Regardless of what Mail on Sun says, the fact is as political situation around @BorisJohnson disintegrates, the EU dropped down PMs list of priorities - now it's about survival, Covid, inflation/cost of living etc. EU/Protocol/ECJ/Art 16 are a very long way down list 2/
This left Frost exposed - as he was pursuing hardline approach in Bxl - the domestic ground shifted under his feet. Lack of progress on divergence agenda - & therefore tax - were also issues. Frost didn't think Global Britain could succeed unless UK broke out from EU's orbit 3/
V sceptical Frost's resignation will lead to a major shift in UKG policy on Europe. Johnson & Frost hold identical views on need to play hardball with EU. Johnson will come under pressure from ERG - many of whom lockdown sceptics - to appoint another hardliner to succeed him 4/
Fundamentally, as long as @BorisJohnson is PM, UK Govt's approach to Europe will continue to be driven by short-term tactical rather than long-term strategic considerations. But his stance will likely be tougher if he can stage a political recovery; if he can't, it won't 5/
Also Frost can't run to be PM as he's not an MP. 2021 Con Party Rulebook says: “There shall be a Leader of the Party drawn from those elected to the House of Commons, who shall be elected by the Party Members and Scottish Party Members in accordance with the provisions of S2” END
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