I've officially been redpilled on Fantom ( $FTM )

Here's a thread on:

• Why I think it's undeniably undervalued
• How it could do a 5-10x in the next leg of the bull market

Check it out 👇
Non-ethereum Layer 1s (L1s) have been pumping over the last six months, with $AVAX, $SOL, $LUNA, and $BNB all going crazy.

The L1 you DON'T hear about? Fantom, which has been quietly following in their footsteps at a fraction of the market cap.
What does Fantom accomplish that ETH-killers don't already do?

It scales: Fantom operates on a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), giving it best-in-class time to finality.

It's also compatible with the EVM, so it plays nice with AVAX, BSC, MATIC, and ETH

Transactions are crazy cheap, comparable to $SOL and Luna.

$ETH maxis say that, as other L1 blockchains scale, they'll have the same issues as $ETH with network congestion.

Because $FTM relies on a DAG, this might not actually be the case.
Centralization could still be an issue: $FTM is objectively more centralized than a network like Ethereum.

But in the short- and mid-term, investors have shown they don't care too much about that. Look at the success of SOL and BSC.
So it's a viable L1: we've established that.

But why is it undervalued? That's the most important question to address. I've got three points to touch on.
1. It's small.

Small caps have a tremendous advantage as it takes less new capital for them to put in exponential moves.

At a market cap of just $4 billion dollars, it could 10x and still be smaller than Solana.

A table of what FTM's token price would be at competitor Mcaps:
I'm not saying Fantom is going to $200, but its size gives it a lot more room to grow than other blockchains.

'Getting in early' has been a powerful narrative this market cycle and those who missed $AVAX, $SOL, and $LUNA will want to find redemption.

Is $FTM the golden ticket?
2. It's undervalued

Some people say Fantom is a ghost chain, with no meaningful activity.

Well, pound for pound, it's actually tremendously undervalued if you look at Total Value Locked in the ecosystem.

Take a look at the following chart:
Here's what Fantom token price would look like if it was valued at the Market Cap/TVL metrics of other chains.

I literally can't find another L1 on @DefiLlama that's more undervalued by this metric.
3. It's got adoption:

• More daily transactions than $ADA (500k to 100k)
• More DApps than Solana (80 vs. 38)
• More social followers than $LUNA

That doesn't really say 'ghost chain' to me.
It's hard to look at these metrics and not be bullish.

I'll be DCAing into a position over the coming weeks.

I think there's a powerful narrative being constructed and we'll see Fantom in the top 20 sooner rather than later.
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Last thing: I'm the founder of Crypto Pragmatist, a research publication on small-cap altcoins.

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More from @JackNiewold

18 Dec
Anon, you deserve better.

Saturdays are not for binge-watching netflix while hungover.

Saturdays are for Alpha, anon.

Here are five of my favorite articles for gaining an edge in crypto investing:
1. 'Mastering Shitcoins' by @Dan_Jeffries1

The gold standard guide to no-BS buy-and-hold altcoin investing strategies.

I'd recommend this article to anyone just starting out with smaller-cap cryptos.

hackernoon.com/mastering-shit…
2. 'On Reflexivity and Imitation' by @mattigags

Crypto is a game, crypto is a meme.

Only once you realize that can you can figure out how to make money in this industry.

insights.deribit.com/market-researc…
Read 7 tweets
17 Dec
Should crypto investors buy the dip or cut their losses?

While there's a lot of discussion, most of it isn't backed by data.

Here's a thread on what the numbers tell us about altcoins bouncing back and the validity of dip-buying:👇
For simplicities sake, we're looking within market cycles, not from market cycle to market cycle.

So this thread will look at four points in time:

• April 14, BTC ATH (Peak 1)
• July 20, BTC bottom (Trough)
• November 8, BTC ATH (Peak 2)
• December 15, (Present)
First thing to look at: are alts even worth investing in?

Answer is undoubtedly, yes. Alts have beaten BTC from:

• Trough (July) - Present
• Peak 1 (Apr) - Present
• Peak 2 (Nov) - Present
Read 12 tweets
15 Dec
Five bullish thoughts I've had on $SPELL:

(thread) 👇
1. There's definitely a chance that @danielesesta is a manic, anarchistic autocrat and that $SPELL goes to zero.

But if he ends up being crypto's Steve Jobs, his projects could 100x.

Zero or 100x = risk/reward asymmetry.
2. This might be the first memecoin with actual utility.

I'm not sure if that's more or less powerful than something like $DOGE.
Read 9 tweets
15 Dec
Here's why non-Ethereum L1s will win.

(as argued by @zhusu on his podcast Uncommon Core in a conversation with @hasufl)

👇 // thread // 👇
CONTEXT: @zhusu is now seen as a crypto villain after claiming Ethereum has abandoned its users.

This added gas to the Eth mainnet/L1/L2 debate that's been raging for months.

Below is the argument he lays out for the succession of Ethereum by alt L1s, point by point.
I'll do my best to summarize @zhusu's argument in an organized and extremely condensed way.

This will omit, simplify, and rearrange. You should listen to the podcast if you want to know exactly what he thinks.

This is not my opinion (but I'm pretty compelled by the argument).
Read 15 tweets
13 Dec
Let me tell you about something that's happened to me many times since I hit about 5k followers that is both annoying and incredibly unethical:
I'll get a DM from some relatively well-known name on crypto twitter, often anon.

'hey, you should check out x protocol or x small cap, it has a lot of potential'
I get a lot of messages about small caps and they're often interesting and promising.

That's how I find out about a lot of sub-$100m protocols.

So I nearly always spend maybe 30 minutes reading some documentation and seeing if its worth throwing in some money.
Read 8 tweets
12 Dec
Five (controversial) crypto predictions for five years from now:

(thread)
1. The prevailing crypto narrative will slowly shift to ‘The Internet of Value’

Centralization and lack of privacy are not pain points

Intermediaries sucking value out of peer to peer transactions is.

Pocketbooks, not ideologies, win hearts and minds.
2. Bitcoin is more durable than most can imagine

BTC was the first time people agreed on a digital store or value. Being backed only by consensus is an advantage, not a problem.

We don’t need DeFi on BTC.

The narrative is worth more than TVL/smart contracts.
Read 6 tweets

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