Five bullish thoughts I've had on $SPELL:

(thread) πŸ‘‡
1. There's definitely a chance that @danielesesta is a manic, anarchistic autocrat and that $SPELL goes to zero.

But if he ends up being crypto's Steve Jobs, his projects could 100x.

Zero or 100x = risk/reward asymmetry.
2. This might be the first memecoin with actual utility.

I'm not sure if that's more or less powerful than something like $DOGE.
3. Big downward price pressure has been put on $SPELL due to emissions paid to liquidity providers.

$SPELL liquidity on CEXes is virtually free: the market is made by the CEX, so buyers pay the cost via fees/unfavorable spread.
This means that $SPELL trading on centralized exchanges brings volume without downward price pressure, and thus positive price pressure.

Bullish.
4. Borrowing against yield-bearing collateral is much more LT-viable than directly borrowing against crypto assets. (MakerDAO collateralizes loans against $ETH)

β€’ Less liquidation risk
β€’ Doesn't depend on positive returns
β€’ Guaranteed yields
5. The narrative of buying something and getting paid for it is a great way to introduce the mainstream to DeFi.

There's no hook to yield farming, AMMs, or synthetic assets.

But getting paid to borrow? That's very compelling.
Market conditions have had me a bit nervous lately, but I think the short-term conviction I've had with $SPELL is expanding out to the long term.

If we do head for a bear market, I'll probably be accumulating.
One more thing. If you're new to my altcoin analysis coverage, consider checking out my newsletter (cryptopragmatist.com/sign-up/) and/or my altcoin reports.

You can get the $SPELL report for free via the tweet below.

β€’ β€’ β€’

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
γ€€

Keep Current with Jack Niewold

Jack Niewold Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @JackNiewold

17 Dec
Should crypto investors buy the dip or cut their losses?

While there's a lot of discussion, most of it isn't backed by data.

Here's a thread on what the numbers tell us about altcoins bouncing back and the validity of dip-buying:πŸ‘‡
For simplicities sake, we're looking within market cycles, not from market cycle to market cycle.

So this thread will look at four points in time:

β€’ April 14, BTC ATH (Peak 1)
β€’ July 20, BTC bottom (Trough)
β€’ November 8, BTC ATH (Peak 2)
β€’ December 15, (Present)
First thing to look at: are alts even worth investing in?

Answer is undoubtedly, yes. Alts have beaten BTC from:

β€’ Trough (July) - Present
β€’ Peak 1 (Apr) - Present
β€’ Peak 2 (Nov) - Present Image
Read 12 tweets
15 Dec
Here's why non-Ethereum L1s will win.

(as argued by @zhusu on his podcast Uncommon Core in a conversation with @hasufl)

πŸ‘‡ // thread // πŸ‘‡
CONTEXT: @zhusu is now seen as a crypto villain after claiming Ethereum has abandoned its users.

This added gas to the Eth mainnet/L1/L2 debate that's been raging for months.

Below is the argument he lays out for the succession of Ethereum by alt L1s, point by point.
I'll do my best to summarize @zhusu's argument in an organized and extremely condensed way.

This will omit, simplify, and rearrange. You should listen to the podcast if you want to know exactly what he thinks.

This is not my opinion (but I'm pretty compelled by the argument).
Read 15 tweets
13 Dec
Let me tell you about something that's happened to me many times since I hit about 5k followers that is both annoying and incredibly unethical:
I'll get a DM from some relatively well-known name on crypto twitter, often anon.

'hey, you should check out x protocol or x small cap, it has a lot of potential'
I get a lot of messages about small caps and they're often interesting and promising.

That's how I find out about a lot of sub-$100m protocols.

So I nearly always spend maybe 30 minutes reading some documentation and seeing if its worth throwing in some money.
Read 8 tweets
12 Dec
Five (controversial) crypto predictions for five years from now:

(thread)
1. The prevailing crypto narrative will slowly shift to β€˜The Internet of Value’

Centralization and lack of privacy are not pain points

Intermediaries sucking value out of peer to peer transactions is.

Pocketbooks, not ideologies, win hearts and minds.
2. Bitcoin is more durable than most can imagine

BTC was the first time people agreed on a digital store or value. Being backed only by consensus is an advantage, not a problem.

We don’t need DeFi on BTC.

The narrative is worth more than TVL/smart contracts.
Read 6 tweets
10 Dec
When the market dips, I buy up:

β€’ Low valuations
β€’ Undervalued cash flows
β€’ Undervalued network effects
β€’ Strong communities

These are the traits that lead to massive bounces when sentiment flips

Here's why Trader Joe ( $JOE ) could do a 5x and still have room for more.πŸ‘‡
If you haven't heard of it, Trader Joe is a DEX on Avalanche.

It's not really revolutionary in any new ways, although it's intuitive, inexpensive, and great for onboarding new users.

But dive into the metrics and you see how it really sets itself apart.
Let's start with exchange volume. Volume tells us how much money flows the protocol.

More volume = more valuable

Below, we lined up some of the biggest exchanges by their market cap/volume ratio.

Compared to the average exchange, $JOE is undervalued by about 80%.
Read 11 tweets
9 Dec
Remember ConstitutionDAO's $PEOPLE token?

Here's the story of how crypto twitter, normies, and history buffs united to create one of the biggest supply squeezes since Gamestop:

All while making some people 50x in 4 days.

πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡
Let's start with the basics:

ConstitutionDAO originally raised about $45 million dollars.

Its market cap, today, is about $750 million.

HOW DID THIS HAPPEN
If you're not already up to speed:

In mid-Nov, a group of crypto nerds and VCs came up with an idea to buy the last privately held copy of the constitution. The basic strategy:

β€’ Make a DAO (@constitutionDAO)
β€’ Crowdfund enough $ETH to bid on it
β€’ Buy the constitution
β€’ ???
Read 16 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(