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27 Nov, 13 tweets, 3 min read
Chris Whitty reciting GDB dogma today about prior infection leading to high degree of immunity, mixed with vaccination: apparently reinfection leads to less severe disease: this is wrong and a lie. This is shockingly wrong.
I wrote this on Thursday: before Omicron was named: nothing has changed since then, other than ad admission that the UK has confirmed cases:
The admission that we have cases comes after days of denialism: burytimes.co.uk/news/national/…
Masks are to return in shops and on public transport: the reason? The vaccines are not going to work: this is the truth. thesun.co.uk/news/16869344/…
Today's press conference was about 'boosters to save us'. The vaccines are not that effective at the best of times in the UK, due to our let it rip policy. So, even just a 20-30% decline in efficacy makes the whole ceremony useless.
We should give our vaccines to countries where Omicron has yet to take hold yet:in the developing world where they do their best to control the infection: we have wasted our vaccines like the spoiled, greedy ignorant and idiotic population we are.
Estimations by Yaneer Bar-Yam shows us that the virus is likely to kill 8x more than the wild type: Wuhan original strain: at the lowest level of estimation he says 3x: so infection fatality rate will be around 4-6%. 1 in 24—1 in 16.
More lies from today's press conference: Chris Whitty, the numbers are going up and have been for weeks: he is A FUCKING LYING MORON:
They are also lying about deaths being low: deaths have risen every single month since Freedom Day: they are now 18x higher than May. I repeat 18x.
These people are hardcore liars: they are scum of the earth. They are lying to us all—again. Remember this is the same people who told you the virus isn't airborne and still deny it!
The same people who told you children don't spread the virus: today saying that kids are the MOST infected in the country thanks to their mass infection plan. They claimed schools aren't sources of spread: they are the biggest source of spread.
They say kids generally have mild disease while 1 in 200 kids get hospitalised and more than 1 child has died every single week since the start of the pandemic.
These people are the most hard core liars you could ever meet: they don't GIVE A FUCK ABOUT YOU! They think you're thick as fucking shit. They think you're a fucking idiot. That's why they lie and kill us and laugh at us while they do so.

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More from @EnemyInAState

Chris Turnbull Profile picture
29 Nov
1/Omicron hospitalisations are between 5%-30% according to the data we currently have. The majority of those hospitalised are young people, and deaths may be 8x higher this variant that has clear vaccine evading properties.
2/ 2,600 infections were reported on 27 Nov in one day. The virus is doubling rapidly, so we can assume around 1,300 infections every day for the week previous to this one: around 9,100 in that week. Image
3/ South African Gov hospitalisation data from the region of Gauteng (centre of the outbreak) says that there 580 were admitted last week: this chart shows the exponential rise of admissions as the double every week. A tripling in 3 weeks. Image
Read 12 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
29 Nov
Confirmation that Omicron is more severe in younger people: Though there's no reason t assume the vaccines will help much due to the clear properties of this virus to evade immunity.
Vaccination levels in this age group 26%, they account for 35% of the hospitalisations: therefore they are the majority.
This is exactly what we'd expect to see with a vaccine evading variant. There are 30 changes in spike many of which are already known to evade prior immunity, there are many changes in receptor binding domain and changes as well relating other parts of the immune system.
Read 6 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
28 Nov
1/What the actual F*ck is going on with Omicron and Holland?

Yesterday we had reports of 61—11%—1 in 9—passengers out of 600 testing positive from just one flight from South Africa, today we hear it's 13? Image
I could understand if the remaining 48 do not have Omicron: but then how can the planes have 11% passengers infected, and only 13 of those 61 be Omicron? ImageImage
3/The assumption, given how rapidly this variant spreads, is surely that the majority would be Omicron and that cases of this magnitude would almost certainly be the super variant.
Read 11 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
28 Nov
South Africa reports people in their 20s and 30s with moderate to severe disease: in this age group about 25% are vaccinated: the majority of the vaccinated are therefore the ones with severe disease and in ICU: exactly what we'd expect with a vaccine resistant variant. Image
65%—6/10 in hospital unvaccinated in this age group: 25%—1/4 vaccination in this age group.
35% in hospital are vaxxed: 1/2.

Assuming half of that 35% are fully vaxxed:

17% = 1 in 5

Half vaxxed = 1 in 5

Fully vaccinated make up 1 in 5 patients.
This is vs baseline of 1 in 4, so we would expect, if there was reduction that vaccinated would make up a smaller proportion: not one = to baseline.

The 25% in this age group number comes from the figure given out during the press conference by SA officials on Thursday:
Read 7 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
28 Nov
'Nov 28 (Reuters) - Most Gulf stock markets fell sharply in early trade on Sunday, with the Saudi index suffering its biggest single-day fall in nearly two years as fears of a potentially vaccine-resistant coronavirus variant rattled investors.'

Oil markets are taking a big hit
"Among other losers, budget airline Air Arabia (AIRA.DU) plunged 7.1%."

They are pulling money out of oil and therefore travel based parts of the economy, expecting lockdowns, and facing an uncertain future:

reuters.com/markets/stocks…
The markets know what;s up: they don't have time for Gov lies about Covid and downplaying:

"The latest panedmic developments also sent oil prices, a key catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets, plunging by $10 a barrel on Friday for their largest one-day drop since April 2020.
Read 4 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
27 Nov
Reinfection: and why Omicron is so dangerous: here we have a good explanation from Yale University where they estimate reinfection to be around 5%: 1/20 people will be reinfected after just 3 months (I'm not sure about the 3 month window either, but, for now) Image
Yale researchers explain the basic virology that our Chief Medical Officer, health minister, and Prime Minister apparent;y don't understand: Changes in spike protein lead to reinfection: remember Omicron has 30 CHANGES IN SPIKE. Image
The same applies to many viruses we get reinfected by every year—with Covid there is this crazy assumption that each reinfection will be less severe: especially if you're vaccinated: why? where does this crazy idea come from? Image
Read 11 tweets

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