Best books I read in 2021. Lmk which ones you read which you think I should read too. This is an incomplete list but includes most of what I read this year.
Overstory by R. Powers "The hottest year ever measured comes & goes. Then another. Then 10 more.. Species disappear. Too many species to count..Things are going lost that have not yet been found. Look at the life around you; now delete 1/2 of what you see"
richardpowers.net/the-overstory/
Ministry for the Future by K.S. Robinson.
"The invisible hand never picks up the check." Texans will be remineded of this often in coming decades as the costs of Feb 2021 are paid. Great book about what 2035 might look like given the heating of the planet. rollingstone.com/culture/cultur…
The Extraction State: A History of Natural Gas in America by Charles Blanchard (@CBthegasguy) "Industry does not abide ideology. Private business lobbies for the sort of regulation that yield the highest profits." #txenergy #txlege
amazon.com/Extraction-Sta…
Let Love Rule by @LennyKravitz. Loved this book (also the name of one my favorite albums of all time).

"Things that are authentic and organic take the time they take. new life has a rhythm of its own."

us.macmillan.com/books/97812501…
Under a White Sky by @ElizKolbert: "Stick to a strict interpretation of the natural and these--along with thousands of other species--are goners. The issue, at this point, is not whether we're going to alter nature, but to what end?"
penguinrandomhouse.com/books/617060/u…
Souls of Black Folk by WEB DuBois "So he brought w/ his wide influence all that was best of those who walk w/in the Veil. They who live w/out knew not nor dreamed of that full power w/in, that mighty inspiration which the dull gauze of caste decreed that most men should not know"
The Sword and The Shield by @PenielJoseph. As we near MLK Day, this is a great one to remind ourselves of what he actually said & believed: "There aren't enough white persons in our country who are willing to cherish democratic principles over privilege."
basicbooks.com/titles/peniel-…
The Sum of Us by H. McGhee: "Nothing about our situation is inevitable or immutable but you can't solve a problem with the consciousness that created it...everything we believe comes from a story we've been told. I set out...to piece together a new story."
penguinrandomhouse.com/books/564989/t…
Lives of the Stoics by @RyanHoliday. I try to read everything he writes but he's too damn prolific. "There is no better definition of a Stoic: to have but not want, to enjoy without needing."
penguinrandomhouse.com/books/605841/l…
The Parable of the Sower By Octavio Butler:
"Drowning people
Sometimes die
Fighting their rescuers."

Butler was a prophet. One more:

All that you tough,
You Change.

All that you Change,
Changes you.

The only lasting truth
Is Change.

God
Is Change.
Give and Take by @AdamMGrant. Jeff Ashby, NASA space shuttle commander says that "expedition behavior--being selfless, generous, & putting the team ahead of yourself--is what helpus us succeed in space more than anything else." More of this in 2022 please.
adamgrant.net/book/give-and-…
Saving Us by @KHayhoe: True hope must begin by recongizing the risk & understanding what's at stake...success isn't inevitable or even probable...Real hope provides a vision of a future that we want to live in where our lives are better than they are today simonandschuster.com/books/Saving-U…
Energy's Digital Future by @AmyJaffeenergy: "China aims to dominate the global clean energy makert. Doing so could give it economic & strategic advantages over the U.S. The market for clean energy is expected to reach over $2.6t in the coming decade..."
cup.columbia.edu/book/energys-d…
Livewired by @davideagleman: "Your third grader is smart, and Albert Einstein is smart. We’ll slowly transition from a smart grid to a genius grid"
More of that quote here:
Let the People In: The Life and Times of Ann Richards, by Jan Reid. A must read for all Texas history buffs. "Mobilizing constituences ignored by everyone else was one of the ways underfunded long shots gained ground." #txlege
utpress.utexas.edu/books/reid-let…
I read some others but it's New Year's Eve and I'm done tweeting for 2021. Hope y'all have a great time ringing in the New Year and that 2022 is as good as it can possibly be. One way to make it so: Read more books!!

Thanks for following and happy new year!

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More from @douglewinenergy

2 Jan
Grid update: Still extremely low chance of outages. This front is not extreme & won't bring us anywhere close to the 77GW of demand in Feb.

BUT there is a warning sign for future extreme cold: there are 10+GW of thermal plants offline right now.
1/🧵 #txlege #energytwitter
A little more info on that. You can see the amount of outages at the link below. It's updated every hour. (You have to add columns C-F to get total thermal outages).

