Earlier I referenced an email shared with me by someone who belongs to a leading group of physicians, who consult with major American sports leagues and high school programs nationwide. In this thread I will share -- verbatim -- their #Omicron points of interest for members.
Please keep in mind this is a group that has been exceedingly cautious from the beginning. And recommended the sports leagues they consult with shutdown in March 2020. Here's the 14 things they say about #Omicron now:
1. Close to 100% of positive cases in Massachusetts are Omicron. Delta is almost completely gone from New England.
2. This surge will peak sometime between 1/10 and 1/21 and then begin a quick downhill journey of
2-4 weeks.
3. We will end up with a 20-50% positivity rate.
2. This surge will peak sometime between 1/10 and 1/21 and then begin a quick downhill journey of
2-4 weeks.
3. We will end up with a 20-50% positivity rate.
4. February will be clean up mode, March will begin to return to "normal."
5. Omicron lives in your nose and upper respiratory area, which is what makes it so contagious. Lung affinity is minimal.
5. Omicron lives in your nose and upper respiratory area, which is what makes it so contagious. Lung affinity is minimal.
6. The increased hospitalizations should be taken with a grain of salt as most of them are secondary
admissions (i.e. people coming in for surgery, broken bones, etc. who are tested for COVID).
admissions (i.e. people coming in for surgery, broken bones, etc. who are tested for COVID).
7. We won't need a booster for Omicron because they wouldn't be able to develop one before it's completely
gone. And we're all going to get it, which will give us the immunity we need to get through it.
gone. And we're all going to get it, which will give us the immunity we need to get through it.
8. COVID will join the 4 other coronaviruses we deal with that cause the common cold, upper respiratory
infections, RSV, etc. It will become a pediatric disease mainly affecting young children with no immunity.
infections, RSV, etc. It will become a pediatric disease mainly affecting young children with no immunity.
9. 40% of those infected will be asymptomatic.
10. Rapid tests are 50-80% sensitive to those with symptoms, only 30-60% sensitive to those without
symptoms.
10. Rapid tests are 50-80% sensitive to those with symptoms, only 30-60% sensitive to those without
symptoms.
11. Contact tracing is worthless because we're all going to get it and there's no way we could keep up with it.
12. We are fighting the last war with COVID and should be pivoting back to normal life, but most of society isn't quite ready for it yet related to COVID fears/experiences from earlier in the pandemic.
13. No need to be a hermit unless you're immunocompromised or 85+. Staying away from large gatherings next few weeks likely helpful in suppressing hospitalization spike noted above (with caveat spike in hospitalizations currently isn't all for primary COVID illness).
14. Spring/Summer will be really nice!
Once again, this is verbatim what was circulated within this prominent nationwide organization of physicians who consult with major sports leagues, and high school athletics nationwide.
I have personally known the physician who shared this with me for several years.
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