📣📣 Weekly Update: Whole New Wave, Whole New Ballgame re. #COVID19 case & death rates:
acasignups.net/22/01/10/weekl…
acasignups.net/22/01/10/weekl…
⚠️ Since I've been the one pushing the COVID case/death rate partisan divide so heavily the past 6 months, it behooves me to also note if & when that red tide turns blue again...which it seems to be, at least for the moment. 2/
It's tricky to lock in a "start" & "end" dates for a given wave since variants generally lurk under the radar for some time before spreading widely, but as far as I can tell, Delta "started" in the U.S. in mid/late June while Omicron "started" here around mid/late December. 3/ 
I've therefore "locked in" my Delta graphs to run from 6/15/21 - 12/15/21. Here's what the case & death rates looked like for that period when viewed along both PARTISAN (2020 Trump vote) and NONPARTISAN (2-dose vaccination rates) lines:
All four of the Delta graphs tell a powerful story: Both case rates *and* death rates for the second half of 2021 were *dramatically* higher in the Reddest parts of the U.S. than the Bluest parts, and in the least-vaccinated counties than in the most-vaccinated counties. 5/
However, we're now into the #Omicron variant, and *at least so far*, it's a very different story:
--CASE rates are 2.2x higher in the BLUEST tenth of the U.S. than the reddest;
--DEATH rates are still 2.9x higher in the reddest tenth, but that's < 1/2 the gap of Delta. 6/
--CASE rates are 2.2x higher in the BLUEST tenth of the U.S. than the reddest;
--DEATH rates are still 2.9x higher in the reddest tenth, but that's < 1/2 the gap of Delta. 6/
It's a similar situation on the nonpartisan / vaccination rate front:
--Case rates since 12/15 are 2.4x *higher* in the MOST vaxxed counties than the least-vaxxed;
--Death rates since 12/15 are, again, still 3.3x higher in the least-vaxxed, but it's down from Delta's 4.8x. 7/
--Case rates since 12/15 are 2.4x *higher* in the MOST vaxxed counties than the least-vaxxed;
--Death rates since 12/15 are, again, still 3.3x higher in the least-vaxxed, but it's down from Delta's 4.8x. 7/
Will these patterns hold, grow, reverse?
Just as I did when Red America was being ravaged by the Delta variant, I'll keep tracking & reporting the trends throughout the Omicron variant.
...which I'm sure will disappoint those who claimed I was "cherry-picking" the data. /END
Just as I did when Red America was being ravaged by the Delta variant, I'll keep tracking & reporting the trends throughout the Omicron variant.
...which I'm sure will disappoint those who claimed I was "cherry-picking" the data. /END
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