1. Today's special #ACIP meeting, to deal with safety concerns related to the J&J #Covid vaccine, is beginning now. There will also be an update on the rollout of vaccines in 5-11 year olds.
I will try to live tweet.
2. New chair Grace Lee calls roll call and vote calls in a random order that changes each time she does it. It's confusing and makes it really hard to keep tabs of who is there, who voted. Just saying.
3. Doran Fink from @US_FDA says FDA updated its guidance on use of the J&J vaccine to reflect better understanding of the risk associated the J&J or any other adenovirus vectored vaccines (ie AstraZeneca). The risk relates to a serious clotting event TTS.
4. TTS stands for thrombosis with thrombocytopenia. @US_FDA's Fink said TTS cases have been seen in men & women across all ages, but most commonly in women aged 30-49, at a rate of 1 cases per 100,000 doses administered. 1 in 7 of these cases have been fatal.
5. @US_FDA's Fink says it has been concluded that the risk of TTS is a "class effect" — meaning it is seen across adenovirus-vectored vaccines.
This is going to be a problem for existing adenovirus-vectored vaccines and work on experimental vaccines using this platform.
6. @CDCgov's Isaac See is presenting data on TTS cases in people who got the J&J vaccine in the US.
7. Most of the US cases occurred before the FDA-CDC paused use of the J&J vaccine in the spring after TTS came to light. No explanation yet about why the decline but I suspect its because at-risk people (women) opted not to take J&J.
8. Isaac See says there have been eight TTS related deaths in the US.
9. Correcting previous tweet: CDC's See said there have been 9 deaths in the US. (The difference relates to the reporting period.)
10. Highest rates of deaths to TTS were among women in their 30s and 40s, where the rate was about 2 deaths / million vaccine doses given.
11. In fact there may have been 11 deaths. In two other cases that looked very like the others, there wasn't imaging done that would have definitely confirmed it.
@CDCgov's See says the TTS cases and deaths may have been underreported.
12. @CDCgov's See's presentation only focused on deaths. It would be interesting to hear how people who survived TTS are. Bleeds in the brain can be life-altering events. #ACIP
13. #ACIP member Lynn Bahta asked about the health of survivors of TTS. @CDCgov's See says they don't yet have much data. They know a bit about some of the 9 survivors who had to go into long-term care facilities. Serious issues.
14. #ACIP member Kathy Poehling asked if there've been any TTS cases seen in people who took the J&J vaccine as a booster. @CDCgov's See said not to date, but the number of people who elected to get the J&J vaccine as their booster isn't large.
15. Poehling noted when use of the J&J was resumed after the pause in the spring, doctors were warned not to use heparin (a blood thinner) in patients with TTS because it exacerbates the damage. Looks like doctors heeded the warning — but that didn't prevent additional deaths.
16. @CDCgov's Sara Oliver is running through the risks/benefits of continued use of the J&J #Covid vaccine. She notes that the risk no longer seems to cluster mainly in women in their 30s and 40s.
17. Oliver is running through what other countries have done regarding adenovirus vaccines in the fact of the TTS risk.
She noted in particular that Canada has given a preferential recommendation to use mRNA vaccines until there's a reason not to use them.
#ACIP
18. Very clear table showing the TTS risks by age & gender. #ACIP
19. The risk/benefit calculations still show use of the J&J vaccine reduces more hospitalizations and deaths from Covid than TTS cases caused. #ACIP
20. But when the mRNA vaccines' benefits and risks are also factored into the calculations, the mRNA vaccines prevent more hospitalizations and deaths than the J&J vaccine does, Oliver reported. #ACIP
21. Oliver noted that the side effects associated with the mRNA vaccines compared to the J&J are of a different level of severity. mRNA vaccines prevent more Covid cases, cause less severe side effects in the people who develop them. #ACIP
22. This is fascinating. Maybe inevitable. Abut also kinda ... appalling.
Demographics of who is getting offered the J&J vaccine, which is 1) not as effective as the mRNAs and 2) associated with higher risks. #ACIP
23. These are the policy options open to #ACIP today.
24. Here's a rundown of the pros and cons of policy option #1. #ACIP
25. Here are the pros and cons of policy option #2. #ACIP
26. Here are the pros and cons of policy option #3. Important to note here that whatever the US does will be noted internationally & will affect willingness of other countries to use the J&J vaccine. #ACIP
27. Here are the pros and cons of policy option #4.
This is the option #ACIP's Covid vaccine work group is recommending the committee adopt.
28. Penny Heaton, global head of vaccines for J&J, is now presenting. She has a tough job ahead of her. Says the company is confident the vaccine is saving lives and in some countries, it is the only available vaccine.
Real edge in her voice. #ACIP
29. Heaton says real world data shows that the J&J vaccine protection is durable.
30. "We are confident in the durability of protection," Heaton told #ACIP. She says the antibody titers peak later than mRNA vaccines, but persist longer.
"This durability, this may be crucial in the setting we're in in the US."
31. Heaton: says J&J is one of the main suppliers of vaccine to African Union countries. Says the world is depending on this vaccine.
I've got to say, she sounds upset. #ACIP
32. #ACIP member Sarah Long asks if the public will understand what ACIP is trying to do if it recommends "preferential" use of the mRNA vaccines.
Pablo Sanchez says he has a real problem with continued use of this vaccine. Says he urges patients not to get it.
33. The vote on what to do re: the J&J vaccine is supposed to happen at 2:30 pm but that's not going to happen. Supposed to be a 20-minute public comment period first and it hasn't started yet. #ACIP
34. #ACIP member Jamie Loehr argues removing the J&J vaccine will do more damage than it averts.
Beth Bell says she believes the best option here is a preferential recommendation.
35. #ACIP member Beth Bell said she would not recommend the J&J vaccine to her family members, but says some people will opt for it, even when informed of the risks.
36. #ACIP member Keipp Talbot says the wording of the recommendation has to be very clear and strong because the J&J vaccine is being used mainly in populations with lower health literacy who may not understand the nuances here.
This slide makes her point very clear.
37. This may be the question the #ACIP will vote on. That vote won't occur until at least 3 pm.
38. Matthew Zahn, a non-voting member of #ACIP representing the National Association of County and City Health Officials, stressed the importance of having an alternative to the mRNA vaccines. He says some people will not agree to be vaccinated with the mRNA vaccines.
39. #ACIP about to vote on this.
40. #ACIP votes to give a preferential recommendation to mRNA vaccines — ie to steer people away from the J&J vaccine — by a unanimous vote.
41. @CDCgov's vaccine advisers vote unanimously to preferentially recommend mRNA vaccines over the J&J vaccine, because of concerns about TTS. statnews.com/2021/12/16/cdc…
42. The #ACIP meeting continues with an update on what the vaccine safety surveillance data shows about use of Covid vaccines in kids 5-11, and an Omicron update. I'm not going to be listening coz I have to write. Sorry.

