Fauci is absolutely right, as usual. Omicron (and/or future variants) can *potentially* cause a new wave regardless of season, but they might not. We will have to wait and see.

I'm grateful for (qualified, decent) Covid scientists around the world. If interested, read on...
I've already seen the far right fascist maga talking points that Omicron was somehow deliberately "released" in order to distract from political issues in the US.


I hate to break it to them but at the moment Covid began this was all set in train, naturally.
This pandemic is a natural disaster. Even if Covid was somehow manmade, it still would have evolved into variants, which is an ongoing natural process.

Working together so that poorer countries can vaccinate their people would hamper this natural process of mutating variants.
Sending vaccine products like Pfizer or Moderna would be of no use to poorer countries, because licensed providers such as nurses are needed to administer them.

The polio vaccine can be taken by mouth, making it possible to get their large populations vaccinated.
South Africa is about 24% Covid vaccinated. Ofc that makes the country ripe for developing variants like Omicron. Delta arose in India, a similarly (on average) underdeveloped country.

Both have a small population living in first world conditions among a very poor majority.
The half dozen or so Southern African neighbors of the Republic of South Africa are even worse off.

IMO there's no time to waste debating how this happened. It's in the interests of the US and others to help them all get vaccinated. It doesn't have to be with current vaccines.
Some of the current vaccines could be used to help in the poorest countries, and non-injectable Covid vaccines are being developed, too. It all takes time, though.

Biden has raised the possibility of waiving IP rights, which no doubt will alarm some. The devil is in the detail.
I will wait to see firm proposals of how investor rights would be balanced against the right to life. Both are enshrined in the US Constitution.

American lives are threatened by a natural disaster that worsens their risk level by evolving variants in less vaccinated countries.
Real life politics is full of trade-offs and nuance and complex calculations. We each have the choice between admitting that or pretending we can make the complex simple.

There may be ways to get this balance right. The alternative, doing nothing, is not an option right now.
Although I'm a free market conservative, I readily acknowledge that during WWI & WWII it was necessary to be on a war footing & make decisions based on the emergency situation that fell upon us.

All our governments did this, including the US & the UK. There was no alternative.
The facts about this pandemic mean it's an emergency on the level of those wars. It will become the defining global event of our lives, like the two wars did.

Helping get poorer countries vaxxed is not just a humanitarian thing; it can hasten the end of the pandemic for us.
First world economic resources are not limited. New research is starting to show that Germans supported Nazism partly because of a view that the world's resources are limited. 90 years later the explosion in technology has made that view even more wrong.
Whether I like Biden or not, I do trust him to make better pandemic response decisions than his predecessor did. He doesn't act alone; he seeks out the credible scientific advice available to him. He gets out of their way.

Thank heavens for that.🇺🇸💙💜

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More from @FreedomFriesInc

27 Nov
Been listening to this excellent song "All You Fascists." Here's a thread about a term in the lyrics:

"The people in this world are GETTING ORGANIZED."

The trade union movement's MO has traditionally focused on the concept of organization. It's closely tied to democracy.
The thread I linked above at the start of this one has more context about my current views on American democracy and why I left the T**** cult after the sore loser refused to accept the result of the 2020 Presidential election. (He somehow accepts all the other results, lol.)
Read the song lyrics here.

"Words and Music by Woody Guthrie, Derivative by Billy Bragg."

I was a Billy Bragg fan in the 1980s and kinda rediscovered him in the late 2000s. He's unapologetically left wing in his music.

Read 25 tweets
24 Nov
Thread: Current #WaukeshaAttack death toll rises from 5 to 6.

The first 5 victims were all adults, the 6th is a child. I think seated, elderly spectators couldn't get away fast like others could.

My thoughts below on possible motives:

The far right extremist GQP side are pushing a racist narrative bc the defendant is Black. They falsely accuse opponents of playing down this attack bc the defendant is not white.

As one of their opponents, I'm not playing it down one bit. As usual for me, regardless of race.
The attacks in Waukesha, WI and Parkland, FL have some things in common (and other things not in common!)

Both defendants might have been stopped if authorities were more "tough on crime."

Both defendants have known political views.

Both are obviously severely mentally ill.
Read 14 tweets
22 Nov
Always sad to see. (Screenshot shows what info was available at the time of my tweet; bc it often changes.)

Regardless of the who, what, how, when or why, I still recommend trying to avoid situations where a vehicle could hit you. The threat level continues to be very high.
Obviously, it's not practical to totally avoid being a pedestrian in a busy area. But participating in a parade like this one in Waukesha, WI today is not as safe as it was two years ago. And things won't improve enough for some time to come. No one knows how long it will take.
During the pandemic so far there have been multiple mass casualty or other dangerous situations around the world. The USA is not alone in this. But the USA has a further complication overlaying the pandemic: the significant and ongoing threat of civil unrest and related harm.
Read 8 tweets
15 Nov
Aside from obv irresponsible gun use, it's another example of this prosecutor's bad strategic calls. The facts of this case do not require such a demonstration. It risks putting some jurors off a conviction.

Either way, I predict rioting. Bc no one can call off rioters now...
There was a time, in recent years, where the instigators of #StochasticTerrorism eg Trump could've called off their self-sacrificing minions, but we have passed that point.

1/6 had a lot to do with it. A week prior, I predicted the riot & that he wdn't be able to call them off
What I didn't predict was the extent of the terrorist violence on 1/6, and that he would have no intention of using his powers as POTUS to forcibly bring the rioting to an end.

Others had to do that, and it took hours and hours to do.
Read 14 tweets
15 Nov
Thread: VP Kamala Harris low approval ratings

IMO Harris was the right choice for Biden's 2020 running mate. No other candidate had the name recognition and relatively low-scandal b/g. There were far too many primary candidates. Mostly tire kickers. I predicted he'd choose her.
It's super easy at this point for people to knock Harris, Biden or both. I see it as just noise. This time last year the US had two intensely crucial fights on its hands: The pandemic, and keeping the Republic.

The US still has those fights on its hands, & is still in the game.
FDR did a ton of things in office dealing with the Great Depression then WWII. Many of those things were deeply unpopular. But he kept going. Then Truman carried on doing what needed to be done.

Countless lives were saved.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
If true, Harry Markle should produce the evidence and also give testimony on all this. If my Queen, Charles, or William had felt this way they would've told the PM, who then could've used the normal diplomatic channels to tell the legitimate US *authorities.* Harry is a child.
If you're new to the UK royal watching side of my Twitter account, know this: I predicted years ago that Harry would quit the firm, and I saw early on the danger posed by his C-grade actress girlfriend.

It has nothing at all to do with anyone's race.
I've been a royal watcher since childhood in the 1970s. HM the Queen is literally my head of state here in NZ.

I have forgiven her heir for his domestic conduct and I became much better informed about his late ex-wife's conduct during their marriage. Few know she cheated first.
Read 8 tweets

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