VACCINE RISK
Even if vaccines have not been around for long, the sample for the Covid vaccines is so yuuuuge that we can already see what risks they don't have & proceed by elimination.
This is not a precise estimation but the framework to work with.
Even if vaccines have not been around for long, the sample for the Covid vaccines is so yuuuuge that we can already see what risks they don't have & proceed by elimination.
This is not a precise estimation but the framework to work with.
Incidentally, for the distribution of the minima, there is little difference between n= 1 billion and n= 5 billion!
4) This guy is very smart.
The distribution of harm *from one exposure* has few degrees of freedom.
The distribution of harm *from one exposure* has few degrees of freedom.
https://twitter.com/omarg333/status/1467896497475891209?s=20
5) ILLUSTRATION
Someone showed argued and showed paper saying Kuru had incubation of 10 years. Well, that is an average not a deterministic point.
From estimation in PAPER, I inferred the distribution of people in first 2 years. Would show in large samples.
Someone showed argued and showed paper saying Kuru had incubation of 10 years. Well, that is an average not a deterministic point.
From estimation in PAPER, I inferred the distribution of people in first 2 years. Would show in large samples.
6) (Vaccine Risk) Today was a good day.
@dzviovich found a proof of what I was doing casually & intuitively. Carcinogenesis obeys a gamma-type distribution.
@dzviovich found a proof of what I was doing casually & intuitively. Carcinogenesis obeys a gamma-type distribution.
7) Finally the real reason it turns out to be a really good day:
BOTH single exposures and repeated exposures follow a Gamma Dist since: a sum of gamma distributed variables is ... gamma distributed!
BOTH single exposures and repeated exposures follow a Gamma Dist since: a sum of gamma distributed variables is ... gamma distributed!
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