Elastic $ESTC 2Q22 Earnings 💪🏻

- Rev $206m +42% ↗️
- Gross Profit $152m +43% ↗️ margin 74% +38 bps✅
- NG EBIT $1m ⤴️ margin 1% +187 bps✅
- NG Net Income -$9m ↘️ margin -4% -249 bps↘️
- OCF -$10m margin -5% +689 bps✅
- FCF -$12m margin -6% +688 bps✅ Image
Business Metrics

Strong Customer Growth
>15,000 Subscription Customers
>730 customers with ACV >$100
>75 customers with ACV >$1M
- High Net Expansion ~130%
- Billings $231m +30% ↗️
- Deferred Rev $832m +29% ↗️
- RPO $832m +29% ↗️
- Avg contract length ~1.5Y ✅ Image
1| Solid Q2

“Our strong second-quarter results were fueled by the rapid adoption of Elastic Cloud, the increased strategic relevance of our solutions, and continued expansion across our customer base.”
2 | The Problem of Unstructured and Endless Data

“…digital transformation…creating massive volume of data.

IDC estimates that by 2025…generating 480 exabytes of data per day and as much as 90% of that data is unstructured and with endless data comes endless possibility.”
3 | High Recurring Revenue Model

- Total Rev: +42%
- Sub Rev: ~93% of total | +45% ◀️
- Self-Managed Rev ~66% of total | +34%
- SaaS Rev ~27% of total | +80% ◀️
4 | Story of the Cloud

➡️ Expects consumption-based Elastic Cloud (current ~34% up from 26% OYA) to ↗️ to >50% of revenues in 3Y.

“Cloud was once again the highlight, with strong new customer adds & robust consumption trends…expect cloud will remain a tailwind for the LT.”
5 | Revenue better measure going forward

“Monthly cloud business has no deferred revenue or RPO.”

“I think revenue is the best measure for us to reflect the performance of our business.”

“…consumption model, revenue reflects customers current consumption patterns…
5 | Revenue better measure going forward (cont’d)

it's not a time-based runoff of historical deals. So, revenue in fact in a consumption business is a very current measure of customer activity.”
6 | The Data Flywheel 🔄

“The consumption model faces no limits on how much data a customer can bring into our platform.”

“We shine when there's data in Elastic itself.”

“So the more data comes into Elastic, the more consumption is driven in our cloud...”
7 | Inherent Operating Leverage with Scale resulting in improving profit margins as revenues grow Image
8 | Not Top Dog Yet: Elastic recognized as Challenger in the Forrester New Wave™: Extended Detection and Response (XDR) Providers, Q4 2021 (even before officially launching their Limitless XDR offering) Image
9 | Cash Flows - Positive in FY22

“…quarterly cash flow can be lumpy & affected by timing issues & seasonal variation, so we look at cash flow primarily for the full fiscal year…continue to expect our FCF margin to remain slightly positive on an unlevered basis in FY22.”
➡️ Final Takeaway Elastic $ESTC:

Still growing rapidly, extending beyond observability, to enterprise search & security. Faster growing Cloud to drive growth & shift to more recurring monthly revenue than lumpier annual revenues. Profit margins improving with operating leverage.

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More from @EugeneNg_VCap

7 Dec
Coupa Software $COUP 3Q22 Earnings 💪🏻

- Rev $186m +40%↗️
- GP $108m +32%↗️ margin 58% -358 bps↘️
- NG EBIT $28m +95%🚀 margin 15% +427 bps✅
- NG Net Inc $24m +81%🚀 margin 13% +287 bps✅
- OCF $31m +63% ↗️ margin 17% +240 bps✅
- FCF $28m +63% ↗️ margin 15% +216 bps✅
1 | Still Strong

- RPO $1.2b +58% ↗️
- cRPO +mid 40s% ↗️
- cRPO (ex Lamasoft) +mid 30% ↗️

4Q22 Guide
- Revenue $185-186m (flat QoQ)
- Billings $290m (mid teens after Lamasoft $14.8m adj)
2 | Strong Q

“We delivered another strong quarter with record revenue and profitability….we are seeing strong adoption of the Coupa platform…”
Read 11 tweets
7 Dec
MongoDB $MDB 3Q22 Earnings 💪🏻

