The target is to get the 30 candidates already set up soon before other constituencies and to fight them “like by-elections”.
Worth remembering that should the LibDems prove successful in just these 30 seats than this is already 50% of the way to knocking out the Tory majority.
With these 30 seats the plan is for “go easy” action by Labour to clear the path for tactical voting understanding.
I will be focussing on these 30 seats intensely in the 1-2 years before the election.
This is doable guys!
We need remainers, Labour & LibDems to help out here.
For those asking for the list of 30.
I can’t put this up.
There’s still some final discussions on this.
However it’s not really rocket science to work out which 30 out of the top 40 LibDem marginals the 30 will include.
While it’s an article of faith among many anti Brexiters that Brexit is essentially merely a conspiracy to smuggle through ultra right wing economic policies…this can disguise the fact that if it’s is such a conspiracy…it’s a very badly run one.
- a small thread -
Whiles there’s no doubt that much of the impetus for Brexit came from the neo liberal right one of the less discussed issues is that it’s failing EVEN in those terms.
For many reasons…
1. The irony of Brexit is that it shines a light on changes a UK govt makes post Brexit. That many didn’t notice before.
The UK has always been more deregulated than other EU states - but now those that disagreed with Brexit focus on every change made to hold govt to account.
The parliamentary language training scheme was set up principally to help MPs with large numbers of voting constituents who have limited English.
But Shrewsbury’s Polish community is relatively small with majority non voting as they are Polish speaking non voting 🇵🇱 citizens.
Also communication shouldn’t be a problem as not only is the English language ability in the young Britain resident Polish community relatively very high…
…but Daniel Kawczynski is already fluent in Polish anyway.
The festival of Brexit, launched as festival of UK, then rebranded as UNBOXED to avoid the unfortunate “FUK-22” abbreviation is being rapidly scaled down due to Covid.
The original plan - a year long festival in 2022 - has now been reduced to just 7 months.
However given Covid restrictions, visa restrictions & UK’s continuing poor Covid performance the organisers are now focussing on involving UK schools to rescue the £120 million project.
The project may now be forced to launch “more remotely” for its new official launch date just 2 months away on the 1st March if Covid continues to be a problem.
It was clear Labour & LibDems split the focus with Labour on Bexley & LibDems on Shropshire.
But unlike some here who discovered electoral politics last week now confidently condemning Labour...have a think about the actual mechanics of this...
1/
Anyone with any sense could see what Labour was doing:
a. Promotion of the candidate from LP HQ was at a bare minimum
b. Labour MPs were openly musing on Labour’s chances being less than LibDems
c. Virtually no Labour MPs visited the seat (we’ll come to the exceptions later)
2/ But what about the Local Association?
Now all those angry PA types condemning Labour actually THINK about what being a local activist means..
You spend your life in places like Shropshire where Labour NEVER wins, you push leaflets, get shouted at for zero reward for decades..
Have to be honest I thought the 2 most likely outcomes in Shropshire were 1. Conservative win 2. Tight LibDem win
The fact LibDems got such a large majority in a very Leave seat means that Brexit is less of an issue now than I thought it was.
The Tory Brexit bonus has gone.
The by-election wasn't fought on Brexit.
And yet such a Leave set deserted the Tories for LibDems.
There's a lesson here:
The coalition for better governance is already here and their Brexit vote 5 years ago is not going to stop many of them voting for it.
Don't want to go overboard but this means if this continues, & Labour/LibDem continue their present EU policies *maybe* my timescale of rejoining the SIngle market (in whatever form) could be possible already in next parliament.
Not certain...but possible.