Any herd immunity supporter who can explain why the hardest-hit Italian regions during the first wave still have more cases today *and* higher test positivity rates?
https://twitter.com/asampierdarena/status/1478038784918786048
My hypothesis is that we’re still very far from herd immunity thresholds, and the further we are, the more “virus infrastructure” matters over natural immunity
(virus infrastructure = the demographic, cultural, infrastructure, connectivity factors that facilitate spread)
(virus infrastructure = the demographic, cultural, infrastructure, connectivity factors that facilitate spread)
This matters because, if the hypothesis above is correct, the hardest-hit regions will be still hit hard for a long time, much longer than herd immunity supporters tell us.
Losing competitiveness (uptime, business desirability, fiscal solidity) compared to lighter-hit countries
Losing competitiveness (uptime, business desirability, fiscal solidity) compared to lighter-hit countries
A common answer is “omicron evades herd immunity from delta” which is… an argument against omicron creating herd immunity towards future variants?
By the way, Lombardy (hardest-hit region) is the 6th out of 20 regions by % of double-jabbed and 5th by % of triple-jabbed.
Calabria (lowest-hit region) is 18th by % of double-jabbed and 19th by % of triple-jabbed.
Calabria (lowest-hit region) is 18th by % of double-jabbed and 19th by % of triple-jabbed.
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