If govts admitted long COVID is very real, and very concerning (multi-system disease with neuro-degeneration, renal, cardiac, vascular, and immune dysfunction), the whole approach would have to change from focusing on not overwhelming hospitals to actually tackling transmission.
It's interesting that despite the huge levels of accumulating evidence, almost none that is reassuring, politicians, and even many scientific advisors never mention or consider this in advice or policy making. Why?
JCVI - happy to discuss rare theoretical long term effects from vaccines that haven't materialised after millions of children vaccinated across the globe, never consider long COVID, steadfastly against recommending vaccines to children who are being exposed to mass infection.
Our govt only commissions and looks at modelling of hospitalisations and deaths to see if we 'breach NHS capacity' whatever that means - but never consider that we had 3.2 million people infected in a single week end of Dec. What will that mean if even 10% of them get long COVID?
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Watched #DontLookUp by @GhostPanther yesterday. It felt very real. Unless we address the distortion of reality by politicians aided by complicit media backed by vested interests, we are never going to be able to deal with any crisis.🧵
What you see presented in the news everyday is distorted. The 'debates' don't reflect global scientific consensus. The short news cycle remains ahistoric and acontextual - full of hopium (can't tell you how many times I've been asked to end on a 'feel good' note).
Govt policies are driven by short-termism, economic interests of lobby groups, and self-interest (corruption and profiteering) - nothing to do with what's needed to protect people, and deal with the problem. And the Telegraph/spectator/express & much of the BBC push to normalise.
How on earth is this not a scandal? Long COVID numbers in children have more than tripled in 6 months. 117,000 children with long COVID and 20,000 with illness for *more than a year*. How on earth is this acceptable? - these are children!
I cannot bear the fact that we live in a society that has normalised mass infection of children, with a virus that's causing long term illness in >100K kids, and has a higher mortality rate than every other childhood illness.
And yet, our govt will do next to nothing to make schools safer. JCVI will not vaccinated children from a preventable disease. Scientists and paediatricians will continue to argue against basic mitigations that protect children. How on earth did this happen?
There's nothing remotely superior/developed about trying to 'tech' our way out of the pandemic with vaccines, therapeutics & testing while ignoring basic public health measures. Masks, ventilation, good contact tracing, support with isolation all important. Every layer matters.🧵
Vaccination and therapies don't mean other measures for prevention are superseded. Testing doesn't mean mitigations in schools not needed. I really don't understand how govt and even many scientists don't get this. It's an airborne virus - we need mitigations that address this.
And prevention is always better than treating thousands of people in hospital, and letting hundreds of thousands get long COVID. Better in terms of overall public health, long term health and life expectancy, pressures on the NHS, and even costs to health services.
Usual misinformation we're used to from the BBC now... there's actually a lot of very strong evidence that masks in schools reduce school outbreaks, infection in children, and in parents alongside other measures. But don't let facts get in the way of your preferred narrative.🧵
Here's one study from Arizona published by the CDC that showed outbreaks in schools with mask mandates were 3.5 lower than schools without: cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
Another US study showing counties with mask mandates in schools had much 2x lower rises in paediatrics infection after schools re-opened: cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
The gaslighting cycle:
SAGE: Don't wait till hosp rise to act or it'll be too late
Govt/media:
-'too much uncertainty'/'mild'/'need more data'
-'SAGE modelling wrong'
-'closely following the data' (what data? PCRs/LFD capacity reached)
-'hosps mostly incidental'
-'too late now'!
The misinformation/disinformation campaigns pushing this rhetoric have been incredibly strong with media narratives completely divorced from reality. It's been impossible to breakthrough the spin & frustrating to watch it all unfold, despite numerous warnings from SAGE & others.
I don't believe what's in the media actually represents the scientific consensus on this situation. I think the majority of experts were concerned and supported early action, but listening to media, you'd be forgiven for thinking otherwise.
While the Heneghans, Guptas and Ioannidis' of the world talk about being cancelled, it's scientists who've given stark warnings in crises & advocated for childhood vaccination being abused into silence. The incitement of these attacks comes from the media theguardian.com/world/2021/dec…
I challenged @MattChorley on this on Times Radio recently- for casting doubt on SPI-M-O models that are now very much on track with hospitalisation rates. The media is fully complicit in this, while issuing almost no challenge to misinformation as long as it carries hopium.
Scientists warning based on evidence are attacked relentlessly for 'fear mongering', being 'pro-lockdown', while hopium spreaders are platformed without question, as vital opportunities to protect the NHS & people lives are allowed to pass & murderous policies of govt normalised.