I wrote this thread a long time ago but decided not to put it up. Today, because of other things on twitter that you will recognize, I have dusted it off. It is a little raw.
I would like to spend a few minutes unofficially praising and providing my personal view of the background for my university’s workshops promoting diversity and excellence in recruiting faculty. So many people seem clueless about this.
What you first need understand is that 30-35 years ago we 100% considered ourselves to be in modern, liberal times, absolutely unbiased, and completely fair. Had you suggested otherwise, we wouldn’t have listened beyond feeling insulted. We were righteous and we knew everything.
Except … we regularly did things in ways that would favor pretty het white men. Sometimes it was ‘Hey, that married guy with kids [hey, that’s me, and yes, back then they asked those questions pointedly at the interview social party] is more likely to accept our offer.’
Sometimes it was ‘Hey, let’s reopen that failed search. Prof X [from a different scientific area] was drinking with this guy at a conference and says he’s great. No, we’ll never see a rec letter but I hear he is really charismatic.”
Sometimes it was ‘Professor Bigname [who you might recall is chair of that grant study section that will decide your life] wrote to really really push this guy and his wife. Shortlist, oh yeah.’
Hey it often works out. When you give good people, who did absolutely nothing wrong, a great opportunity, many will run with it, often amazingly. Certainly not always - Harvard Harvard, brilliant, nice, but it didn’t work out. We aren’t so good at predicting.
Boom or bust, success or failure happens for reasons that I cannot fathomably connect with what I see in applications or interviews. How well can you meet a deadline? Sometimes, I’ve seen convincingly that success has come down to pure coin-flip luck.
Yes, you have to try to pick the best, but Michael Jordan was drafted third, and we are immeasurably better at predicting basketball success than faculty success.Even later, looking at the success of early faculty award winners is bad prophecy, except as self-fulfilling.
Hell, if you’ve heard of me it’s because of one night I spent doing equations on napkins after a conference banquet. I was struggling, but one night went right. Opportunity!
Perhaps there was never any intentional bias. Perhaps what we did was arguably rational business, hey, making offers to people most likely to accept. But don’t even try to tell me that it was all based on merit or 'most qualified,' or that fairness was a high priority. Nonsense.
The funny thing is that if we really could judge well who was “most qualified” and use that to predict the future well, then a lot of the funny business that was we would now recognize as bad would not have happened. Why would you shortcut a search,
why would you choose someone based on BS when the next full good search would let you pick out the 'best?' Because it wouldn't.
As so we are now taught better. Taught to run a planned fair search with set procedures, taught to push for a wide and diverse pool of applicants, taught to make all candidates feel welcome, taught to avoid conflicts of interest and domination of the search by powerful faculty,
taught to be consistent in our interviews, taught to conduct professional and fair interviews, taught to avoid considerations that are irrelevant to doing the job, and that we should not even be asking some questions that were routine 30 years ago.
It is not nefarious, God what some people say. You run a fair search, and that means you avoid a bunch of things that were intrinsically, subtly or not-so-subtly, unfair. And hey, you know what, not one word of this gets us less qualified hires. It’s exactly the opposite.

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More from @dasingleton

2 Dec 20
Debated on sharing this, but there is a broader part of the story that seems worth considering.

We took pretty careful precautions all along until one thing recently. We did not become hermits but we kept our distance and did all the little stuff, with no bars, no restaurants,
no groups, no close face-to-face even with masks. There were family connections that were potential problems but everyone involved was being careful themselves. And considering ourselves in a somewhat elevated risk category (for one thing I’m 61), we had the kids (12 and 5)
do online school until the beginning of November.

But the schooling wasn’t working. It’s no one’s fault - the teachers tried really hard, my wife tried really hard, the kids were themselves with their own special abilities and needs, but they were understanding and tried.
Read 7 tweets
22 Nov 20
On voter fraud, pseudoscience, and haunted houses.

A huge number of people very firmly believe that Biden is stealing the election and that there has been massive voter fraud. You may not see it if you don’t visit the darker areas of social media, but it’s astounding.
(picture credit Susanna Duncombe, 1725-1812)

I see it in relatives and people I know who I thought had more sense. We should try to understand why, what an argument with them is like, and, with Thanksgiving coming, what to do.
So it is time to talk again about haunted houses. (I do this on the first day with new grad students, right beside Popper and Kuhn. I did not invent this analogy and I can’t find where I first read it, perhaps Carl Sagan? Let me know if you know the original source.)
Read 18 tweets
17 Nov 20
A sad story, then some possibly timely lessons for young scientists.

A long time ago now, I caught that a student had faked data. This was in the late stages of manuscript preparation, with a draft in hand, and I caught it on a Tuesday.
It was undeniable, but still the student initially tried to deny it. (A key data analysis process we use allows the exact reproduction of numerical results. I strongly recommend this when possible. I caught that some numbers had been changed by exactly 10.00 or exactly 15.00.)
After the denial wore out, my demand was for a report giving our true reliable data. I got that report about 5 AM on Wednesday morning. By Wednesday at noon I had figured out, based on some hidden electronic signatures, that the report contained a new fabrication.
Read 13 tweets
12 Nov 20
Let me try to explain this to my grandma.
Me: You know about atoms, right.
Grandma: Yea, I think so, but I died 50 years ago, so go slow.

pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/ja…
M: Atoms have nuclei and electrons. We worry about where the nuclei are, because the electrons just sort of follow them around.
G: Got it. This is easy.
M: We are made up of molecules. Molecules are groups of atoms connected in a specific way.
G: Like a group of friends.
M: More like a patchwork quilt. The pieces are the nuclei and the stitching is the electrons.
G. But you said not to worry about the electrons.
M: Well, the electrons can follow around more than one nuclei, holding groups together.
G: Like Friends.
Read 10 tweets
2 Mar 20
Order, chaos, bah. This is chemistry, in fact it is my entropy and free energy lecture. We teach both so badly that most chemists, for God’s sake, understand neither. I use analogies like this, or a simple marble shaker, to show the ideas. Let’s go.
The shaking rate is important, let’s name it T.
The average height of the mass of the nails seems important, let’s give it a name, I dunno, H. The H started high and went lower, but with greater T or lighter nails or less gravity it could have gone up.
But something a little more subtle is also important, and that is the number of ways the nails can be arranged. A low H limits the positions for the nails, so there are fewer ways they can be arranged. At a high H there are more. Let’s call the number of ways, maybe, omega.
Read 14 tweets
2 Jan 20
Ok, so I have now gone through two MOOC courses on climate change, the older David Archer Coursera course and Michael Mann edX course, and I have some recommendations for my fellow non-climate scientists.
First, absolutely do take a course. Yea, I know, our own areas of science are enough of a struggle, and we are each unlikely to become climate activists. This is, however, the preeminent scientific moral issue of our time, and it is not going away in your lifetime.
Your training lets you understand the physics, the evidence, and the uncertainties at a level that most can't. That gives you the responsibility to apply your abilities to every climate news story and every dumb internet or Thanksgiving table argument, even if only for yourself.
Read 14 tweets

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