Remember ConstitutionDAO's $PEOPLE token?

Here's the story of how crypto twitter, normies, and history buffs united to create one of the biggest supply squeezes since Gamestop:

All while making some people 50x in 4 days.

🧵👇
Let's start with the basics:

ConstitutionDAO originally raised about $45 million dollars.

Its market cap, today, is about $750 million.

HOW DID THIS HAPPEN
If you're not already up to speed:

In mid-Nov, a group of crypto nerds and VCs came up with an idea to buy the last privately held copy of the constitution. The basic strategy:

• Make a DAO (@constitutionDAO)
• Crowdfund enough $ETH to bid on it
• Buy the constitution
• ???
Long story short, it turned into a meme, went crazy on crypto twitter, a bunch of anons, history buffs, and normies who didn't even own $ETH all linked up and crowdfunded $45 million dollars.

Then they lost to the CEO of Citadel.
Before the auction, ConstitutionDAO said they would refund all the $ETH raised if they lost.

Pre-auction, their token ( $PEOPLE ) was distributed at a rate of 1M $PEOPLE to 1 ETH.

One thing that's important to note is that this whole process brought a lot of new people to crypto.

A LOT of token owners with no experience using DEXes or online wallets.

After they lost, ConstitutionDAO announced a redemption at the same ratio. 1 million $PEOPLE = 1 $ETH.

And it traded on the open market for (ROUGHLY) that same ratio.

$ETH traded for about $4100, $PEOPLE for .0038

The free market in action. 1:1,000,000
Then the DAO turned on redemptions.

Minus gas fees, you got your money back.

And lots of people redeemed their $PEOPLE for $ETH.

Until somebody checked Uniswap.

$PEOPLE price was going parabolic
But why?

Supply and demand. With all those tokens getting destroyed via redemptions, supply was drying up, even though demand existed on Uniswap.

And tokens kept being destroyed by all of the people who were just going for direct redemptions.
So with no supply and a price going parabolic, people started to ape in, pushing demand up.

All the while, the no-coiners will still redeeming their $PEOPLE for $ETH, destroying supply.

In the four days following redemptions, the price for a $PEOPLE token 50xd from .004 to .016
All the while, tokens were being redeemed as the non-crypto-native crowdfunders redeemed their $ETH.

At some point, Chinese crypto investors found out about the DAO and started aping in, why and how, I have no clue.

All adding to the meme fuel.
And the DAO treasury was only worth the $ETH it contained: $45 million and dropping.

So this whole thing was powered by memes, spit, and an increasingly worsening supply shock.

And then reality hit. With the DAO disbanding and the treasury drying up, meme power was fading.
The craziest thing? Investors are still redeeming $PEOPLE for $ETH, when it's currently trading at a 28x premium, burning even more supply.
And now $PEOPLE is going viral once again.

Why? Supply, demand, and the internet. Kind of like what happened with Gamestop.

Today, we're at $0.12 and climbing, with a nearly $1 billion market cap. We'll see how it plays out this time.

So never, ever, short a meme.
Found the thread interesting? Do me a favor and drop a fav/RT on the first tweet, I've got it linked below.👇

One more thing: if you'd like to learn more about the fundamentals and cultural movements that drive value behind smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, check out my newsletter:

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More from @JackNiewold

10 Dec
When the market dips, I buy up:

• Low valuations
• Undervalued cash flows
• Undervalued network effects
• Strong communities

These are the traits that lead to massive bounces when sentiment flips

Here's why Trader Joe ( $JOE ) could do a 5x and still have room for more.👇
If you haven't heard of it, Trader Joe is a DEX on Avalanche.

It's not really revolutionary in any new ways, although it's intuitive, inexpensive, and great for onboarding new users.

But dive into the metrics and you see how it really sets itself apart.
Let's start with exchange volume. Volume tells us how much money flows the protocol.

More volume = more valuable

Below, we lined up some of the biggest exchanges by their market cap/volume ratio.

Compared to the average exchange, $JOE is undervalued by about 80%.
Read 11 tweets
7 Dec
Alright, so the lovely #CardanoCommunity has been brigading me for about 24 hours now, and I invited @Beastlyorion to chat about how much he's making from his stake pools.

My invitation was condescendingly declined.

Ok, challenge accepted. Let's do the math.

(THREAD)
If you're behind, here's the tweet that spawned this discussion:

Also, invest wherever you want, I'm relatively bullish on Cardano defi. I really didn't talk about the asset itself, just this staking-influencer conflict of interest.

And I'm happy to not feed the trolls.

But calling me a liar is where I draw the line.
Read 11 tweets
4 Dec
Crypto is panicking. It's not fun.

Here's the universal framework I use to keep my head and make money through nasty downturns. 👇

(thread)
My strategy for investing in altcoins is holding them, not trading them.

Everyone constantly posts their short-term technical analysis, flips, and trades. This is difficult to perform reliably/over time.

A better strategy: hold high conviction alts.

Don't sell them.
Your goal is to use crypto like a venture capitalist. Explore a basket of many smaller market cap projects (on average, they perform better than blue chips).

Let them go to zero or 100x.

Only a few in your portfolio have to succeed for you to outperform.
Read 12 tweets
3 Dec
Why are crypto influencers always shilling $ADA?

It's barely trading above its ATH, it's been heavily criticized, and there's been little progress since they launched smart contracts.

Here's the $100 million secret Cardano youtubers don't want you to know:

(thread👇)
When you look at a crypto, make sure to closely look at incentive structures. These are the mechanics that make price rise and fall.

Who's motivated to hold, to advertise, to buy, and to sell?

The key mechanic for Cardano?

Staking. About 70% of ADA is locked in stake pools.
The rate on your staked Cardano? About 5% a year.

The rate for someone who RUNS the stake pool?

Over 100% a year.

So validators are doubling their money yearly off the locked funds of their stakers, while stakers earn just about 5%.

That seems a little bit misaligned, right?
Read 13 tweets
1 Dec
Decentralization is subjective.

That makes it an ineffective narrative to onboard users to crypto.

Here's a thread on how we can actually help people understand the insane value of crypto networks.

(or the story of how I finally got my dad to pick up some $ETH)

thread👇
Let's start with the most basic definition of Bitcoin:

Cryptocurrencies are:

• decentralized digital currency
• without a central bank or single administrator
• that can be sent on peer-to-peer networks without the need for intermediaries
Decentralization convinces the libertarian crowd and the privacy crowd but not the mainstream.

'Without a central bank' is attractive to the gold bugs.

But peer-to-peer? That often gets overshadowed.
Read 14 tweets
1 Dec
Ok I’ve written up some threads on the bull case and the bear case for $SPELL

Let’s talk about my personal opinion on the asset: 👇
We can talk about flawed token economics all day long, we can talk about how Daniele Sestagalli is the king of the frogs 🐸 and how WAGMI, both are unquantifiable.

Valuations are memes, and we need to understand that crypto valuations as more nuanced than equities.
To me, the value proposition of $SPELL is strong.

I’ve used it to borrow, the concept of borrowing against yield bearing tokens is revolutionary and the demand is there.

Take a look at the cauldrons: yield bearing pools are empty while token pools like $FTX and $SHIB are full.
Read 13 tweets

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