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Shashank Joshi Profile picture
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10 Jan, 8 tweets, 3 min read
"[Former Danish intel chief] Lars Findsen was ... arrested at Copenhagen Airport on 8 December at 09:52. He and the other detainees are all suspected of having leaked highly classified information the media" dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
This story is quite something. Findsen ,the ex Danish intel chief, "has been in custody for a month...There has been a name ban in the case, which is why Politiken and other media have been barred from telling the public" politiken.dk/indland/art855…
"Findsen called the case "insane"... The judge decided later in the morning that the case should continue to be conducted behind double closed doors. Formally, the public thus knows neither the charges against Findsen nor his position" berlingske.dk/samfund/fe-che…
"Among other things, Lars Findsen is charged with a very serious provision in the Penal Code, which falls into the category of "treason". The provision deals with the disclosure of state secrets, and the penalty is up to 12 years in prison." dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
"There have been lawsuits in the past in connection with the leak of classified information, but when four [Danish] intelligence officers are arrested in their homes, we are talking "next level". It has never happened before." altinget.dk/forsvar/artike…
"The leaks have gathered around three significant cases: the arrested Danish agent, Ahmed Samsam, the leaked threat assessments about the terrorist threat from the prison camps in Syria and alleged Danish cable collection in collaboration with the NSA." altinget.dk/forsvar/artike…
"In the deepest secrecy, the [ex] commander of the Armed Forces Intelligence service (FE) Lars Findsen has been under long-term & massive surveillance [incl] telephone tapping...Findsen has been in charge of the kingdom's security for two decades" dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
"The [Danish] intel services then contacted [news outlet] DR & CEOs of Berlingske & Politikens Hus to ask for a meeting...heads of PET & FE warned that journalists and editors risk...12 years in prison if they publish information that threatens...security" dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…

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More from @shashj

Shashank Joshi Profile picture
11 Jan
Very good NYT piece on the Russian buildup. "American officials say that President Vladimir V. Putin has begun taking steps to move military helicopters into place, a possible sign that planning for an attack continues." nytimes.com/2022/01/10/us/…
"a relatively mild winter has slowed the ground’s freezing, and Mr. Putin’s deadline for committing his forces has slipped further toward the spring, officials say. The hard winter freeze that typically comes to Ukraine by January has not happened" nytimes.com/2022/01/10/us/…
Military meteorology: "To get a better sense of possible conditions this year, the Biden administration has enlisted meteorologists to look more closely at the likely weather in Ukraine in the coming weeks, according to a U.S. official." nytimes.com/2022/01/10/us/…
Read 6 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
7 Jan
A few bits and pieces that have helped me make sense of the "what did the West promise Russia about NATO enlargement" debate. 🧵
One is this thread by @e_sarotte, who wrote the book (yalebooks.co.uk/display.asp?k=…) on the issue
.@e_sarotte's key conclusion is that Gorbachev ultimately signed a deal he knew would permit NATO expansion.
Read 11 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
7 Oct 21
A striking story. US special forces and marines have been in Taiwan for over a year: Marines "working with local maritime forces on small-boat training. The American forces have been operating in Taiwan for at least a year"
wsj.com/articles/u-s-t…
"About two dozen members of U.S. special-operations and support troops are conducting training for small units of Taiwan’s ground forces, the officials said. The U.S. Marines are working with local maritime forces on small-boat training" wsj.com/articles/u-s-t…
Another source. "Small numbers of US special operations forces have been rotating into Taiwan on a temporary basis to carry out training of Taiwanese forces, two sources familiar with the matter said on Thursday, speaking on condition of anonymity." smh.com.au/world/asia/us-…
Read 5 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
1 Oct 21
Antonio Giustozzi: "Both the Russians and the Iranians helped the Taliban advance at a breakneck pace in May–August 2021. They contributed to funding and equipping them, but perhaps even more importantly they helped them by brokering deals ..." rusi.org/explore-our-re…
"The Iranians began to seriously worry when Kabul fell into the hands of the Haqqani network...Even more ominously and provocatively for Iran, they took with them a number of Iranian Baluchi fighters opposed to the Iranian regime" rusi.org/explore-our-re…
"announcement of the first [Taliban] cabinet...was...a worse shock for Iran than it was for Russia. Not only was the promised coalition with non-Taliban figures non-existent, but none of Iran’s numerous allies and clients within the Taliban were included" rusi.org/explore-our-re…
Read 4 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
17 Sep 21
Two issues at stake with AUKUS, and these are being slightly conflated. One is whether Aus should've been open with France sooner. Second is whether France should've been included in pact. 1/4
The answer to the first seems to me to be: yes. And clearly Canberra mostly at fault. But answer to second seems much less clear-cut (though am speculating and happy to be corrected). 2/4
Would France have accepted junior partner status that UK & Aus are comfortable with? If it would, how would US (and UK) feel about co-operation in most sensitive area of defence tech with country that has *never* been as aligned on defence industrial matters as US, UK & Aus? 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
16 Sep 21
In addition to AUKUS, a potentially important (let's see details) shift in US military posture in Asia: "American ships, bomber planes, satellites and military base personnel will all have a significantly increased presence across Australia..." afr.com/policy/foreign…
Dutton: “This will include greater air cooperation, through rotation deployments of all types of US military aircraft to Australia,” ... more “bilateral military exercises”, and “greater combined exercise engagement with partners in the region.” afr.com/policy/foreign…
"..will expand Australia’s space knowledge and capabilities. I’m pleased to announce that the Australian Department of Defence in the United States National Reconnaissance Office have also committed to a broad range of satellite activities” Mr Dutton said" afr.com/policy/foreign…
Read 4 tweets

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