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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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22 Dec, 5 tweets, 3 min read
UK 🇬🇧 hospitalizations spiking —now the highest in over 6 months. But mild you ask? ➡️Even if it’s 50% milder, but you double the cases infected… you’re at same hospitalization. ⚠️What’s then the problem? #Omicron doubles every 1.5 days! You wipe out a mild benefit in <2 days!
2) To be clear the 6 month high stat is for England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
3) Global #omicron infections estimated to be 3 BILLION cases in next 3 months says @IHME_UW
4) in London, the earliest #Omicron epicenter in UK… hospitalizations have tripled since a month ago! People who tout the mild while ignoring the total infections have no business in epidemiology.
5) what happens in London can’t possibly happen in America right? wrong. NYC seeing 4x hospitalizations for COVID in a month. 👇

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
24 Dec
Not “vague”—➡️We are staring at a thermonuclear-level bad pandemic 2.0 HMOG wave with #Omicron heading straight at us with BILLIONS infected in the next 3 months (@IHME_UW)—while some hand-wave it’s slightly milder—all while many choose to stay ignorant of exponential math.🔥
2) REMINDER— “milder” won’t save us, even if it’s 50% milder — because the exponentially fast doubling time of #Omicron can easily swamp out a 50% lower severity by doubling the case count! And doubling in 2 days!
3) Specifically @IHME_UW predicts 3 billion infections over the next 3 months… exponential math of #Omicron is really sobering. And besides the deaths and hospitalizations- don’t forget all the #LongCovid
Read 7 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
23 Dec
Who created the PAXLOVID miracle #COVID19 drug? Pfizer makes you think they did alone. But it was created only with the critical help of advanced photon machines from taxpayer-funded US Dept of @ENERGY’s @argonne Lab. ➡️Make sure you remember that next time paying sky high drug $
2) Seriously— don’t give Pfizer all the glory for this Paxlovid drug. It was funded by you the taxpayer that made it all possible. Never let big pharma take advantage and claim they built it all. anl.gov/article/advanc… Image
3) “Work to determine the structure of the antiviral candidate was done at the (IMCA-CAT) beamline at the APS, operated by the Hauptman-Woodward Medical Research Institute (HWI) on behalf of a collaboration of pharmaceutical companies, of which Pfizer is a member.”
Read 7 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
23 Dec
📍ADJUSTED SEVERITY of Omicron vs Delta—Need to discuss *intrinsic severity* versus *observed severity* of #Omicron, which reinfects & evasive against 2-vaccine shots. New 🇬🇧study found that after adjusting for factors, Omicron is only slightly intrinsically milder—2%-12% (red)👇
2) Let’s look at this way… the raw crude rates of Omicron vs Delta doesn’t reflect that Delta isn’t as evasive against vaccines— Omicron **looks** milder because breakthrough (and reinfected) people have higher protection from severe disease. But raw numbers don’t adjust that!
3) from earlier study we see that #Omicron is highly evasive against past immunity from surviving Alpha, Beta, or Delta variant. Little to no neutralization of Omicron among convalescent blood of those people. But they are milder—but this hides the true severity in raw rates.
Read 15 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
22 Dec
Jeeez— UK’s #Omicron wave is so stratospherically huge… that today’s per capita incidence would be equal to ~515,000 new cases if the size of US! ➡️ more than DOUBLE the all time record ever seen in the Us! #COVID19
2) How bad is UK’s Omicron load? US’s all time high was an daily average of 250k set last winter in early January. UK’s per capita rate today at 515k US-equivalent blows that out of the water! By 2x!
3) And yes, hospitalizations rising in England. 6 month high.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
22 Dec
⚠️“MILDER” will not save us from overwhelmed hospitals. NYC #COVID19 🏥admissions up ⬆️4x in a month. ➡️Even if it’s 50% milder, but double cases infected—same hospitalization. 📍What’s then the problem? #Omicron doubles every 1.5-2 days! You wipe out a mild benefit in <2 days!🧵
2) same in London, the earliest #Omicron epicenter in UK… hospitalizations have tripled since a month ago! People who tout the mild while ignoring the total infections have no business in epidemiology.
3) Remember runaway infections is what will slam us hard in the end for causing surging hospitalizations and deaths… and 3 billion projected infections from @IHME_UW in 3 months is mind boggling.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
22 Dec
⚠️Global domination of Omicron—This map shows Omicron projection by December 31 (via @IHME_UW), with 3 billion #Omicron infections over next 3 months says @AliHMokdad. ➡️Are you boosted? Do you have N95 respirator or at least KN95/KF94/FFP3 mask? Home/school ventilated? Prepare🧵
2) Watch this video of #Omicron domination streak - please prepare. Chance favors the prepared mind. Precautionary principle saves lives.

Video by @IHME_UW
3) Here are the @IHME_UW projected #COVID19 deaths by March 2022. And additional half a million deaths projected and potentially more.

covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=cu…
Read 8 tweets

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