Over the last two weeks I’ve spoken to 100+ companies cancelling return to the office due to the Omicron variant

A few predictions on what most companies will do in 2022

[ a thread ] 💻 🏠 🌍
💀Office Death: leases are expiring and not being renewed

By the time people could return to the office a lot of companies will no longer have space the would need to go back
🏃‍♂️ City Flight: workers will continue to leave the cities their offices are located in

Many will end up quitting their jobs if their companies try to force them back to the office
🚜 Rural Living: many people, particularly those with families, will move to have more space, bigger homes

‘Second-tier cities’ will do very well as people move back to the areas they are from
🎡 Hybrid Conflict: what companies think hybrid work is and what workers think it is are two different things

Workers think it means being able to work remotely whenever they want

Companies think it means telling workers when they must attend

Huge resentment will happen
🏗 Construction Cancellation: perfect storm of high commodity prices and empty offices will lead to far less being built

There will be a huge deficit in high quality spaces optimized for remote workers when they do come together physically
🌍 Global Hiring: almost everything company will begin expanding the areas in which they hire

Remote work will democratize access to the best opportunity even more rapidly over the next 6-12 months
❌ Offsite Postponement: Most companies will stop remote off sites until at least the end of Q1 2022

There will be a big push forward on things that build culture remotely and perks delivered in peoples homes
👋 Hyper Turnover: workers have seen how they’re companies intend to remote work

Many don’t like what they have seen

We are about to live through the highest period of turnover between companies in history as people find the company who gives them what they need
🏠 Micro Coworking: spaces close to home will rise rapidly for people who don’t want to or can’t WFH

This will be a home on every street, kitted out with the right furniture, great coffee, and on demand fitness equipment
💺 Office Furntiture: the best companies in the world will care about their people the most

Making sure workers are as safe, comfortable and productive at home as in an office is essential

Great companies will do this

Bad ones won’t
⏰ Async Emerges: remote work has lasted so long people are fatigued by the office being replicated remotely

Being in video calls all day makes you feel busy but crushed productivity

Most companies are looking to become more async as a result
⛓ Habits Fixed: remote work has lasted so long, some behaviors will be almost impossible to change

By the time people can go back into the office safely, remote work will have been the norm for millions of people for over 2 years
🚗 Commuting Death: no matter what companies try workers will never accept commuting 2H a day again

Companies who don’t realize this will push their best people out the door
💰 Remote Savings: spending $10K-50K per worker on office space each year will never happen again

Companies won’t just save this cash, they will use it to retain and attract great people
💉 Vaccine Debate: there will be furious discussion on the right policy’s companies will roll out relating to vaccinated and unvaccinated workers
❤️ Remote Communities: workers living closer to other friends, family, or people with similar hobbies who all work remotely

Shared childcare, living closer to the things that make them happiest, all while continuing to do great work
👩‍⚖️ Remote Laws: Many companies are beginning to operate under the assumption that the choice to work remotely will become a legal right

This will give workers the option to choose where they work, and many companies are acting before they are forced
🤔Thrive or Perish: in a knowledge economy a company is only as talented at the team they employ

Companies that try to go full-time won’t exist 5 years from now
Why do so many companies talk to me?

FirstbaseHQ.com

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Chris Herd

Chris Herd Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @chris_herd

29 Nov
In 2021, millions of people globally realize they want to continue working remotely

A few predictions of what will happen in 2022

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍
🏢 HQ Death: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

The will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 23 tweets
27 Nov
There are a lot of people who believe social contact and human connection only happen at the office
Sad because the quality of social contact and human connection outside of the office is much higher
It’s not a good thing when your closest relationships depend on the continued success of your employer to exist
Read 19 tweets
15 Nov
"We need the office because we solve all our problems at the water cooler"

People think this is a good thing?

Breaking down this office myth 🧵
Companies the leave innovation, communication, and problem-solving to chance are broken

Allowing this to happen by accident is akin to buying a lottery ticket and crossing your fingers

Trusting your organization success to this is suicidee
Ask anyone who says this:

"what the biggest problem they've ever seen solved 'at the water cooler'?"

They'll likely tell you that they've never seen it happen personally, but to trust them, people tell them it happens all the time

This means it rarely happens
Read 19 tweets
13 Nov
“People need to go back to the office for the human contact and connection”

But I get way more “human contact” with my kids, family, friends, & doing the things I love most – while doing the best work of my life —being a remote worker?

Breaking down this office myth 🧵
There next line is always “humans are social animals” as if we had offices thousands of years ago

We have never spent so little time with our kids, families, and friends

We need deep relationships with to have meaningful interactions

At an office? Not so much
*Not saying people don’t make friends at work

But think about it: how many people are you still in weekly contact with from your last employer?

What about the one before that?

And before that?
Read 8 tweets
10 Nov
For the last 6 months, people have said that hybrid is the future of work. There is widespread belief that companies and workers agree

The problem?

They don’t

The hybrid explosion is coming ⏰💣
Ask a company what they mean when they say hybrid

They will likely tell you some version of:

“We expect people to come into the office Monday, Tuesday or Thursday, and Friday. They have to be there 9-5”
Ask their teams what they mean when they say hybrid and they will tell you that:

“Hybrid means being able to go into an office if/when I want to, and work the hours that suit my lifestyle”

Massive divide…
Read 14 tweets
29 Oct
What’s next in remote work? 🧵
🎡 Hybrid Conflict: what companies think hybrid work is and what workers think it is are two different things

Workers think it means being able to work remotely whenever they want

Companies think it means telling workers when they must attend

Huge resentment will happen
🚜 Rural Living: People will move to second-tier cities and rural areas and have a lower cost of living & higher quality of life

These regions must innovate quickly to attract that wealth. Better schools, faster internet connections are a must
Read 23 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(