Thanks to @vest_team for putting out Mississippi data! I did this quickly, but this is Espy (blue) vs Biden (red). Espy did almost 7 points better -- his overperformance stood out in northwest MS (ancestral Dem), and not as much in the Delta (which he used to represent).
Espy also ran (relatively) well ahead of Biden along the Gulf Coast
We moved this from Safe R to Likely R in early October 2020, and it ended up being closer than several of the Leans R states. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
*northeastern MS -- should have just played it safe and said "northern"
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Looks at Doug Wilder’s historic statewide runs in 1985 and 1989. With the #VAGov race this year, I wanted to read it — it’s still very relevant to VA politics. amazon.com/When-Hell-Froz…
The 2010 elections were during my first semester of college. I remember watching the returns on Election Night and seeing this image -- I jumped up and yelled at my (apolitical) roommate "HARRY REID WON!!"
I thought he would pull it out, but that he'd barely squeak by -- he ended up wining by almost 6 points, taking a majority of the vote.
This is a good video with some of his best and funniest lines.
My favorite:
Reid says "Brad Pitt was at the Capitol one day for an event. When they said to stand for pictures, I said "How are they gonna tell us apart?"
We note in the article that we have a pretty broad Leans D category: MI is closer to the Toss-up end of that, but, say, MN is closer to Likely. In an great environment, Rs could flip most (maybe all) of those, but they still have work do in some of them.