@GernotWagner @KateAronoff G-North gets back into planetary boundaries, right? Simultaneously, G-South must build infrastructure – which determines by how much G-North must shrink so global raw material use/a stays sustainable. Finance & social probs need research before deflating the balloon = "Degrowth".
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff G-North has to shrink material consumption TO 1/3 of today to get back into planetary boundary and let G-South raise their material consumption out of poverty. Less poverty = fewer climate refugees = less sudden urbanisation, destabilisation, fascism. mdpi.com/2079-9276/8/3/…
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff Above paper and others state 30Gt/a (today 100Gt/a!) as sustainable limit for non-biotic material like cement, metals etc, and 20Gt/a (25 today) biotic, as in food, cotton, biofuel etc.
To shrink to 1/3 => no more construction, no more ICE cars, no more cruise ships, .. = jobs📉!
To shrink to 1/3 => no more construction, no more ICE cars, no more cruise ships, .. = jobs📉!
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff It HAS to be done. There's no way around it.
Someone has to research what !global! impact that has on ppl's lives beyond job loss, ie pension funds, stock market, etc, so G-North's shrinkage into planetary boundaries can then be organized while guaranteeing ppl the safe basics.
Someone has to research what !global! impact that has on ppl's lives beyond job loss, ie pension funds, stock market, etc, so G-North's shrinkage into planetary boundaries can then be organized while guaranteeing ppl the safe basics.
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff Actual case to illustrate why research is needed for when a society goes into degrowth mode:
China lowers magnesium production in 2021👉closes a car factory in Zwickau, Germany. And likely, due to that closure in Zwickau, other factories in Bavaria and in Bolivia close, too. 📉
China lowers magnesium production in 2021👉closes a car factory in Zwickau, Germany. And likely, due to that closure in Zwickau, other factories in Bavaria and in Bolivia close, too. 📉
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff We can't have societal upheaval now in our most defining decade when the bulk of CO2 has to be gone in G-North, and our focus shd be to keep the world as stable AP, until CO2 is 0.
So our job is to ensure no one is left behind.
Pls remember: material use = biodiversity and GHG.
So our job is to ensure no one is left behind.
Pls remember: material use = biodiversity and GHG.
@GernotWagner @KateAronoff What Degrowth-research covers: the extent of the required shrinkage, the best way to organize it so ppl stay safe (global stability!), and what to do w/ current societal processes which won't fit into the degrowth phase or into the non-growth reality later. NonGrowth is the goal.
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