Ministers have been warned that delaying action to tackle Omicron until after Christmas could make large numbers of hospital admissions and deaths inevitable: thetimes.co.uk/article/omicro…
It's very unusual for Sage to release papers on a Saturday afternoon - we can speculate as to why - my own speculation would be that scientists want this out in the public domain so ministers have to "own" whatever they do next.
In its latest minutes Sage says "it is almost certain" there are now hundreds of thousands of new
Omicron infections per day - and hospital numbers maybe "one tenth of the true number" due to lag in data
Sage: "Delaying until 2022 would greatly reduce the effectiveness of such interventions and make it is less likely that these would prevent considerable pressure on health and care settings."

Over to you Prime Minister....
Pressure on Govt comes following the leak of Sage papers to BBC and others...I understand that leak was a key factor in the decision to formally release them today. Of course the fact they were leaked says something as well.

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More from @ShaunLintern

18 Dec
Exc: NHS put on a "war footing" ahead of Omicron with thousands of Covid patients to be treated in their own homes. @NHSEngland chief medic reveals plan to deploy 20k reservists and boost ICU bed capacity by 10%
thetimes.co.uk/article/covid-…
Read all the details in tomorrows @thesundaytimes #TomorrowsPapersToday Image
"We expect 20% of NHS staff in London may be absent by Christmas Day...we are likely to see the same effect outside London later" - @NHSEnglandNMD tells @thesundaytimes Image
Read 6 tweets
13 Oct
Hospitals trigger emergency measures as patients wait 13 hours in ambulances independent.co.uk/news/health/nh…
.@gloshospitals declared an incident on Sept 19 which lasted for 16 days sue to a sustained increase in patient demand. @RoyalFreeNHS Barnet Hospital declared an incident on Monday and @NorthMidNHS saw over 200 patients crowding in its A&E on Monday afternoon
The situation in the Midlands is "dreadful" according to a leaked briefing to @OFFICIALWMAS staff - equivalent of 100 shifts was lost on Monday this week due to delays at A&E units:
Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
More good news from Bolton Hospital. Number of Covid patients has fallen again. Now 34 Covid patients in total, down from 49 last Thursday. Six in ICU/HDU down from 12 on Mon. 3 new admission in past 24 hours but 8 discharges #Covid19UK
Across England as a whole, the internal NHS data says there are now 803 Covid patients in hospital, up from 779 yday. 801 on Wed. So holding steady for now...52 new admissions in past 24 hours but 90 discharges.
Discharges are super important for the NHS capacity now. It appears at least over the past week or so that the rate of Covid admissions is being more than matched by discharges.

A sign of vaccine effect on severity of disease?
Read 4 tweets
1 Jan
Surgeons are doing nursing shifts at @RoyalLondonHosp. In a plea to staff yday bosses said: “Unfortunately we now find ourselves really short of nursing support all weekend starting from tonight. We really need anyone who can do healthcare support duties to come forward please."
I've just worked what felt like one the most intense weeks of 2020 reporting on the terrible Covid impact on NHS. All the stories can be found here: independent.co.uk/author/shaun-l…

How bad does this need to get before Parliament is recalled? MPs are off until 11 Jan #Covid19UK
What use would a recall be? Not much. An acknowledgement at least of how bad situation is & for questions to be asked.

People are dying on wards with families saying goodbye on iPads. Major hospitals are begging for staff. Silence still deafening from Govt & NHSEngland.
Read 6 tweets
17 Dec 20
NEW: London hospitals forced to cancel operations to free up staffing as critical care beds fill up independent.co.uk/news/health/co… #COVID19
On Wednesday, there were a total of 2,289 coronavirus patients in London hospitals, an increase of two per cent on the day before.

But the numbers of coronavirus patients in critical care beds jumped 8.6 per cent in a single day.
London has seen the largest increase in Covid cases in the last week with infection rates reaching 319 per 100,000 people, compared to just under 200 in the previous week.
Read 4 tweets
17 Dec 20
NHS safety guidance ‘too long to read’ say hospital staff as safety watchdog exposes systemic risks of misplaced nasogastric tubes: independent.co.uk/news/health/pa… #patientsafety
I have often wondered what value the reams of guidance in hospitals actually adds to #patientsafety Is it more about assurance? Staff have no time to keep abreast of changes? And too often guidance isn't up to date anyway?
The irony is of course, the @hsib_org report itself, will probably go unread by many. But you can find it here: hsib.org.uk/investigations…
Read 5 tweets

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