Once you have read below thread and not yet bored, come and read this

3. If really doing fundamental investing, have your own conviction. Going through someone else research work is not conviction. Actual individual research starts after that
4. If technical guy, build your own system or process than seeking buy sell tips on social media. charts change views change, results change views change, its better to learn 1 time than asking 1000 times

5. Use social media to gather ideas but use your own filters
6. Above all, remember this. Both bulls are bears are thumping their own ego, nothing else, not their fault, human (me too guilty - both sides).
You do your job because ITS YOUR MONEY. DO THE HARD WORK, BUILD YOUR OWN STYLE WHICH WORKS FOR YOU

Thanks for reading in case you reached here

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with kumar saurabh

kumar saurabh Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @suru27

2 Dec
A thread🧵 on so called market traps of transitionary performing stocks which leads to retail getting stuck. Doing as lot of tweets floating on such stocks.

Will take example of one of such stock with my own twitter history though I never presented in public #Neulandlabs
1. If you think, every performing stock will become an Asian paints, you are in for disaster. 99% of businesses are cyclic, only quantum differs. So, either do not overpay or if overpaying a bit and have confidence in the business, then,
hold for long (15-20% of companies still in long run generate 15%+ CAGR). One should know his time frame, expectation, price he or she is paying and what kind of investor class he belongs to. This is how story usually starts and ends:
Read 26 tweets
30 Nov
🧵 A thread on #StarHealth #starhealthipo
📽️Will post YouTube video tomorrow

You may skip initial tweets but do read last 7-8 tweets because that is where the key risks are and some of them are least discussed

Please like and retweet for better reach🙏
The good side: Why health insurance sector?
High Growth Industry
Huge Market Size Opportunity
Yet to catch up with worldwide average
Shift from public to private
Good future opportunity size and growth prospects if India’s GDP can grow
health insurance expected to grow at ~16% CAGR over FY20-30E with an assumption of ~53% penetration (penetration in USA at 91% as of CY17 ), 1% CAGR population growth of 1% CAGR and 6% medical inflation
Read 25 tweets
23 Aug
Now take its peer. Did almost the same stuff. cashflows 4x but could maintain margins, show some growth. Screwed on 5 year basis but decent return on 10 year basis at 19% CAGR.
The whole difference was created by valuation. 2010 one did not pay high but 2015 with all great things one paid high and paid the price
Valuations matter in most of the cases. HDFCs are rare. You will get 10 HDFC out of 2000 stocks and that too in hindsight
Read 4 tweets
23 Aug
A business which has multiplied its cash flows 4.5x in last 10 years has generated 1% CAGR in last 10 years.

Think multiple times while paying high n have exit plan ready when things do not work out.

Guess the stock. All data taken from screener
10 Years back the business had very good growth, high margins.
But then looks like competition sensed opportunity, barrier to entry may not have been that great. So, slowly margins fell down
Read 6 tweets
13 Apr
Time for a small thread 🧵on 10 common secrets of good fundamental analyst and technical analyst (personal view, no ranking)-

1. Makes it a Habit 📡

Fundamental Analyst: To read annual reports and conference call transcripts daily

Technical Analyst: To study few charts daily
2. Knows what to Ignore🙈

Fundamental Analyst: Creates his own process/system to ignore most of stuff and knows which companies to focus

Technical Analyst: Creates his own process/system to ignore most of stuff and knows which charts to focus
3. Knows when to ignore⏰

Fundamental Analyst: Knows when not to invest and can sit on cash looking an idiot

Technical Analyst: Knows when not to trade to save from continuous small stop losses or big loss
Read 11 tweets
16 Jan
Is market overvalued?

Market ka kya lagta hai?

What is NIFTY PE?

Well, current PE of NIFTY is 40 but there is more..

A thread covering these questions. 1st thing, uploaded a youtube video on the same. Can watch it n subscribe to channel if like 🙂

The 40 PE of NIFTY is considering TTM earnings (in the table) which includes quarters affected by Covid and we all know that there were temporary business shutdowns due to Covid. So, is not this an outlier situation. So, how to handle it
One way to handle it is- Ignore Covid quarters and go back to previous quarters assuming same performance during Covid quarters. Now the 40 PE reduces to 32.4. Almost a 20% reduction
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(