Most people assume that Canadian COVID-19 deaths occur mainly in hospitals and long-term care, retirement and assisted living homes.
They don't, especially since vaccines became available.
It's not clear how many people die AFTER going to hospital, or how many never go.
They don't, especially since vaccines became available.
It's not clear how many people die AFTER going to hospital, or how many never go.
In Canada, the full impact of COVID-19 waves is largely seen in reported deaths, which often are reported long after the wave has passed, especially outside QC (probably also MB).
As I say over and over, watch QC and assume same is happening in your region or will soon.
As I say over and over, watch QC and assume same is happening in your region or will soon.
Deaths in hospital account for a minority of total deaths. We're about to find out soon if LTC will surge with breakthrough deaths.
Again, watch Quebec for the fastest death reporting in LTC/RHs and all locations.
If QC deaths in LTC start surging the ROC will be close behind.
Again, watch Quebec for the fastest death reporting in LTC/RHs and all locations.
If QC deaths in LTC start surging the ROC will be close behind.
Also, QC and MB do post-mortem C19 testing. Other provinces don't. If >75% of deaths occur at home and you don't do post-mortem testing, you miss a LOT of C19 deaths. This reduces the reported death numbers in provinces that don't do post-mortem testing.
If you've ever wondered why QC and MB always have the worst reported death rates in the country, this is probably why.
Right now, when most of the country is going through the same epidemic, you should assume per capita deaths reported by QC and MB are happening everywhere.
Right now, when most of the country is going through the same epidemic, you should assume per capita deaths reported by QC and MB are happening everywhere.
Finally, since QC is by far the fastest for COVID death reporting, you should watch QC to get the most timely sense of what is happening where you live.
I know I keep saying this. Don't assume your province is doing well because the reported numbers don't look like QC.
I know I keep saying this. Don't assume your province is doing well because the reported numbers don't look like QC.
Here are age-adjusted per capita reported COVID-19 deaths (left) and excess all-cause mortality (right) to mid-January 2021 (the latest date when mortality reporting is sufficiently complete to interpret).
Alberta had passed Quebec by that date. Others were catching up.
Alberta had passed Quebec by that date. Others were catching up.
Remember that excess mortality reflects UNTIMELY deaths. QC's reported C19 deaths were likely higher than excess mortality because they included people who would have died of other causes during the same period.
And yes, toxic drug deaths have been subtracted from excess deaths.
And yes, toxic drug deaths have been subtracted from excess deaths.
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