The wild fire that is the Omicron, already forcing Ontario hospitals to cancel critical surgeries and diagnostic tests, will be doused with lighter fluid as @fordnation rushes to repeat its mistake of Feb 2021 by reopening school too early, if media sources are correct.
1/7
Schools amplified #COVID19 last year, @COVIDSciOntario found, after pediatric experts pushed the province to ignored the perils of reopening without safeguards. Those same experts pushed again to reopen prematurely, and it will aid a variant that’s 12-fold more transmissible.
2/7
Fewer than 4% of kids ages 5 to 11 are double-vaccinated. None will be required to wear N95 masks in classrooms that may not be adequately ventilated, none will get access to PCR tests and no public health official will have the capacity to track and trace outbreaks.
3/7
Looking after those kids will be teachers who, for the most part, have not been boosted and last received a vaccine four or five months ago; growing evidence shows those teachers will have scant protection from being infected. 4/7
The result will be this: a massive number of outbreaks in schools in coming weeks that will force many classes to go remote. But instead of doing so in a controlled way, @fordnation has insured closing will be chaotic and threaten to push hospitals and home care over a ledge. 5/7
We needed patience; we got instead a politically-motivated push. We needed to heed experts who were right in February 2021; we instead were swayed again by pediatric experts whose noble intentions have blinded them to their tunnel vision. 6/7
I hope I am wrong; I am tiring of being right when it means so many suffer preventable death, illness and trauma, and not just those w/COVID19, but those whose cancers will get missed and who will miss their windows for life-saving or life-altering medical intervention. 7/7
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What should by a thrilling start to a new school year is instead a terror for many students and staff at @mcgillu whose administration had forced them to chose between risking death or serious illness or jeopardizing their education or livelihood. 1/4
@mcgillu McGill has refused a vaccine mandate, even in its own residences, isn't requiring distancing or masking by profs in poorly ventilated classrooms and had threatened discipline against faculty who want to go remote to protect immunocompromised family living under the same roof.
2/4
@mcgillu The school has defended its reckless conduct with arguments that reveal a profound lack of understanding of science, #COVID19 and the law, creating a scarlet letter that won't weather well as it competes globally for students and faculty.
3/4
This is a dodge by @celliottability who knows better as the health minister and a lawyer.
She's had six month to replace the medical officer of health for Haldimand-Norfolk during a pandemic and the Health Protection and Promotion Act REQUIRES her to do so EXPEDITIOUSLY. 1/X
@celliottability It was exactly six months ago today -- March 5 -- that Dr. Shanker Nesathurai, then medical officer of health at @HNHealthUnit announced he would resign effective May 21.
So why is it that half a year later Elliott has not filled that position? 2/X
While the requirement to fill a vacancy does not specify a time frame, the legislature chose the word "expeditiously."
Surely, it does not mean a delay of more than six months during the worst pandemic in a century. #COVID19 3/X
While @TorontoStar published a story Friday in which @OntLiberal questioned why @HNHealthUnit named as acting medical officer of health someone who opposes #COVID19 lockdowns, my review of his writings raises another concerning question:
Has he misrepresented evidence?
1/X
@TorontoStar@OntLiberal@HNHealthUnit@strauss_matt@spectator@BorisJohnson In that piece, Strauss misstates findings of studies and reports to build his case against lockdowns.
I use "misstate" and not "misrepresent" because the latter implies an intent to deceive and I have no basis to know his intent - errors may be the result of carelessness.
3/X
A pandemic is not a time for moral grandstanding and PR spin but we've gotten a double dose of each when faced in Canada with the choice of vaccinating with AstraZeneca to prevent #COVID19 1/16
Public Health and public figures pushed AstraZeneca at a time when vaccines were scarce and variants and cases were surging, telling Canadians it was their duty to take AZ first if that was the 1st vaccine available. 2/16
But messaging shouldn’t trump math when fighting an enemy whose spread threatened to overwhelm the capacity of our hospitals to treat all acutely ill patients. 3/16
Real-world American study of 91,134 people finds one dose of Pfizer/Moderna protects MUCH LESS against death/hospitalization then two doses in 3 or 4 week intervals.
The finding should raise questions about Canada delaying doses 16 weeks.
Some health officials, including @Healthmac defend the delay pointing to a less robust study that counted as one-shot immunized those who had a dose but who were hospitalized or died before the two weeks that shot needs to build an immune response but now the verdict is in...
2/X
The new study did NOT count people as having gotten one dose unless they were fine for 2 weeks before illness began. Those who got sick in the first two weeks were counted as not vaccinated at all. The one-dose group was limited to those who were health 2+weeks after 1st dose
3/X
1/2 Public Health and private vigilance in Ontario is our 1st line of defence against #coronavirus If it falls short, we face a crisis. Epidemiologists estimate between 40 and 70% of adults will eventually get coronavirus. Even at the low end, that's 4 million people infected.
2/2/a If we borrow data from China, 20% of those infected needed hospitalizations. That works out to 800,000 hospitalizations in Ontario. Even if we cut that in half, that's 400,000 needing spaces in hospitals already so full, patients are treated in hallways ...
2/2/b So public health and private vigilance must slow the spread so hospitalizations gets stretched out over many months.
My analysis springs from that for Massachusetts by director of the @HarvardGH@ashishkjha - but #onpoli bed shortage is much worse