It adds up to 10,114MW (or 10.1GW) of nuke/gas/coal plants offline right now. 2/

ercot.com/mp/data-produc…
ERCOT forecasters continue to struggle w/ demand on winter mornings. Idk why they continue to miss but ERCOT needs to address this. My guess is that they're undercounting electric heat. Note: FERC & NERC specifically said ERCOT needs to improve this. 3/
Read 7 tweets
30 Dec 21
Yesterday, w/ no media availability or even press release, ERCOT released its Capacity, Demand & Reserves (CDR) report. As has been a pattern lately, the communications with the public about issues of widespread conern is sorely lacking. #txlge 1/🧵

kvue.com/article/news/l…
Just this week, ERCOT CEO Brad Jones, in an article about political interference at ERCOT, said releasing a similar report (the Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy, or SARA) in the same way was a "mistake." But nothing seems to have changed. 2/
texastribune.org/2021/12/28/tex…
The difference betw than the SARA & CDR is that the SARA looks at the upcoming season while the CDR looks several years out.

3 main takeaways:
(1) absent changes, these reports aren't useful
(2) climate change isn't considered
(3) renewables are increasing reliability
3/
Read 19 tweets
21 Dec 21
A presentation from @NERC_official to an ERCOT working group provides more info on causes of Feb. outages & on possible gas market manipulation. NERC’s Thomas Coleman says it wasn’t power outages that caused gas to fail and that “price majeure” is being investigated. #txlege 1/🧵
The presentation is linked below. Coleman said FERC is investigating so-called "price majeure" when gas producers/suppliers withheld contracted gas in order to get higher prices. More on this later in the thread. #txenergy 2/
ercot.com/files/docs/202…
NERC’s Coleman disagrees with the Railroad Commission and some O&G spokespeople that power shut offs caused gas supply to fail, saying we had "massive freeze-offs" & Texas "didn't have requisite winterization so gas had to be shut it." (cont) 3/
#energytwitter
Read 16 tweets
16 Dec 21
@PUCTX meeting starts in a few minutes (9:30CT). Lots of agenda items, including one (#52373) on the future of the ERCOT electric market w/ major customer cost and reliability implications. I'll tweet about it here.
Livestream here: adminmonitor.com/tx/puct/open_m…
#txlege #txenergy
I put together two threads on the staff memo with the proposed changes.
For reference, the memo is here: interchange.puc.texas.gov/Documents/5237…
Explanation of Phase 1 proposals here
Explanation of Phase 2 proposals here:

#energytwitter
There are lots of members of the public in the room with what appear to be paper mache power lines (hard to tell from the feed). Public comment period was changed to 10:30, would normally be at 9:30.

Market design changes will be discussed at the end of the meeting.
#txlege
Read 68 tweets
15 Dec 21
The final @PUCTX meeting of 2021 is tmrw & Cmsrs may make some decisions on market redesign that could add billions in customer costs. The previous🧵summarized proposed Phase 1 changes. This one focuses on the items in Phase 2 & summarizes comments
#txlege
interchange.puc.texas.gov/search/documen…
There are 3 major proposals in the Phase II Market Design Proposals section:
- Load Serving Entity Obligation (LSEO)
-Dispatchable Energy Credits (DECs) (aka Dispatchable Portfolio Standard)
-Backstop Reliability Service (BRS)

I'll explain each below
#txenergy #txlege
The Load Serving Entity Obligation would require each retail electric provider (REP, e.g. TXU, Reliant, etc), municipal utility, & co-op (any entity that serves customers) to purchase capacity ahead of when it will be delivered. This is essentially a form of a capacity market
Read 13 tweets
14 Dec 21
"'I think demand would exceed supply and some customers would be without electricity' if there's another bout of bad weather comparable to the storms in February, said Beth Garza" of @RSI

Abbott's guarantee is "foolhardy and dangerous"
#txlege #txenergy
statesman.com/story/business…
"We are only as strong as our weakest link,"said @TimMorstad of @AARPTX. “There has not been nearly enough urgency at the @txrrc...to make sure that gas-fired electric plants will have gas if we get extreme cold"
#txlege #energytwitter 2/6
"'If we get the same weather, we will have outages' attributable to an overmatched power grid, said Doug Lewin... 'They may not be as (widespread), and they may not be as long-lasting — but we will have outages.'"

2 biggest reasons: lack of regs for gas supply winterization &...
Read 6 tweets

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