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More from @HelenBranswell

8 Dec
1. New global #flu data from @WHO. A short 🧵
Topline: Flu activity remains well below what was seen in pre-Covid times. Interestingly, RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) continues its rebound. Lots of it in lots of places.
2. @WHO reports that 1.1% of the more than 335,000 respiratory samples tested for flu in 102 countries from Nov. 8-21 were postive for #flu. Just a little over half of those were #influenza B infections.
3. This marks the first time since early April 2020 when the global #flu positivity rate was 1% or higher. As you can see from this chart (mine), flu activity fell off a cliff in March 2020 as the #Covid pandemic took hold around the world.
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec
1. Short #flu thread.
@CDCgov's FluView came out today; data for the week ending Nov 27.
US Flu activity is ticking up. It's still not near most non-pandemic years, but flu is returning. 1.5% of clinical flu tests were positive, compared to .02% in 2020.
cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…
2. The data behind this chart give you a sense of the steady rise in flu positivity. In a pre-Covid year, you might expect to see a positivity rate of 4%, 8% or higher at this time of the #flu season, depending on whether the season was getting off to an early start or not.
3. So looking at the influenza-like illness curves, you can see that ILI rates (they include illnesses that are not #influenza) appear to be approaching the point where they cross the threshold into ILI season. But how much of that is flu?
Read 5 tweets
3 Dec
1. @GuHaogao & colleagues report on an apparent case of #Omicron transmission in a Hong Kong quarantine hotel. Traveler from South Africa tests positive 2 days after arrival; traveler from Canada who is located directly across the hall tests positive 4 days later.
2. Canadian traveler was 7 days into quarantine when he tested positive. Viral sequences were compared; almost identical.
Both travelers were twice vaxed with Pfizer in the spring.
Surveillance footage showed neither left their room, only opening doors for food, testing.
3. "Airborne transmission across the corridor is the most probable mode of transmission," the University of Hong Kong researchers (including @bencowling88) report in @CDC_EIDjournal. wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/28…
Read 4 tweets
24 Nov
1. Short flu 🧵.
Global flu surveillance data for Oct 25 to Nov 7 was issued today by @WHO. It shows a small uptick of flu activity globally, with 100 national labs reporting 3130 cases among +400K tests. Internationally influenza B viruses (B/Victoria) predominate.
2. That number of positive #flu tests is a positivity rate of 0.78%, which is still well below what we'd expect to see at this time of the year, when flu transmission in the Northern Hemisphere normally builds. This graph (mine) compares positivity rates in autumn 2019 & 2021.
3. #Flu isn't the only non-#Covid respiratory disease spreading. Some areas are seeing a lot of RSV activity & other influenza-like illnesses. The lowering of the guard on Covid precautions will allow these other viruses to resume transmission.
Gonna be an interesting winter.
Read 5 tweets
24 Nov
1. "We must do better at sharing the fruits of science." @WHO Director @DrTedros at today's virtual press conference. It's important for all countries to have access to #Covid vaccines, but also rapid tests and therapies, Dr. Tedros said.
2. @DrTedros said no country or region is yet out of the woods when it comes to #Covid, pointing to the surge in cases in Europe where vaccination rates are reasonably high. He urged people to continue to take precautions against Covid, even if they are vaccinated.
3. @DrTedros points to next week's special session of the World Health Assembly — the WHO's governing body — to try to come up with a treaty or instrument designed to prevent or mitigate future pandemics. Tedros said he is heartened that there now appears to be a broad consensus.
Read 9 tweets
19 Nov
1. #ACIP will begin meeting at noon ET on the expansion of the emergency use authorizations for Pfizer & Moderna #Covid19 boosters.
The agenda is here: cdc.gov/vaccines/acip/…
The meeting can be listened to here: video.ibm.com/channel/VWBXKB…
I will be live blogging in this thread.
2. #ACIP is beginning. Roll call was conducted in an unusual fashion so I'm not sure I've got this right, but I think 2 voting members of the committee are not present (meeting was called at the last minute). So 13 members will be voting.
3. #ACIP is getting a bit of data on #Covid vax uptake in kids aged 5-11. So far nearly 2M kids have been vaccinated.
Matt Daley, chair of ACIP's Covid vax work group, says he's been talking to kids about vaccination. They're excited "not about the poke, but about the promise."
Read 33 tweets

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