Ye Gods!
Who is briefing @NicolaSturgeon?
Once again, she quotes an #Omicron doubling time of 2-3 days. 🤬
It’s under 2 days, and certainly nowhere close to 3 days.
By all means, let’s see the working behind a calculation of 3 days?
I’ll wait and then point out the error. 🙄
Who is briefing @NicolaSturgeon?
Once again, she quotes an #Omicron doubling time of 2-3 days. 🤬
It’s under 2 days, and certainly nowhere close to 3 days.
By all means, let’s see the working behind a calculation of 3 days?
I’ll wait and then point out the error. 🙄
You can get some variation in the calculation of doubling time.
It depends on which exponential curve you’re measuring.
For example, growth in Total #Omicron cases...OR growth in Daily Omicron cases.
Clearly they are related, but will result in (not very) different values.
It depends on which exponential curve you’re measuring.
For example, growth in Total #Omicron cases...OR growth in Daily Omicron cases.
Clearly they are related, but will result in (not very) different values.
The sinplest method of calculation (which I use) works it out from a formula using the starting value and the current value.
You can make it more complicated by working out a best fit exponential curve to the data.
Again, you’ll get a (not very) different number via that route.
You can make it more complicated by working out a best fit exponential curve to the data.
Again, you’ll get a (not very) different number via that route.
However using ANY of those routes, based on yesterday’s data, #Omicron doubling time is in the range of about 1.5 to 1.7 days.
There is no (correct) calculation that can currently be made to show the UK #Omicron doubling time is 3 days.
This stuff matters.
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH!
There is no (correct) calculation that can currently be made to show the UK #Omicron doubling time is 3 days.
This stuff matters.
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH!
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
