Short $CREAM and $veIB Thesis 🧵

CREAM is one of the best trades in crypto right now. I'm not necessarily super bullish on the protocol itself, but I am super bullish on Iron Bank $veIB. Those staking CREAM on $ETH on 27 January will receive 40% of the initial $veIB supply.
Given the $veIB tokens are "vested escrow" (that's what the ve stands for) tokens, holders won't be diluted. As @kamikaz_ETH eloquently put it, we "should be thinking of $CREAM purchases as a seed round investment with a non-dilution provision".
So $CREAM stakers are receiving and retaining (if desired) 40% of the supply of a what might become a blue chip revenue producing defi protocol. ibdotxyz.medium.com/the-iron-bank-…

So what is the Iron Bank?
The Iron Bank is Yearn's central bank, created by @iearnfinance and @AndreCronjeTech.

To date the Iron Bank has been primarily used to mint ib tokens by users depositing various crypto collateral types.
You'll be familiar with ib tokens if you've used fixedforex.fi.

The Iron Bank is a key part of the whole system, and will likely become a key part of more defi protocols, particularly as non-USD stables and crypto forex proliferate as I expect.
50% of Iron Bank protocol fees will be shared weekly with $veIB stakers. And this figure could become significant As the Iron Bank adds more assets and collateral types.
So $veIB has a similar model to KP3R and FixedForex (both of which I am very bullish on). As I have discussed, I think legit passive income projects will get more attention as the year goes on (it has already started with KP3R). $veIB could be another.

$veIB will be one of if not the the first token to launch with the much hyped ve(3,3) Ouroboros Token model designed by @AndreCronjeTech. The $FTM protocol utilising the model that AC is developing with @danielesesta has already generated massive hype - ve(3,3) season anyone?
So those are the key points regarding $veIB and the token model.

Now imagine the FOMO and $CREAM supply crisis as we get closer to 27 January as progressively more holders stake for the airdrop.
More stakers means fewer and fewer sellers coupled with more and more buyers wanting to fomo into $veIB as they both realise the utility of the token and that it's a ve(3,3) token.

Plus at the end of the day, you still have your staked $CREAM.
Hopefully you now realise why I'm so bullish on $CREAM.

I highly recommend this thread if you're interested to learn more background:

And you should follow @kamikaz_ETH

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More from @BillyBobBaghold

9 Jan
Just entered $CREDIT on $FTM.

Creditum from @RevenantFinance (formerly known as @stake_steak) is a lending protocol that launched yesterday with the goal to bring a functional native stable coin to the Fantom network. 👇
After the standard listing shenanigans $CREDIT is now sitting at a $600k MC and printing LP rewards at c. 800%.

Seems super cheap when $FTM season is just around the corner and you consider who is behind @RevenantFinance 👇
The $CREDIT team is full of $FTM OGs - their last project @stake_steak was sadly hacked, but they didn't go away and are doing right by the community.

This could be another awesome $FTM comeback story (a la $ICE) and I'm glad to support it. 👇revenant-finance.medium.com/creditum-39d09…
Read 5 tweets
8 Jan
Billy’s 2022 Predictions/Themes/Narratives, Volume 2

Here are my next 5 predictions/themes/narratives for 2022. If you haven't already, check out my first 5 here:
6. $CRV-esque season

There will be two elements to $CRV-esque seasons:

6(a) [Actually Valuable] Governance Tokens

As I’ve been saying, $CRV won’t be the last governance token war we see.
However only a very small minority of gov tokens will be hoarded by protocols and users - only those that provide direct benefits to protocols.
Read 34 tweets
5 Jan
Billy’s 2022 Predictions, Volume 1

I’ve been meaning to get around to my 2022 predictions for weeks, but the combination of family time and partying has delayed me. I planned to release one mega predictions post, but in the interests of getting this out there I’ll split them up
So here are my first batch of 5 predictions for 2022. Enjoy!

Prediction 1: #L22022

2022 will be the year of layer 2s. The narrative has started, with L2 TVL now c. $6b and big price moves from $METIS $NETT $SYS $DYDX etc. - I hope you caught some of them with me.
I expect L2 tokens to continue to perform strongly. More specifically I expect:

- $ETH will pump heading into the merge. This will trickle (or gush might be a better word) down to L2s.
Read 25 tweets
23 Nov 21
L2 Mega Thread

I write threads mainly to educate and share my research findings, but also to refine and clarify my own ideas. Research and writing force you to understand something and help to test your assumptions and challenge biases.
I also like to trade narratives - this is why I rotated from #BSC to $MATIC to $SOL to $FTM ecos this year as narratives shifted. I’ve noticed what I think is the beginning of a new narrative, being the move to $ETH L2s.
So I thought I should start researching L2s to hopefully find some alpha for us and pick winners. So here it is below.
Read 33 tweets
23 Nov 21
🧵 I’m v bullish on ZK rollup tech

So is the CT “intelligentsia” who seem to think they are the only L1 or L2 scaling solution worth considering

This is short sighted. At best ZK EVM dapp ecos will only START to be built this year, likely without much activity until next year
🧵I shouldn’t need to remind anyone that a lot can happen in crypto between now and then. $FTM and other L1s could pump another 5-10x. New Optimistic rollups like $METIS could pump 100x. Or maybe it’ll be PriDeFi like $SCRT $ROSE or $DUSK.

Or all of the above.

Or a bear.
🧵Moreover #BSC and $MATIC didn’t pump because they had the best tech, but they still made multiples in a matter of months.
Read 6 tweets
14 Nov 21
$METIS Mega Thread 1/n

I aped into $METIS around a month upon a recommendation from someone I trust. Since then I did more research and the more I have read, the more impressed I became. So I have increased my position size significantly in the last few weeks on dips
I will go into why I think it could become the dominant L2, its impressive tech, partnerships, team, connections to Vitalik Buterin, why Rollups are fundamental to ETH scaling and more.
Despite its potential, @metisdao is still relatively unknown and has a tiny MC relative to its peers and potential. Hopefully this thread will serve as a good intro to the protocol and why I am so bullish.
Read 49 tweets

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