1/2 Public Health and private vigilance in Ontario is our 1st line of defence against #coronavirus If it falls short, we face a crisis. Epidemiologists estimate between 40 and 70% of adults will eventually get coronavirus. Even at the low end, that's 4 million people infected.
2/2/a If we borrow data from China, 20% of those infected needed hospitalizations. That works out to 800,000 hospitalizations in Ontario. Even if we cut that in half, that's 400,000 needing spaces in hospitals already so full, patients are treated in hallways ...
2/2/b So public health and private vigilance must slow the spread so hospitalizations gets stretched out over many months.
My analysis springs from that for Massachusetts by director of the @HarvardGH @ashishkjha - but #onpoli bed shortage is much worse
shorturl.at/nOXY3
My analysis springs from that for Massachusetts by director of the @HarvardGH @ashishkjha - but #onpoli bed shortage is much worse
shorturl.at/nOXY3
I should mention Dr. Jha is moving from Harvard to @HealthyBrown but his excellent work continues.
@threadreaderapp unroll please
