Japan, Korea, Cambodia are three of the most vaccinated nations on Earth (80% fully vax). Yet each has had their largest "wave" post-mass vaccination; more interestingly, there has been no "de-coupling" of cases & deaths evident in Asia.

Do vaccines not reduce severity in Asia?
More to the point - severity has always been so inconsequentially low in eastern Asia that vaccination was unnecessary in this region and likely redundant of immunity from prior exposure to similar viruses.
There are 560 million people living in this region of Asia, none of whom, apparently, ever faced a significant mortality risk from covid-19.

Do masks magically work in Asia but not Europe or America?
While east Asia is thin, it is not young, so there should have been significant risk. What has protected them?

Perhaps prior exposure to similar coronaviruses? Bats harboring related virus have been found in China, Thailand, and Cambodia:

nature.com/articles/s4146…
Whatever the cause, east Asia has been spared from significant mortality.

We do know that it wasn't track-and-trace, or masks, or vaccines that saved them because these interventions have failed everywhere else they've been tried.
These nations are not immune to all respiratory viruses, either - many prior pandemics have taken a terrible toll in east Asia and the flu visits this region just as it does any other (despite widespread use of masks):

nippon.com/en/japan-data/…
So, east Asia has been spared from covid-19, in particular, not from respiratory viruses in general, and it has nothing to do with any human intervention.

There is a natural cause for their immunity; either genetic, or prior exposure, or happenstance (BCG vaccination?).

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More from @Humble_Analysis

4 Jan
Indonesia, the 4th largest country on Earth (278 million people), has recorded essentially zero cases & deaths for three straight months:
Cases in Indonesia disappeared at the end of September, despite continued high testing rates.

The share of tests returning positive fell to below 0.4% and has remained there for months.
Obviously, the disappearance of covid in Indonesia can no be credited to vaccination, since less than 6% of the population was vaccinated when cases peaked in mid-July (and we have numerous examples of high vax countries with skyrocketing cases).
Read 13 tweets
30 Dec 21
Israel: first to initiate mass vaccination & first to require boosters. Now, after 3-5 months, boosters are clearly failing to prevent infection/transmission, as well.

Israel is left with a choice: mandate a 4th dose or throw in the towel on mandatory vaccination.
With nearly all adults full vaccinated and the majority of adults boosted, Israel has seen a new seasonal wave begin with infections almost exclusively found amongst the vaccinated.

This is not what was promised one year ago when vaccines were approved.
In Israel, 70% of the population has been vaccinated, 64% fully vaccinated, but only 45% boosted.

This drop-off occurred despite the national vaccine passport mandating booster doses.

Why have 36% of those who initiated vaccination chosen not to get boosted?
Read 9 tweets
21 Dec 21
Biden claims that the vast majority of covid deaths are unvaccinated.

The CDC claims that >95% of seniors are vaccinated.

The CDC also states than seniors account for >70% of all covid deaths.

The math just doesn't work.
CDC vaccination data: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
CDC Deaths by Age data: cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
Read 4 tweets
17 Dec 21
Denmark now has the highest covid cases in the world (excluding microstates) despite having vaccinated 80% of the population and boosted 24%.

Remember when we were told vaccines were 100% effective against infection and that there would be no more waves once we go to 50% vax?
Remember back in September when Denmark declared victory and said with 80% vaccinated Covid there was no longer any need for social restrictions?

npr.org/2021/09/10/103…
Now, just a few months later, Denmark is closing schools, shutting down public accommodations - essentially locking down the economy once again.

msn.com/en-us/news/wor…
Read 6 tweets
17 Dec 21
South Africa: death rate among covid hospitalized down 66% in all age groups. Also, hospitalization rate down 91% (see next tweet).

Take together, CFR down >97% with Omicron in South Africa.
What could explain this trend in South Africa?

a. Omicron intrinsically mild
b. Mildness specific to southern Africa
c. High immunity from prior infection
d. Testing catching more mild infections
e. Seasonality (Summer)
Read 5 tweets
14 Dec 21
1 billion people live in central Africa and less than 5% have been fully vaccinated. Somehow, there have been fewer than 43K covid deaths reported in this region, total, since the beginning of the pandemic.

Has any modeler, PH official, or epidemiologist explained this?
The median age in this region is ~18 and obesity is low to moderate, so part of the answer is a lack of susceptible population.

But, based upon flu patterns, the covid pandemic lasted only a few months in this region - and the flu has been a larger concern for over a year.
Lack of testing doesn't explain this, either, as Rwanda has performed nearly as many tests per capital as Moldova, for instance, with 25 times fewer deaths.
Read 5 tweets

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