In the next days, graphs (like👇) will show explosions of omicron & lockdowns will re-appear across Europe.
To motivate fatigued publics, it is key to not just appeal to fear. Communication should help people cope & envision how to pull thru.
An evidence-based 🧵 on how. (1/5)
Studies on crisis communication argues that good communication needs to identify the problem *and* tell people how to deal with the problem (doi.org/10.1111/bjhp.1…). The "through-the-roof"-graphs only does the former. (2/5)
In Jan 2021 with alpha, we used epidemic modelling to draw a graph that both identified the problem *and* spoke to the hope of dealing with the problem: psyarxiv.com/gxcyn/. It shows the race between variants & vaccines and the need for distancing until vaccines arrive. (3/5)
We used this visual aid in an experiment with >3000 Americans. Half was explained the situation using the hope-oriented graph. The other half just received a threat-graph of rising infections. Hope increased support for restrictions and motivations to adhere to guidelines. (4/5)
We now face a new race between variants & vaccines: Omicron vs. boosters. Again, we need to not just appeal to fear but to help people see how we get through this. As fatigue increases with time (psyarxiv.com/y6wm4/), the right communication is key for public support. (5/5)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The Danish government just announced new restrictions to hinder the spread of omicron
The background are these data on the rise of omicron cases in Denmark & the vaccination status of those infected, suggesting rapid spread & some evasion of 2 vaccine doses for infection
Note that the number of cases is small and we don't know how many vaccinated vs. unvaccinated were exposed. So, interpret with extreme caution.
(2/3)
Restrictions are:
- Closing night life
- Closing venues with 50+ standing guests
- Early closing of schools for Xmas
- Shorter period in which vaxx gives valid corona passport (to 7 months)
- Encourage working from home
Would we have dealt better with COVID-19 without social media?
The idea of an "infodemic" may suggest so.
As a social media researcher involved in the covid-response, my answer is a strong "no". To react, info needs to be faster than the virus. On social media, it is.
🧵(1/8)
In a history of epidemics, Rosenberg describes patterns extraordinarily similar to now (jstor.org/stable/20025233). With one difference: This time countries could react *before* "bodies accumulated". Part of the reason: Rapid information-sharing via media & social media. (2/8)
E.g.: Whistleblowers in Wuhan used social media to warn.(france24.com/en/asia-pacifi…). Also, the #FlattenTheCurve hashtag helped billions understand what needed to be done. 2 things spread across the globe in 2020: COVID-19 & the idea of distancing. The latter was quicker. (3/8)
🚨What motivates parents to vaccinate their child against COVID-19?
Evidence from 🇩🇰 shows that parents balance concerns of side-effects & motivations to normalize society & childrens lives: psyarxiv.com/8e49j/
Concern is higher among parents of younger children. 🧵(1/6)
We surveyed 791 parents of Danish children aged between 6 and 15, recruited via random population sampling. Overall, vaccination willingness were high (& likely overestimated due to sampling bias) but depended crucially on the age of the child. (2/6)
To understand the considerations underlying these decisions, we developed a stepwise theoretical model of the vaccination decision and measured a range of considerations. (3/6)
The world closes its borders to Africa after the detection of VOC Omicron.
Our research shows it will be easy to garner public support. In fact, the African origin may increase support, as support is partially tied to prejudice.
Communicators need to tread carefully.
🧵(1/7)
In 2020, we conducted a massive study (N>67,000) on support for increased border control across 8 Western countries (doi.org/10.1080/174572…). In most countries, it was high. (2/7)
This support was driven by a coalition of those always against immigration & those personally fearful of covid. Thus, the biggest predictors are being right-wing and being personally (not socially) concerned about covid. (3/7)
We use a difference-in-differences design on the basis of daily surveys of trust and vaccination status in Denmark. On Nov 8 2021, a press conference announced that covid passports were re-introduced, in part, to make life of the unvaxxed "more burdensome". (2/4)
Among the unvaxxed, this lead to a decrease in their trust in the political strategy of handling the COVID-19 pandemic with 11 %-points. This group was already low in trust but the announcement decreased it further. The vaxxed had high and unchanged levels of trust. (3/4)
Many restrictions now target the unvaxxed. Beyond public health arguments, a behavioral logic is increasingly used ("we need to pressure them!").
But be warned: This logic comes with great costs.
A 🧵 on almost 2 years of research on the societal impact of the pandemic. (1/10)
A pandemic is an excessively severe crisis. Beyond the health consequences, one of the main causalities is trust in the political system. We have tracked government support across countries. And it drops as the crisis unfolds: doi.org/10.1080/014023…. (2/10)
Our research shows that this decreasing trust is driven by feelings of fatigue, which again is driven by restrictions and the time that passes as the pandemic drags on and on and on: psyarxiv.com/y6wm4/. (3/10)