Thread by @biancoresearch

1/10

Some concerning developments on COVID in the last few hours.

A thread to explain, and a clarification ... none of what is explain below is what I want, rather it is what I fear is coming.

2/10

*S. AFRICA DAILY COVID CASES AT 37,875, BREAKING PREVIOUS RECORD

This chart does NOT include the headline above (Johns Hopkins will update all countries this evening).

A nearly 38,000 daily case count will shoot off the top and the chart will need to be rescaled.

3/10

See the rest of Africa, their case counts are also starting to go vertical (orange line).

It will be interesting to see what this data points shows when updated tonight and the coming days.

4/10

Turning to the UK

*BORIS JOHNSON TO ADDRESS U.K. ON VACCINES AT 8 P.M. SUNDAY

manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/b…

5/10

The 7-day average of UK COVID cases (orange) is above 50k for the first time since January, and daily cases (bars) continue to spike.

6/10

Relative vaccination rates between the US and UK.
The UK is already way ahead of the US.

7/10

Again, when cases rise, politicians panic and restrict the economy.

Hospitalizations, recoveries, and treatments matter, but POLICY is made by panicky politicians over rising case counts, like the panicky politician that is going to speak from #10 Downing in about 2 hours.

8/10

In the US we can say "people have had it with restrictions" and "we are not going to be like this."

But if the US follows Europe, as this chart suggests, watch how fast and furious the restrictions will come here.

Easy to say no restrictions will happen before the spike.

9/10

Keep in mind the cases rise in the UK is Delta, Omicron is still to come.

So, Boris will increase access to boosters and beg everyone to get a shot. And even if they do and cases still spike to near 100k/day, when Omicron comes, then what does he do?

This is my fear.

10/10

Biden will be no different, we are just further down the curve than the UK.

But when we get to where the UK is now, we will do the same things, so watch what they do in the coming weeks as it is a window to what is coming in the US.

Not what I want, it is what I fear.

Look at the responses!

Many are not reading it, giving emotional reactions. Others have "just decided" that no matter how high cases go, nothing will change.

I hope this is what happens. I do not want restrictions, by the last 22 months suggests this is wishful thinking.

Original Bloomberg headline:
*S. AFRICA DAILY COVID CASES AT 37,875, BREAKING PREVIOUS RECORD

But three hours later:
*CORRECT: SOUTH AFRICA DAILY COVID CASES 18,035

and
*SOUTH AFRICAN PRESIDENT TESTS POSITIVE FOR COVID: PRESIDENCY