of Delta'
Sound familiar, #bcpoli?
Biden Admin: 'actively encouraged the vaccinated to abandon masks (positioning non-masking as proof of virtue). The CDC & WHO have been silent on ventilation & have actively opposing the aerosol theory of transmission.'
Read 15 tweets
26 Nov
Are adverse events in C19 vaccine trials under-reported?
'A systematic review in PLOS journal analysed 28 studies & found that adverse events were less likely to appear in published journal articles than unpublished studies (e.g. industry-held data).'…
Systematic review in PLOS Journal:
'strong evidence...much of the information...remains unpublished & that the number & range of adverse events is higher in unpublished than in published versions of the same study.'
'Experts now suggest that the pivotal Covid-19 vaccine trials may have under-reported adverse events in several ways.' [below]
Read 27 tweets
25 Nov
From the anti-vaxxers @
Lancet Regional Health - Europe
Volume 11, December 2021
'In the UK it was described that secondary attack rates among household contacts exposed to fully vaxxed index cases was similar to household contacts exposed to unvaxxed index cases' (25% to 23%)'
That was transmission. Regarding infection:
'Peak viral load did not differ by vaccination status'
They conclude:
'It appears to be grossly negligent to ignore the vaccinated population as a possible and relevant source of transmission when deciding about public health control measures.'

Gross negligence is essentially what current vac-sanctified reopening amounts to.
Read 5 tweets
25 Nov
'We've been born into freedom....We are essentially free...except where our actions are specifically prohibited by law.'
This Pivotal Moment (TPM)
The universal adoption of vaccine passports .... is no less than a fundamental inversion of what is meant by freedom in democratic societies....
No longer will your personal freedom be expansive, constrained only at the periphery by long established and mutually agreed laws.
Read 8 tweets

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