- Rev $227m +50% ↗️
- Gross Profit $158m +51% ↗️ margin 70% +41 bps✅
- NG EBIT -$4m ⤴️ margin -2% +907 bps✅
- NG Net Income -$7m ⤴️ margin -3% +891 bps✅
- OCF -$6m ⤴️ margin -3% +283 bps✅
- FCF -$9m ⤴️ margin -4% +585 bps✅
$MDB Biz Metrics 💪🏻

- Atlas +84% 🚀now ~58% of revenues ↗️
(vs 56% in 2Q22, 47% in 3Q21)
- Cust >31K +37% ↗️ +2K QoQ 📶
- Atlas Cust >29.5K +40% ↗️
- Cust >$100k ARR 1,201 +34% ↗️
- Net AR Expansion >120% ✅
- >$0.5bn Rev Run-Rate 📈
1 | Strong 3Q22

“…just to reiterate, our strong performance is really due to again our consistent go to market execution as well as the confluence of the fact that the secular trends are really reinforcing our technical advantages and our growing credibility with customers….”
Read 12 tweets
5 Dec
My biggest takeaway from listening to “Invest Like the Best with Ram Parameswaran @_ram_ with Patrick O'Shaughnessy @patrick_oshag (5Jan2021)” 👇🏻

joincolossus.com/episodes/22392… Image
1 | Current Market Cap of Internet Companies ~10%

2 | 20-30 years, go up that S-Curve ~50-70% Image
3 | Front-end (marketplace, e-commerce, on-demand, ad & content solutions), with payments and software (cloud). Image
Read 9 tweets
24 Nov
Reflection.

With the Q3 earnings season nearing the end, and after doing numerous earnings reviews for my portfolio companies.

Here’s 10 of my biggest reflections and key takeaways 👇🏻:
1 | Fluctuations.

Not every businesses will do well every quarter.

There will be some quarters that they will do really well.

There will be some quarters, they won’t do so well, consolidating, reinvesting, pivoting.

There will be others indicating a long-term broader decline.
2 | Impairment.

If the business did not do well, was it only one quarter or many consecutive quarters?

If the former, take a chill pill & relax.

If more than a couple of quarters, is the business structurally deteriorating faster than expected?

Distinguish the difference.
Read 12 tweets
23 Nov
Zoom $ZM 3Q22 Earnings 💪🏻
- Rev $1.05b +35% ↗️
- GP $778m +50% ↗️ margin 74% +750bps ✅
- NG EBIT $411m +41% margin 39% +1728bps ✅
- NG Net Income $338m +14% margin 39% ⭐️ +173bps ✅
- OCF $395m -4% ↘️ margin 38% ⭐️ -1539bps ↘️
- FCF $375m -3% ↘️ margin 36% ⭐️ -1428bps ↘️ Image
➡️ $ZM Strong Business Metrics 💪🏻

- 26% incremental rev from existing cust
- Cust > TTM $100k 2,507 +94% 🚀
- Cust >10 staff 512K +18% ↗️
- TTM NDER (>10) >130% 14th cons Q ⭐️

- 4Q22 Rev Guide Flat QoQ $1.05b ➡️
- 4Q33 NDRR to be modestly below 130% mark ➡️
1 | Q4 - Lowest Seasonality

“…for deferred revenue there's two things to remember, which is the seasonality trend of our renewals is that Q1 is the largest quarter for renewals order for renewals and Q4 is the lowest.”
Read 11 tweets
17 Nov
NVIDIA $NVDA 3Q22 Earnings💪🏻

- Rev $7.1b +50%↗️
- Gross Profit $4.6b +56% ↗️ margin 65% +260bps✅
- NG EBIT $3.4b +70% ↗️ margin 48%⭐️+550bps✅
- NG Net Income $3.0b +62% ↗️margin 42%⭐️+304bps✅
- OCF $1.5b +19% ↗️ margin 21% -568bps↘️
- FCF $1.3b +58% ↗️ margin 18% +90bps✅
➡️ $NVDA Revenues by Segment 💪🏻

- Gaming Rev $3.2b +42% ↗️⭐️
- Data Center Rev $2.9b +55% ↗️⭐️
- Visualization Rev $577m +144% 🚀
- Auto Rev $135m +8% ➡️
- OEM Rev $234m +21% ↗️
1 | Solid Q3

“The third quarter was outstanding, with record revenue. Demand for NVIDIA AI is surging, driven by hyperscale and cloud scale-out, and broadening adoption by more than 25,000 companies.”
Read 16 tweets

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