Thread by @JMilesColeman

Four gubernatorial rating changes from @kkondik and me today:

MD: Leans D -> Likely D
MN: Likely D -> Leans D
NV: Leans D -> Toss-up
NM: Likely D -> Leans D

Also, notes on some races we *didn't* change over here: centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…

And a reminder:

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1282898652923600897?s=20

We note in the article that we have a pretty broad Leans D category: MI is closer to the Toss-up end of that, but, say, MN is closer to Likely. In an great environment, Rs could flip most (maybe all) of those, but they still have work do in some of them.

And sticking to the governors theme, @AlanIAbramowitz with an accompanying piece today on whether persuasion or turnout mattered more in VA last month:

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…

If the situation in GA was the same as it was 2 weeks ago, I could see us moving it to Leans R today. May eventually get there anyway if this environment persists, but the entrance of Abrams and Perdue since then at least complicates things for Kemp, so we kept it as a Toss-up.