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Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
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28 Dec, 7 tweets, 3 min read
Holy crap. I swear to God I had no idea that the NY Times was running this story, and certainly not TODAY!
Very much related: acasignups.net/21/12/28/nchs-…
Well whaddya know? I had it right! ImageImageImage
⚠️ TO CLARIFY (given my recent NPR brouhaha): @DeniseDSLu and @albertsun have clearly been working on their story for several weeks. I only stumbled across the @NCHStats data independently a day or two ago. I've never communicated w/either of them & had to look them up just now.
In addition to this being an important story by them, it also gives me confidence that I was correct to use the @NCHStats data for my own post this morning.

I'm adding an update to my post this afternoon regarding the age weighting & the NY Times piece as well.
UPDATED: acasignups.net/21/12/28/nchs-…
ROFL I didn't even see this comment on my site until just now. I'd say my newest post is pretty timely. Image

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
29 Dec
Well this doesn't bode well: Neither Florida, New York, Georgia or Michigan have had any new cases/deaths added at @Worldometers today yet. Image
Well, now they have anyway... Image
Up to 438K now with just 3 states left to report (WA, ID, AK). A few like CA & TX may have additional updates later this evening as well. Image
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
29 Dec
Q for #StatisticsTwitter:

My "White people make up 70% of U.S. COVID deaths since June" post has come under fire because I didn't weight the racial groups by age. U.S. seniors are massively overrepresented by White people, so if you weight it by age they drop to like 40%. 1/
I agree this is true, and I understand why it's important to weight by age/etc. when formulating public health policies and the like.

HOWEVER, I don't understand is why this changes the bottom line: That White people are dying of COVID at disproportionately high rate since June.
Let's take this to an absurd extreme: Let's say that 100% of White Americans were 80 yrs old, and 100% of every other racial group was 25 years old. If that were the situation, you'd expect something like 95% of COVID deaths to be among White people, right? 3/
Read 12 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
29 Dec
📣 So far this election cycle I've raised $97,125 for various Dems up & down the ballot. I'd like to break $100K by New Year's Eve.

The House page is in flux due to redistricting, so I'm only posting the statewide race pages for now:
#SenateBlueIn22
secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
📣 Help Those Women from Michigan make sure #MIBlueIn22: secure.actblue.com/donate/miblue2…
📣 #GovsBlueIn22: secure.actblue.com/donate/govblue…
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
29 Dec
White people make up ~60% of the U.S. population.

White people make up 70% of all U.S. COVID deaths since June.

White people make up 80% of all U.S. COVID deaths in December so far.
acasignups.net/21/12/28/nchs-…
Here's what U.S. COVID deaths have looked like broken out by racial/ethnic group for each month since March 2020 according to @NCHStats data.

The December bracket runs through 12/18.

The dotted lines show each group's portion of the total U.S. population. Image
NOTE: I discuss this in the blog post, but since several brought it up, I’ll reiterate it here as well: This is WITHOUT adjusting for the fact that White people also make up a disproportionate portion of senior citizens. When you adjust for age it drops significantly. 1/
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
28 Dec
📣 NEW: If I understand the @NCHStats data correctly, White people have made up 70% of all U.S. COVID deaths since June (w/important caveats re. weighting):
acasignups.net/21/12/28/nchs-…
UPDATE: The weighting done by @NCHStats appears to be *age-adjusted* for each category. While I understand why they do that, I'm not sure it's relevant when it comes to political impact 1/ Image
It may be true that White people are dying at a higher rate because they also tend to be older...but that doesn't change the fact that they're dying. If 10 80-yr old GOP voters die of COVID, you don't "adjust" that down to 6 fewer GOP votes just because they were old. 2/2
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
20 Dec
📣 I guess Donald Trump finally got wind of these graphs.

WEEKLY UPDATE: County-level #COVID19 case/death rates by partisan lean & vaccination rate:
acasignups.net/21/12/20/weekl…
Meanwhile, here's the latest on the vaccination front: acasignups.net/21/12/20/weekl…
Perhaps the purest "SHOT / CHASER" visual ever:
Read 5 tweets

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