1 billion people live in central Africa and less than 5% have been fully vaccinated. Somehow, there have been fewer than 43K covid deaths reported in this region, total, since the beginning of the pandemic.
Has any modeler, PH official, or epidemiologist explained this?
Has any modeler, PH official, or epidemiologist explained this?
The median age in this region is ~18 and obesity is low to moderate, so part of the answer is a lack of susceptible population.
But, based upon flu patterns, the covid pandemic lasted only a few months in this region - and the flu has been a larger concern for over a year.
But, based upon flu patterns, the covid pandemic lasted only a few months in this region - and the flu has been a larger concern for over a year.
Lack of testing doesn't explain this, either, as Rwanda has performed nearly as many tests per capital as Moldova, for instance, with 25 times fewer deaths.
Seroprevelance studies in Africa show that many infections are not being detected by testing - because 90%-95% are asymptomatic - and that the death rate from infection is 25 times lower than in Europe or North America.
the-star.co.ke/news/2021-09-2…
the-star.co.ke/news/2021-09-2…
Unfortunately, while central Africa was largely spared from covid itself, they are paying a steep cost for the hysterical overreaction in the West - and the price of panic will continue to accrue for years to come.
unicef.org/press-releases…
unicef.org/press-releases…
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