It was clear Labour & LibDems split the focus with Labour on Bexley & LibDems on Shropshire.
But unlike some here who discovered electoral politics last week now confidently condemning Labour...have a think about the actual mechanics of this...
1/
Anyone with any sense could see what Labour was doing:
a. Promotion of the candidate from LP HQ was at a bare minimum
b. Labour MPs were openly musing on Labour’s chances being less than LibDems
c. Virtually no Labour MPs visited the seat (we’ll come to the exceptions later)
2/ But what about the Local Association?
Now all those angry PA types condemning Labour actually THINK about what being a local activist means..
You spend your life in places like Shropshire where Labour NEVER wins, you push leaflets, get shouted at for zero reward for decades..
Have to be honest I thought the 2 most likely outcomes in Shropshire were 1. Conservative win 2. Tight LibDem win
The fact LibDems got such a large majority in a very Leave seat means that Brexit is less of an issue now than I thought it was.
The Tory Brexit bonus has gone.
The by-election wasn't fought on Brexit.
And yet such a Leave set deserted the Tories for LibDems.
There's a lesson here:
The coalition for better governance is already here and their Brexit vote 5 years ago is not going to stop many of them voting for it.
Don't want to go overboard but this means if this continues, & Labour/LibDem continue their present EU policies *maybe* my timescale of rejoining the SIngle market (in whatever form) could be possible already in next parliament.
Not certain...but possible.
I note a lot of center-left/remainers seem to have this constant fear that if Boris Johnson goes his replacement might be better and so win the next election.
This is the wrong way of looking at it for 3 reasons…
1. It’s a simple rule but always valid:
You should never wish bad government on your own country.
It doesn’t make sense and even if you think it’s “worth” it to win the next election politics often doesn’t like that and bad governance often just merely leads to worse outcomes.
2. Boris = British exceptionalism = Brexit
All 3 are the same.
Even a good performer as next Tory prime minister won’t be able to play this card(s) the same way.
They simply can’t.
Conservative MP Richard Fuller is a national security risk.
Fuller is believed to be paid up to £25 000 a month by firms close to the Chinese and Russian govts that are carrying out ethnic military policies.
In the Chinese Case - genocide of the Uyghur people.
Fuller is now believed to earn the vast majority of his income from
outside parliament with companies linked to Asian military regimes including China.
The earliest possible date for Spurs rearranged Rennes tie is 18th December.
The tie must be completed by 1st January. In this 14 day window Spurs have 5 games already.
So either Spurs must forfeit their place in Europa Conference League..or play 6 games in 14 days.
What’s more the only possible dates not both immediately preceding or succeeding a day of another spurs game is…Christmas eve - Friday 24th December or the 30th December.
In both cases involving 3 games in 4 days.
Be interesting to see how this situation is resolved…
But a problem.
Like most European countries Christmas eve in France is more important than in UK where Christmas Day is priority.
Also ligue 1 is on it’s winter break - it seems unlikely UEFA could force a club to play on this day - so 30th December seems only date possible.