🚨🚨 Covid-19 cases up 48% week on week, daily reported cases hit over 122,186 - highest in pandemic

◾️England up 48%
◾️Northern Ireland up 45%
◾️Scotland up 42%
◾️Wales up 57%

Deaths per day continue to fall but there is time lag between rising cases and deaths.
Within England the rise in cases is predominantly in younger age groups although we have seen a slight uptick among those older.

Rates for those aged 20 to 44 are the highest they have been through the pandemic.
The number of patients in hospital within England is 60% lower than this time last year.

They have been going up in the past week or so but still down on last month.

Admissions at moment highest since last winter but we may be seeing faster discharges with new variant.
We have not seen any rises in Covid-19 patients in critical care in England in the past week

Wales hospital situation is at a 3 month low

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More from @statsjamie

26 Dec
🚨🚨 Daily Mail - ‘Unjabbed people are 60 times more likely to end up in intensive care’

FACT CHECK

➡️ Those 60-69 the rate of ICU admissions are 60x higher than unvaccinated ✅

➡️ Number may be unreliable as issues estimating unvaccinated population

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
This blog explains differences in results you get either using information from ONS to get population size, or the National Immunisation Service (NIMS).

The ICNARC report quoted by Daily Mail using ONS data.

osr.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/communicating-…
60x headline does not refer to the whole population - its much lower for other age groups, and possibly lower for 60 to 69 age group if different estimates for unvaccinated are used

Putting that aside, all evidence is unvaccinated more likely to be admitted to hospital and ICU
Read 4 tweets
24 Dec
The number of #Covid19 patients in hospitals in Wales has been trending down for 3 months and is 83% lower than last year

▪️ Some signs the long decline is stalling and I would not be surprised to see increases next few weeks.

▪️ The average age of patients in hospital is 74
Covid-19 cases are up 57% week on week with both the case rate per 100k and % of tests coming back positive on the rise.
In the 7 days to 24 December there were 107,187 Covid-19 tests reported with 27,341, so 25.5% came back positive.

◾️Almost have of all the identified cases were in people under the age of 30
Read 6 tweets
24 Dec
🚨🚨 Boris Johnson - ‘We have been getting that vaccination that protects us and stops us infecting others’

FACT CHECK

➡️ Vaccines reduce the chance of catching #Covid19 & so reduce chance of infecting others but do not stop you infecting others

💥 PM speech is FALSE ❌
Information on relative chances of catching Covid depending on vaccination and prior infection sourced from ONS

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
Here is Boris confirming what I have written in a previous interview.

Unfortunately many wont have seen this and millions will watch his Xmas message.

Read 4 tweets
24 Dec
🚨🚨 ‘No evidence that stopping events like ours is beneficial overall to public health, but we would argue the evidence suggests doing so does more harm that good’

💥 Angry response from Welsh Athletics and Parkrun to Welsh Government banning weekly running events

👇👇
There is no evidence to support the banning of such events, just as there is no evidence forthcoming to support what Mark Drakeford said at his press conference regarding Omicron.
To the contrary, actively encouraging exercise is more likely to reduce the risks of Covid19

statsjamie.co.uk/covidbmi/
Read 4 tweets
23 Dec
🚨🚨 BBC News at 6 - Video saying 100% on Covid ward unvaccinated. Fergus Walsh then says its 4 in 5 - contradicting the video.

Contributor from Intensive Care Society says 2/3 across people they asked.

➡️ None match the published data of 48%
It may well be that on this particular ward it is 4 in 5 but for some reason the BBC put these stories out with Fergus Walsh frequently with no reference to the latest national stats.

This was him on another ward saying 4 in 5.
If the national picture is 48% then he seems unlucky to always end up on wards with 4 in 5.

Data here (page 46) -> icnarc.org/DataServices/A…
Read 6 tweets
23 Dec
🚨🚨 Mark Drakeford accused of lying over claim omicron is ‘probably’ as severe as delta

My attack on the Welsh First Minister for ‘deceiving the public’ to justify Covid restrictions despite studies refuting his comments in Telegraph.

Article in thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
Read 7 tweets

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