Looking at graphs from individual provinces & territories on RELATIVE scale - ie, based on the peak for each region, not the same scale for all:
• AB testing peaked 2nd Wave; steady 📉drop since
• SK still at Delta levels; ignoring Omicron
• BC, ON, PQ etc all keeping 📈up.
See those diagonals fanning out from vertical axis? Doubling intervals: 1,3,5,7.. days.
While first 4 waves started out just as steep as Omicron, that early exponential growth slowed as people modified behaviour + virus hit vaccinated pop.
I've taken the liberty of annotating @bcCOVID19group Dr Karlen's Alberta Graph by adding:
• translation for log scale to 100, 1000, 10,000 etc
• AHS baseline 173 & maximum 380 ICU capacity
• previous record Hospitalization from AB Health
First, let me take you exactly to where to find these results:
• for now, it is the only graph on the "Wastewater" tab
• hosted at @ucalgaryCHI, the results are province-wide including years of innovative work by @UAlberta, @UCalgary, @ACWAWater et al
Now, although the CMOH said on 7 Dec 2021 it was just about here, after that I could find no information from CMOH, AB Health, or GoA about where to find the website, or how to use it.
It is as if the Gov had been suppressing this information for so long, it sorta squeezed out.
Yesterday, the CMOH made some claims about the health system impact in the UK that are demonstrably untrue, at least with the UK's official stats that were available at the time.
"In countries like the UK and Denmark, where Omicron is spreading widely, their early reports of health system impact indicate that hospital and ICU admissions are not rising as quickly as in previous waves."
Tender shoots of good news emerging from the frozen IPAC ground covering LTC, DSL and Hospices:
• for those with family or family there
• who work there
• who care about the people who work there
See Q&A: "COVID-19 Requirements for Licensed Supportive Living, Long-Term Care & Hospice Settings" with PPE improvements for:
• staff option: fit-tested N95, non-fit tested N95, or seal-checked KN95
• visitor option: seal-checked KN95 or Blue Leakie™️ offered by facility
Staff:
"Effective immediately, and as supplies allow, it is recommended that all staff use either a well-
fitted surgical/procedure mask OR a seal-checked respirator continuously while on shift."
No more BlueLeakie™️ for the undervalued HCAs caring for infected residents.
Let's zoom further into this graph, and isolate ages 5-11:
• Why was it at 4.7% before the vaccine campaign for this age group even started?
• Since when did age 5-11 start getting vaccinated in May?
• 4.7% of 391,430 kids this age is about 18,400 kids.
Something's wrong.🧐
4.7%, or 18,400, is way too many kids age 5-11 to be so at risk from COVID-19 that they get an adult dose before Health Canada has even approved a paediatric dose.