COVID trades have been the most profitable crypto buying opportunities of the last few years.
Here's how to make money by sniping the COVID dumps: 👇
(THREAD)
Let's go back to real beginning of the pandemic in March 2020.
While $BTC had been trending down for the last 8 months, it dumped over 40% on the same day that the SP500 tanked: March 11th.
This is 'The Day Everything Changed'
If you would've had the foresight to BUY on March 11th, your investment would've returned nearly 12x by today.
But you didn't.
The next COVID news that affected BTC came around vaccine hype and rumors.
Concerns around the Astra Zeneca vax lead to a 15% drop on November 26th (exactly one year ago).
Where did $BTC end up? Around 16k. If you would've bought then, you'd be up nearly 4x by now.
Here's spring/summer 2021, where crypto entered a brief bear market.
That last red candle in that circle, July 20th, the SP500 wicked down to test the 50-day moving average on the same day. It held, but the reason it dropped?
Concerns around a second wave propagated by the delta variant. If you would've bought then you'd be up 2x.
Sep 7 2021?
A 20% dip related to COVID unemployment benefits expiring. That trade would have had you up 60% in 60 days.
That takes us today: here's a look at the graph since March 11th, 2020:
Abracadabra Money's $SPELL token has TANKED over the last couple of weeks.
But maybe things are a lot more bullish than they seem...
Here's how the brand new analytics available on the Abracadabra Money Dashboard tell us we're overdue for a pump:
I think the most direct way to value $SPELL is its cash flows: it's unique in that just about every cent from borrowing activity gets paid out to stakers.
The past 6 weeks have produced an average of $2.33 mm/week. That's about $120 million in yearly revenue.
And that revenue doesn't cost anything. No marketing, no COGS, no interest expense.
Thus, we can value it more or less as pure earnings.
Below are some comps with P/Es that show how $SPELL is very undervalued. Note Maker DAO for an analogous crypto.
If you're a $SPELL holder and follow byebyedai.money, you might have noticed that fees have dropped heavily over the last 7 days.
But that could be good for $SPELL in the long term: here's how @danielesesta used smart tokenomics to create a downward-resistant protocol👇
$SPELL, for now, generates fees for stakers of sSpell via three mechanisms:
• Position opening
• Position closing (liquidation)
• Interest on debt position
Unlike other forms of debt, you can pay your interest on your $MIM ( $SPELL's stablecoin ) position all at once:
1. Lock up your collateral for $MIM 2. Your collateral accrues interest 3. You repay all of the debt plus the interest 4. Interest is distributed to sSpell stakers
A collection of the most interesting threads on crypto Twitter this week.
Learn:
• Why L1 blockchain space is the alpha real estate in crypto
• How tradfi valuations miss the true value of crypto
• How to manage wealth like a rich person
Your Sunday crypto digest 👇
Everything in crypto comes back to one thing: blockchains.
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