Quick take on the situation in #Kazakhstan. The rapid escalation took all sides by surprise. The military seems to be staying loyal and this is now enforced by the foreign special forces and rapid reaction forces entering Kazakstan.
1/4
While the uprising was initially successful, it lacked a clear leadership and a strategy that could lead to a quick victory as is common with spontaneous uprisings escalating on the spot. Geography makes gaining enough control to constrict government movement impossible. 2/4
The broad participation from other CSTO countries and the bulk of Kazakh security forces staying in line means that Russian forces deployed to Kazakstan do not significantly reduce their operational capabilities on other fronts. 3/4
This will be a serious warning to other similar regimes in the region to curb more civil rights or find distractions from the inevitable economic hardships coming this winter.
Russia is included in this group.
4/4

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More from @pmakela1

30 Nov 21
This official Russian line is a complete lie. In 1939 USSR was allied with the Third Reich and the secret Molotov-Ribbentrop pact placed Finland into the Soviet hands. Germany refused to help Finland and blocked military aid to Finland during Winter War.
In fact the German Navy had a secret submarine base operating in the USSR during the Winter War. German military operations were done from Soviet soil as their ally.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basis_Nord
Read 4 tweets
30 Nov 21
On this day in in 1939, after false flag attack and propaganda offensive, the Soviet Red Army launched an invasion of Finland all along the 1300 km border. The following #WinterWar would last 105 days with Finland holding off the Soviet attacks.
blog.vantagepointnorth.net/2019/11/winter…
Read 4 tweets
13 Mar 21
81 years ago today the Winter War between Finland and Soviet Union ended. Finland paid heavily for the peace, but the sacrifice saved the nation from a genocide in Stalin's hands.
#Talvisota
blog.vantagepointnorth.net/2020/03/the-en…
Saving a nation takes everyone's effort. Men and women put their hearts into saving Finland from the Soviet hordes.
blog.vantagepointnorth.net/2019/11/winter…
Read 4 tweets
26 Nov 19
80 years ago in 1939 the Finnish nation underwent it's greatest crucible when the USSR attempted to invade the democratic peaceful nation.

I will collect my tweets on the #WinterWar80 into this thread for an easy walkthrough of the 105 days of war, that broke out on Nov 30th.
Read 9 tweets
6 Sep 18
The massive #Vostok2018 starts on 9.11.

The drill will pitch the Russian Easter Military District and the Pacific Fleet against the Central Military District and the Northern Fleet.

Drill area will stretch from #Finland to #China.

Western and Southern MDs shouldn't take part
The #Vostok2018 will have 290k soldiers on a force on force scenario with 25k+ on a single training area.
Read 4 tweets

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